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Message

re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:33 pm to
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:33 pm to
Well frick. I’m not even gonna’ pressure wash from this past week then.

Ugh.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33496 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:33 pm to
Zoom

Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

All stormcast is talking about is a shift east for the 10pm track update.

How many of an H shift?
Posted by LSURoss
Dragon Believer
Member since Dec 2007
16767 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:34 pm to
I'm out here by you. I've been traveling all day and haven't look.are we toast?
Posted by TrigSwig
Member since May 2024
331 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:35 pm to
It'll go further East. Likely a Lafayette/SE Louisiana storm.
Posted by DiamondDog
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2019
13243 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:36 pm to
Y'all knock down the LC Tower and now this happens the exact next day.

This is not a coincidence.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182424 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

I'm out here by you. I've been traveling all day and haven't look.are we toast?


Yea you IIRC are by the airport a mile or two further south than me

Cat 1 coming up the Sabine if the NHC track holds
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 4:38 pm
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1786 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:36 pm to
Definitely going east at next advisory
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:37 pm to
Based on what?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

He made a prediction right before the NHC updated the cone, dude. I was asking if it was still his prediction.


rds made a public prediction!?

what an idiot.
Posted by BregmansWheelbarrow
Member since Mar 2020
3264 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:38 pm to
If it’s for the greater good, I’ll take a cat 1 into swla. But from what I’ve read here and from what the models have shown, it’ll be stronger and farther east. Which sucks. This shite sucks.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27472 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:40 pm to
I have some buddies flying out of New Orleans before 8 AM on Thursday. Are they screwed? They are flying to the West Coast.

I would tell them to come to Houston but flying out of Houston on Thursday morning Might be tricky too.

Thoughts?
Posted by TxWadingFool
Middle Coast
Member since Sep 2014
5644 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:40 pm to
Should be some interesting runoff from that pile of debris into the bay.
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 4:41 pm
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1786 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

Based on what?


The latest GFS, Euro, and ICON all east of NHC track
Posted by LSURoss
Dragon Believer
Member since Dec 2007
16767 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:40 pm to
10-4 appreciate it.

I got back into to town and mowed prepping for rain,then blended my phone with the zero turn. been at att.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:41 pm to
I think it was more of a place your bet on center line for 4pm advisory
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182424 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

rds made a public prediction!?

what an idiot.


It was in response to a "place your bets" requests and he said he was "leaning on the 12z" but I didn't care to explain all of that to whoever was upset about my post








Posted by DiamondDog
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2019
13243 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:41 pm to
I'm not leaving. Heck with it. I'd have to go East and Baton Rouge is terrible. Houston I'd go to.
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

The latest GFS, Euro, and ICON all east of NHC track

While true, the NHC takes into consideration a lot more variables than 3 model runs when creating and updating a forecast track
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:43 pm to
I’m staying put as well. Pool house is ready and so is the generator.
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