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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:11 pm to
Posted by OTIS2
NoLA
Member since Jul 2008
52935 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:11 pm to
Usually west
Posted by kc8876
Member since May 2012
3726 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Which side will be “better” to be on? East or west?


Rds, please tell this person so they can ask you again in 30 minutes
Posted by Shwapp
Gonzales, LA
Member since Sep 2016
1057 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:14 pm to
He looks like he evolved to survive a car crash
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
34746 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:14 pm to
Posted by Rick9Plus
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2020
2567 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

Rds, please tell this person so they can ask you again in 30 minutes


Someone pissed in your Cheerios today.
Posted by sqerty
AP
Member since May 2022
8850 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:17 pm to


I totally blame the guy who posted that thread a few weeks back
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39637 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

Despite the NHC updated cone are you still thinking Vermillion Bay?


Are you asking him to assume something nearly 4 days out?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77431 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

Jesus every one of that guys tweets are doom casting. Every single one.

If you don't follow him then you would think so.
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
48263 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:22 pm to
Nothing gets this forum more rowled up than a hurricane thread.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21983 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

Despite the NHC updated cone are you still thinking Vermillion Bay?


From the discussion,

quote:

The track guidance this cycle shifted east, with
the GFS and ECMWF models notably on the east side of the guidance
envelope. The initial NHC track forecast won't go quite that far
east, but splits the difference between the consensus aid TVCN and
these eastward model solutions. Future adjustments could be
necessary if these eastward trends continue. Given the current
structure, the track forecast is of lower confidence than usual
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
185956 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

Are you asking him to assume something nearly 4 days out?


He made a prediction right before the NHC updated the cone, dude. I was asking if it was still his prediction.

Lighten up
Posted by DiamondDog
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2019
13808 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:25 pm to
I'm really not looking forward to another hurricane in Lake Charles.
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:25 pm to
All stormcast is talking about is a shift east for the 10pm track update. I’m just gonna assume they are wishcasting this to Nola
Posted by FUMDUCK
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2023
225 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:25 pm to
The weather Gods must hate the Lake Charles area.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
185956 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:26 pm to
quote:


I'm really not looking forward to another hurricane in Lake Charles.


I left for Laura and Delta but a Cat 1 or weaker I am staying. Evacuating is just too much trouble.

IIRC you are south of town like me. I am only around 26 miles due north of the coast
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
20375 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:28 pm to
Great. I was just thinking that it was time to spend another week without power. Glad I serviced the generator today.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21983 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

All stormcast is talking about is a shift east for the 10pm track update. I’m just gonna assume they are wishcasting this to Nola


It's possible. However, as others pointed out earlier, the hurricane models are weaker and on the western side of guidance. They could end up being correct if this takes longer to get organized.
Posted by choupiquesushi
yaton rouge
Member since Jun 2006
36227 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

Usually west
always west
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
34746 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

Nothing gets this forum more rowled up than a hurricane thread.

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