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Message
re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:54 am to 3rdPart Tiger
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:54 am to 3rdPart Tiger
quote:
From Montegut as well. Lili took made landfall in Intracoastal City in '02 and f'd shite up in Montegut with the surge.
A Morgan City landfall won't be much better. Thankfully the levees have been built up since then.
damn, how we end up with so many Montegut peeps in here?
Levees are definitely better than Lili days.
but still not something i’d bet a ton of money on.
3
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:54 am to bayoudude
quote:
Not sure why you getting downvoted as this will be very similar scenario for terrebonne and lafourche. Cat 3 making landfall in Morgan city then tracking north East is a horrible scenario for that area. Was 12 years old when andrew hit and was living in Bourg LA. By far the worst storm I have experienced in my 40 years on this earth.
I was living in Montegut. We stayed in Houma for Andrew.
Gustav was worse IMO
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:54 am to TheArrogantCorndog
quote:
You serious??
Yes. NHC forecast:
quote:
60H 08/1800Z 24.2N 91.5W 115 KT 130 MPH
Intensity guidance is even more bullish.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:55 am to tiger91
quote:
OK slack so mark your bingo card but based on "now", Vermilion Parish would be worse than with Laura, correct?
Western vermillion way better for Delta than Laura. East Vermillion I'd say same unless you live south of the intracoastal
A weakening cat 2 is way different than a strengthening cat 4 but I'd bet Delta will have a Cat 3-4 surge
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:55 am to Nutriaitch
quote:
damn, how we end up with so many Montegut peeps in here?
Levees are definitely better than Lili days
My mom probably taught you in 4th grade at MMS.
I heard when they drove the sheet pilings in the levee, if they hit root or rock, they just cut the top of the sheet piling to be level with the other sheets
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:55 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Gustav was a direct hit and didn’t push the water this one might. Yeah gustav left me out of power for 14 days and with a leaking roof. No picnic either.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:56 am to slackster
quote:
Can someone give me a rundown on when the models run everyday?
Took a stab at converting Z times to CDT times for the updates most people look for. Note for models and TT spaghetti plots the times are when the data starts being uploaded online. Smarter people, feels free to catch my errors.
12:30am Euro
1:00am Tropical Tidbits spaghetti
4:00am NHC full update
4:30am GFS
7:00am Tropical Tidbits Spaghetti
10:00am NHC full update
10:30am GFS
12:30am Euro
1:00pm Tropical Tidbits Spaghetti
4:00pm NHC full update
4:30pm GFS
7:00pm Tropical Tidbits Spaghetti
10:00pm NHC full update
10:30pm GFS
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:56 am to Nutriaitch
quote:
damn, how we end up with so many Montegut peeps in here?
I'm using the Mini-Mart's wifi as we speak.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:56 am to slackster
Can you tell me what this is in English 'cause there's black right over me.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:56 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
somebody give me a realistic worry scenario right now for LC
we sub-25% for major impacts from the storm and it being a likely Cat2? i keep seeing Cat4 projections referenced in here
we sub-25% for major impacts from the storm and it being a likely Cat2? i keep seeing Cat4 projections referenced in here
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:57 am to TygerDurden
Durden did you stay? How was your house??
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:57 am to bayoudude
quote:
Not sure why you getting downvoted as this will be very similar scenario for terrebonne and lafourche. Cat 3 making landfall in Morgan city then tracking north East is a horrible scenario for that area. Was 12 years old when andrew hit and was living in Bourg LA. By far the worst storm I have experienced in my 40 years on this earth
Andrew caused a lot of tree damage but it was only a very low end Cat 3 at landfall. That’s no joke, of course, but it’s not some beast that cannot be topped for the central LA coast like some people act.
It was bad, but it’s entirely possible this storm is just as intense.
People got all pissy when I said Laura had Rita potential too.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:57 am to 3rdPart Tiger
quote:
I'm using the Mini-Mart's wifi as we speak.
Gip ever cut your hair?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:58 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
somebody give me a realistic worry scenario right now for LC
Basically no impact if it hits in the current location
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:59 am to The Boat
but i mean, what are the odds of it maintaining its current path? pretty solid?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:59 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Way back when, yup.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:59 am to Nutriaitch
quote:
damn, how we end up with so many Montegut peeps in here?
Hurricane threads bring us all together.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:59 am to tiger91
quote:Black Hurricanes Matter...
'cause there's black right over me.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:59 am to Midtiger farm
I'm south of Abbeville but not to Intracoastal.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:00 am to tiger91
I did not. I almost did and glad I did not. Everyone I spoke to That stayed said it was one the scariest nights they ever spent. Unbelievable damage.
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