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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:23 am to
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16352 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:23 am to
Let’s just hope it breaks down as it enters cooler water and sheer near the coast..
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95010 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:24 am to
quote:

I’ll take that every day of the week instead of this crap


Well, there’s not a ton of trees left around here to cause much damage, so I guess you have a point.
Posted by STEVED00
Member since May 2007
23151 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:26 am to
How much weakening should we expect if any if made a direct over the Yucatán peninsula?
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11959 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:27 am to
quote:

These models keep creeping west towards LC. To say I’m stressed is accurate. We’ve had power for what? A couple weeks now? Kids were supposed to start school Thursday after COVID and then Laura and now this again. House is still damaged....thankfully, no repairs have been made on it yet.

Hope y’all understand that I’m wishcasting the hell out of this thing to stay to the east of us.


Same here man... same
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7789 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:30 am to
Well that is a nightmare for my camp on Belle River
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
27758 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:31 am to
This is the worst part...the waiting game. Close enough in to make your stomach knot but too far out to make any decision on what to do.

Really, really don't like that track that has it coming up over Morgan City and then between BR and Nola with us on the wet side.
Posted by monsterballads
Gulf of America
Member since Jun 2013
31512 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:34 am to
quote:

How much weakening should we expect if any if made a direct over the Yucatán peninsula?



good question. also if it makes landfall there, it seems like a direction change could be possible?
Posted by Notasnitch
Member since Dec 2017
315 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:34 am to
The Houma track and the MC track both still have thibodaux in hurricane winds if I read that right. frick.
Posted by LPLGTiger
Member since May 2013
2707 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:34 am to
Yep the waiting game sucks. Waiting for the visible satellite is kind of nerve racking too because you know it’s gotten bigger. Fiancé’s 99 yo great grandma is bed ridden and can’t move her. South of Lafayette. Not a fun time with a hurricane coming.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 6:35 am
Posted by KLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2003
11128 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:35 am to
quote:

Well that is a nightmare for my camp on Belle River


And might be another "Andrew" that killed the bass fishing in the area for years afterwards and still hasn't gotten back to pre-Andrew.
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40487 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:39 am to
Man, I know we’re a few days out, but God bless Terrebonne Parish if that route holds true.
Posted by Goodell Clown
Member since Mar 2019
165 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:42 am to
What time does the emergency text alert go out
Posted by Theboot32
Mandeville/Poplarville
Member since Jan 2016
2454 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:42 am to
Interesting that the landfall portion of track hasn’t really moved but now this thing is going over the Yucatan. Seems weird that it’s not going to weaken much over land but I guess it’s going fast enough to avoid weakening.

Web are in Mandeville, not ideal as of now, guess we have about 48 more hours of evaluation to see what’s up.
Posted by Theboot32
Mandeville/Poplarville
Member since Jan 2016
2454 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:42 am to
72 hours before the effects I believe
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102497 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:47 am to
quote:

Levi said due to the uncertainty of that interaction, storm has the possibility to make landfall anywhere within NHC's cone.


No shite it always makes landfall between the cone because they’re allowed to move the cone



Posted by jac1280
Member since Dec 2007
5380 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:49 am to
3.1 degrees WEST and 0.5 degrees NORTH since the 4am update yesterday morning
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79820 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:49 am to
quote:

Ooof. That 10 pm would be a back breaker here on the north shore
Im not certain the latest is an improvement. How far from the center does the eyewall extend. With 10pm we'd have had the respite of the eye itself. Does the new track have us in the wall the entire time?
Posted by Theboot32
Mandeville/Poplarville
Member since Jan 2016
2454 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:53 am to
quote:

Im not certain the latest is an improvement. How far from the center does the eyewall extend. With 10pm we'd have had the respite of the eye itself. Does the new track have us in the wall the entire time?


I’d think by the time it got up here it would be significantly weakened, the eye wall specifically.
Posted by tigersbh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
13091 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:53 am to
quote:

The biggest change with the 4:00 bulletin is the intensity. Delta seems to be strengthening very quickly and likely will be a Cat 4 before it hits the Yucutan and again when it gets into the Gulf. Despite "weaking" while approaching the central Gulf Coast Delta may still be a major hurricane at landfall. Details on GMA all morning and a discussion is on the way.


Metrorologist Daniel Phillips
https://www.facebook.com/wxDaniel/
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
27758 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 6:55 am to
quote:

I’d think by the time it got up here it would be significantly weakened, the eye wall specifically.


Unfortunately it doesn't take much wind out of the south or SE to create real flooding probs on the north shore.
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