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Message
re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:20 pm to slackster
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:20 pm to slackster
quote:
NHC moves the track “a touch west” and still sticking with the relatively significant weakening before landfall, dropping 20 or so mph.
The track shifted west in the gulf but I’m pretty sure the turn is harder and the landfall it to the east of the 4pm
1
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:20 pm to slackster
quote:
That’s more an indication of the intervals on the track. They are 24 hours apart after day 3, so any nuance is hard to distinguish.
Not the case.
The NHC had it marked as a major tonite north of 25, at 4:00 it was marked as a hurricane just south of 25. Its a major now closer to the coast on their forecast.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:21 pm to doubleb
It moved about 2 miles east of Laplace from 4pm track
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:22 pm to LaBR4
That damned line passes right near my house.
If it landfalls with 100mph winds, how great a decrease in wind speed before that gets to Mandeville?
If it landfalls with 100mph winds, how great a decrease in wind speed before that gets to Mandeville?
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 10:24 pm
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:25 pm to Jake88
This thing will probably go to Texas.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:26 pm to Jake88
quote:
If it landfalls with 100mph winds, how great a decrease in wind speed before that gets to Mandeville?
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:29 pm to doubleb
The SHIPs guidance at 00z is about as aggressive as I've ever seen it for the next 36 hours or so.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:30 pm to Duke
What does that mean exactly, Mr. Mayonnaise?
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:30 pm to Duke
I thought SHIPS was crap for tropical systems.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:32 pm to toosleaux
quote:
Wunderground is showing 90% rain all three days in Biloxi, that’s what I was basing it off of. This time last week showed 0% Sunny and temps in the 70s
Yeah it’s probably going to rain.
Hopefully you haven’t been restoring a convertible.
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 10:32 pm
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:32 pm to Duke
quote:
The SHIPs guidance at 00z is about as aggressive as I've ever seen it for the next 36 hours or so.
The whole run is pretty absurd... Essentially, over water [YES] RI [YES]
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:32 pm to The Boat
quote:
The Boat
Going to need you to change your favorite team. I keep thinking you're deltaland because of the state logo and ignoring you.
quote:
The whole run is pretty absurd... Essentially, over water [YES] RI [YES]
RI chances 20x climo norms. Sure why not?
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 10:35 pm
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:35 pm to Jake88
quote:
thought SHIPS was crap for tropical systems.
It’s an intensification model.
It literally stands for Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme. I’d hope it’s okay at the tropics.
I think you’re thinking of the NAM or HRRR.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:36 pm to slackster
I'm really want to post the NAM 3km at one of my awake at 3 am moments in the next night or two and leave it with no context or explaination.
But I'm not sure it would be good for anyone if I posted that.
But I'm not sure it would be good for anyone if I posted that.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:38 pm to Duke
quote:
I keep thinking you're deltaland because of the state logo and ignoring you
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:38 pm to Midtiger farm
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:39 pm to Duke
quote:
I'm really want to post the NAM 3km at one of my awake at 3 am moments in the next night or two and leave it with no context or explaination.
But I'm not sure it would be good for anyone if I posted that.
I did a ton of shitz posting and video game playing while sitting up at 3:00 am with the 1st baby. Looking back, that was actually a lot of fun, then we had more...
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:39 pm to Duke
quote:
I'm really want to post the NAM 3km at one of my awake at 3 am moments in the next night or two and leave it with no context or explaination.
901mb doesn’t need context?
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:40 pm to slackster
You go simulated IR to bring it home.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 10:41 pm to Duke
quote:
Going to need you to change your favorite team. I keep thinking you're deltaland because of the state logo and ignoring you.
Oh yeah Mississippi State lost anyways so I’m already off the bandwagon.
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