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re: 37.4% of tests in Louisiana have been positive

Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:32 am to
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:32 am to
quote:


How do you know people from out of state haven’t spread it to New Orleans?



It's possible. I read something over the weekend that there is fear the virus was spread massively during Mardi Gras. Several out of state people that have tested positive had been to New Orleans for Mardi Gras.
Posted by bnmathm
Member since Nov 2007
69 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:33 am to
You’re dividing total cases by number of tests done by the state lab. Now that private labs are running, we expect to see the state lab percentages go up. Not sure if it’s necessary for the state lab to confirm positive results from private labs.. but even if so, they will be presumably be getting fed a much higher percentage of positive samples.

I’m also encouraged by the 37% positive results, considering our overly strict testing requirements until now. But if that rate holds true for the Baton Rouge General Tests administered yesterday, we'll be suddenly looking at over 60 known cases in EBR. Results were promised within 3-5 days, so we may see something begining Thursday.
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:38 am to
I would very much like to see the numbers that doctor mentioned compared to SARS and H1N1 in the USA.

I want to know if we have badly over reacted.
Posted by Open Your Eyes
Member since Nov 2012
10667 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:38 am to
quote:

As one of those who had to get tested yesterday, the “details” don’t fricking matter when you’re in isolation away from your own family.


The “details” greatly fricking matter now that the entire population is having their lives impacted, some of them severely, just because of the very few that are testing positive.
Posted by Higgysmalls
Ft Lauderdale
Member since Jun 2016
8018 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:43 am to
I thought it would be higher. Cause they only testing you if you show the symptoms
Posted by icegator337
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2013
3755 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:51 am to
quote:

I fully expect Louisiana to completely mismanage this and become one of the worst states nationally with this. It's what we do best...being last.

Closing Bars and restaurants is the best thing the state could've done to mitigate the spread. The people of this state will never listen to advisories regarding social distancing, the only way to make it work was closing bars and restaurants. Hopefully there aren't house parties all of New Orleans this weekend...
Posted by 91TIGER
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2006
19640 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Hopefully there aren't house parties all of New Orleans this weekend...


Sorry but it's not any of your business.
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
19461 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 11:00 am to
If it hasn't skyrocketed in 10 days then I'm not worried.
Who knows how many people have had it here yet couldn't get tested.
Posted by icegator337
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2013
3755 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 11:14 am to
quote:

If it hasn't skyrocketed in 10 days then I'm not worried

Think about where we were 10 days ago. Sports were progressing as normal, the US had less than 500 cases and only 19 deaths (almost exclusively at a nursing home in WA). 10 days later we have 5100+ cases, no sports, no restaurants, movie theaters, bars, etc. and massive regulations on public gatherings. The thing is in the process of skyrocketing and we need to slow the spread
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
31635 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 11:33 am to
quote:

fully expect Louisiana to completely mismanage this and become one of the worst states nationally with this. It's what we do best...being last.

Good thing we have such quality leadership in Baton Rouge to navigate through this.

Did you know he went to West Point?
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
91676 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Thanks New Orleans for spreading this bullshite. fricking idiots.


Its a port and just had Mardi gras. People spreading it around the state are the ones not from New Orleans. Thing was here. Don't be so fricking stupid. The # of positive cases coming back is actually much lower than I expected. If they tested every citizen in the state, that % would be even lower.
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:08 pm to
so zero deaths for anyone healthy and didn't have underlying sickness before this.
Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
39244 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

Louisiana is becoming one of the biggest hot spots nationally for this.


No. Shithole Nola is.

If lee were still standing Nola wouldn’t be dealing with this shite.
Posted by carhartt
Member since Feb 2013
8362 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

Let’s be honest it’s New Orleans not la


That’s what happens when you have people from all over the damn planet in town for Mardi Gras last month.
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
99043 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

Louisiana is becoming one of the biggest hot spots nationally for this.


Looks to me like New Orleans is....not Louisiana
Posted by dallastigers
Member since Dec 2003
11003 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

The number is definitely going to go up because they're only testing those that are most likely to have it


Definitely a big part of it are people with it before shutdowns and restrictions started. Even CDCs increase of test quantities published yesterday (Graph below might be updated since) was from was updating daily test totals from dates across last week and lists 12th as still incomplete or in process (that's just logging items received on 12th by CDC regardless of being confirmed or not & Today shows 13th). Testing increased a lot first 2 weeks of March even before doing away with restrictions on who could be tested. Confirmed increases early this week are going to be from last week or further back with the patients' illness onset dates and presumptive and later confirmations rest of this week and into next are going to be highly impacted from all the patients doctors and nurses thought last week were highly likely to be infected but couldn't get tested (including some already in ICUs).

Testing numbers based on date CDC received specimens to confirm.

This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 2:51 pm
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
117259 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

So, 62.6% of the tests are negative?


62.6% of the tests of those with symptoms are negative.
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38239 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

It was 36.4%. Hopefully that trend doesn’t continue but it’s a little concerning to see it increase. Just confirms that there are many out there carrying this virus who could be spreading it to the at-risk population.

This mornings number increased from 132 last night to 171 and now 4 deaths.



didn't we just start actually testing? Doesn't it seem like we would have spikes or increases for the fist few days of testing?
Posted by ThanosIsADemocrat
The Garden
Member since May 2018
9395 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

Thanks New Orleans for spreading this bullshite. fricking idiots.
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84835 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:43 pm to
Only those who meet the qualifications for being tested are actually being tested.
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