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re: The Quality of Pitching in College Baseball Today
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:03 pm to LSUFanHouston
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:03 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:no. Only 85% of pitchers regain their speed. But the number of pitchers who need it is rising. 1/3 of mlb pitchers have had it. If you know it’s likely needed, would you rather do it in college or as a pro?
Is there some sort of benefit to TJ surgery that makes a pitcher better afterwards?
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:03 pm to CatfishJohn
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/1/23 at 2:04 pm
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:06 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
expect in rare cases.
I think you should accept exceptions to your expectations.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:06 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
the balls are the only legitimate explanation for the large jump in conference ERA
I think the smaller strike zone is having an effect also.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:08 pm to FriscoTiger
The strike zone has definitely compressed both in college and the MLB. I remember watching Maddux pitch for the Braves. He would get 2 balls off the black called a strike and he had exceptional location. You don’t even get the black anymore based on what I’ve seen this year. That makes pitching extremely difficult.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:14 pm to Alt26
quote:
somewhere along the line parents decided little Johnny needs to "specialize" in baseball rather than be a kid a play all sports.
I can attest to this being true. My son is 6 and a decent amount of kids in his grade are already on Travel teams that play both a summer and winter season.
While these kids do still play the other sports, I fear that it will be short lived and they will be forced to choose baseball over everything within a year or two.
As a parent I feel kind of trapped. right now my son only plays baseball in the summer for his local playground. He is a decent little player but by no means does it feel like baseball is his definite calling. On the flip side, I also don't feel like baseball is out of the cards for him either.
It just feels like if baseball does turn out to be his best sport then I am letting him fall behind his peers by not getting him on travel team and getting him a hitting coach (other kids his age already have them). But the rational parent side of me says frick that, I am not making my kid specialize and if baseball is his best sport, he will be fine playing all the sports.
So I fear both sides. I fear not getting him on a travel team and regretting it down the line if he falls behind developmentally and doesn't get to compete in the sport he likes most in HS. And I also fear making him play travel ball and burning him out or having it turn out that football or basketball or something else entirely is his calling.
Weird insecure parent rant over.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:15 pm to Bring Da Wood
quote:
The strike zone has definitely compressed both in college and the MLB. I remember watching Maddux pitch for the Braves. He would get 2 balls off the black called a strike and he had exceptional location. You don’t even get the black anymore based on what I’ve seen this year. That makes pitching extremely difficult.
Is it not a bit crazy and maybe counterproductive that they instituted a strict pitch clock to speed up the game, and shrink the strike zone in the same season?
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:17 pm to LSUFanHouston
Year round travel ball has to have more effect on a pitchers arm than the high school season.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:23 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
the best high school pitching prospects have always gone pro right after high school.
Not exactly true. They always did up until the mid-1980s, when improving your draft stock for a couple of years in college became a viable alternative to bouncing around the minors on a bus. Since Randy Johnson, Roger Clemens, Mike Mussina, Big Ben, etc. college pitching has dramatically improved, and a lot of the best big-leagers (Scherzer, Verlander, etc.) played college baseball. The issue now is overwork. Kids aren’t switching sports year round like they used to, but are playing travel ball, fall ball, etc., that is leading to all the injuries. Tom Glavine was an NHL draft pick out of high school—his arm got a lot of rest during hockey season!
This post was edited on 5/1/23 at 2:46 pm
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:39 pm to GetmorewithLes
quote:
I agree with this wholeheartedly. I also believe there are more good hitting position players than there used to be 10 yrs ago due to Travel ball and the easy access to youth instruction. Not better hitters persay just more of them.
This is absolutely true. 9-10 year olds have polished swings that I didn’t develop until I got to high school. They also see a lot more game situations and probably get a lot more swings in the cage. In the 80s-90s we would have to go to the park and get swings on those yellow balls from a machine that threw up at us. Now they have pitching machines that can simulate different pitchers/breaking balls etc.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:47 pm to LSUFanHouston
It is not so much the quality has gone down but the umpires have been squeezing the zone all year
Posted on 5/1/23 at 2:49 pm to Bert Macklin FBI
quote:
So I fear both sides. I fear not getting him on a travel team and regretting it down the line if he falls behind developmentally and doesn't get to compete in the sport he likes most in HS. And I also fear making him play travel ball and burning him out or having it turn out that football or basketball or something else entirely is his calling.
My kids rec league has a travel team associated with the rec league. The travel kids started at 7 and have played together for years. My son was really behind these kids in all aspects of the game. He started playing travel at 11 on a less competitive team and has closed the skills gap but is still behind. The difference is once he realized he was behind he realized that he was going to have to work to catch up and puts in a lot work on his own. Growing up there were a lot of little league stars that didn’t end up starting for their high school team for a variety of reasons burnout, other sports, body didn’t develop,substance abuse etc.
The problem is even the other sports are becoming more specialized. There are year round travel football leagues. Even distance running has kids specializing and 12 year old kids are turning in 17 minute 5ks.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 3:11 pm to LSUNV
The SEC now grades umpire’s strike zone accuracy. Their reward is participating at Hoover.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 3:13 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:you have lost your mind.
But the vast overall majority of college pitching has deteriorated. Everyone likes to knock on the LSU staff, but this is a national
Posted on 5/1/23 at 3:27 pm to tigerfoot
quote:
you have lost your mind.
no he is just clueless
1) pitching is better than it ever has been, at all levels. anyone that thinks other wise has revisionist history syndrome or is fricking clueless
2) the same tech and techniques that gave pitchers huge advantages for over a decade are now being used by hitters and they are catching up
3) the reason for the TJ surgery is less about overuse and velocity but more because kids are throwing harder with less strength and muscle mass than ever before. Sure they are throwing more but most injuries occur from being underprepared and being weak than anything else. example not being able to do 13 full dead hang, chest to bar chins increases TJ chances by 400%. not being able to hold a reverse lunge for 3 min or perform 1 good rep with bodyweight...800%. not being atleast 2.5x bw in height increases the chance. not having the mobility to perform broomstick dislocates or flat back reverse bear crawls...big time indicators
4) kids and teams do not understand arm care and think doing a bunch of band work is arm care and are not doing any form of readiness testing with crain scales, grip testing, or using devices like the armcare.com app to test and see if a player is ready to throw or not. also in off season the lack of understanding on how to use weigthed ball programs and on ramps are rampant at the younger ages. just print off internet and dad has you throwing 3oz run and guns over and over again.
the final thing is, the strikezone is way way more strick now a days. complain all you want but its 1000x better than in the 90s and even a decade ago.
some of yall are completely clueless and just spout talking points over and over despite the evidence that shows the opposite.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 3:28 pm to LSUFanHouston
The “problem” is that dotting the corners at 91-92 MPH isn’t going to get you a big signing bonus, and since most guys never reach MLB, they spend most of their time focused on velocity. In other words, if they’re going to make any money in baseball, it’s their first contract for the majority of guys.
Additionally, it’s a product of the way the game is played now. Hits/9 are the same today in the SEC as they were in 2013, but HR/9 are up 3x, K/9 are up almost 45%, and BB/9 are 35%. The approach at the plate means guys swing and miss a lot more, so guys are getting deeper into counts than they used to do, resulting in more walks/Ks.
Additionally, it’s a product of the way the game is played now. Hits/9 are the same today in the SEC as they were in 2013, but HR/9 are up 3x, K/9 are up almost 45%, and BB/9 are 35%. The approach at the plate means guys swing and miss a lot more, so guys are getting deeper into counts than they used to do, resulting in more walks/Ks.
This post was edited on 5/1/23 at 3:30 pm
Posted on 5/1/23 at 3:31 pm to tigerfoot
Our biggest issue this year has been on the injury front without any doubt.
Yes the balls seem to be juiced up a little, yes zones have been squeezed.
But when you are without:
Jaden Noot
Grant Taylor
Kaleb Applebey
Chase Shores
Garrett Edwards
Nate Ackenhausen
Javen Coleman
All at the same time/extended period of times, it's really difficult. Thats about a half dozen guys (Applebey excluded) you would expect to be high leverage guys and some even potential starters.
Coleman/Ack coming back recently could prove to help ton down the stretch, but still overcoming losing the rest of those guys could rear it's ugly head when we get to game 3's in regionals/super regionals/cws or especially if we dropped a game in regional/cws having to have that 4th game in a short time frame (especially regionals) and just basically praying the offense explodes for 10+ runs to give us a shot. Thats where we want to avoid at all costs. In a 3 game situation it can get bad enough, a 4th game in a short time frame I just dont know if we have any answers at pitching with so many high quality guys out.
Yes the balls seem to be juiced up a little, yes zones have been squeezed.
But when you are without:
Jaden Noot
Grant Taylor
Kaleb Applebey
Chase Shores
Garrett Edwards
Nate Ackenhausen
Javen Coleman
All at the same time/extended period of times, it's really difficult. Thats about a half dozen guys (Applebey excluded) you would expect to be high leverage guys and some even potential starters.
Coleman/Ack coming back recently could prove to help ton down the stretch, but still overcoming losing the rest of those guys could rear it's ugly head when we get to game 3's in regionals/super regionals/cws or especially if we dropped a game in regional/cws having to have that 4th game in a short time frame (especially regionals) and just basically praying the offense explodes for 10+ runs to give us a shot. Thats where we want to avoid at all costs. In a 3 game situation it can get bad enough, a 4th game in a short time frame I just dont know if we have any answers at pitching with so many high quality guys out.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 3:44 pm to Geaux002
quote:
Year round travel ball has to have more effect on a pitchers arm than the high school season.
Many High schoolers also play on summer teams designated by their coach.
There is another aspect to "travel ball" that I suspect has some impact. I've been in the travel ball world for a few years and I can tell you there are very few PO players, in fact the number is zero under 15.
Many times the best pitchers on the team are also the best SS, CF, and/or Catcher. Those are high leverage positions that demand arm strength in a moment's notice. You always have to be loose and warm and ready to fire at any time. On the days you are not pitching your arm does not actually get true rest, you are throwing just like everyone else. Add to the fact you need practice reps on Tuesdays and Thursdays at your respective position on top throwing a bullpen during the week to tune certain pitches.
So to me it's not just about the number of pitches a kid threw during the weekend, it's the totality of a weeks worth of work on an arm for weeks on end.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 3:54 pm to chalmetteowl
quote:
What’s your issue with them?
I've watched high school teams pitch a kid over 100 pitches and then he is playing 3rd base the next day. Followed by him pitching another 100+ pitches 4 days later. That is a recipe for injury and it is happening everywhere.
Travel ball has multiplied the injuries over time as well.
The pitch count rules, under the current guidelines, is not working.
Posted on 5/1/23 at 4:07 pm to LSUFanHouston
Long toss.
A lot.
Learn to throw fastballs and change ups until high school.
Long toss.
A lot.
Learn to throw fastballs and change ups until high school.
Long toss.
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