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re: Which states that are traditionally blue may shock us and go red?

Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:15 am to
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
17797 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:15 am to
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13879 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:15 am to
As far as true "shocker" states... the most likely is New Jersey. I would say shocker would be a state that has <10% odds for Trump right now. That excludes MN, NM, VA, and NH.
Posted by CajunTiger78
Member since Aug 2017
2879 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:15 am to
I don't think Oregon either but I think they have more numbers red this time around than recent elections
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
65908 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Oregon is irrelevant

Thankfully.
Because even a majority of men vote blue in Oregon.
Posted by Tasseo
Member since Feb 2024
3252 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:16 am to
I think NH and some others are easy picks, but NJ is my dark horse. May just be me wanting to see the melt that would bring.
Posted by CajunTiger78
Member since Aug 2017
2879 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:17 am to
Good point on New Mexico
Posted by Epaminondas
The Boot
Member since Jul 2020
5542 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:17 am to
quote:

flip New York, would be epic
Would be but won't be.
Posted by WhiteMandingo
Member since Jan 2016
7041 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:22 am to
Virginia is the only one that is a real red state.
NH is purple as could be is under 5k R or D in each election.
Nevada is red outside of Vegas but no tax on tips is a big plus and and the lack of extra money to go spend on a vacation will push the Trump to a victory there.
I believe Arizona and Georgia were both stolen in 2020 and go back red
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
22015 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:23 am to
quote:

Minnesota is getting tight


Minnesota going for Trump would be the ultimate spiking of the ball.
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
7694 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Minnesota is getting tight


Giggity
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
13486 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:34 am to
Like 2016 i think Dems are complacent in the "Blue" wall and have not devoted resources to some states they assume they will win. and i think takes one or two because of that.....NH seems the most likely as it was very close in '16

som much focus has been placed in the battleground states, that i think they miss traditional state because of it
Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
7171 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:43 am to
I don’t care about any of that as long as PA, GA and NC go Trump.
Posted by jawnybnsc
Greer, SC
Member since Dec 2016
5580 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:44 am to
I would love to see NJ, NH and VA all flip. That would be glorious.
Posted by jmarto1
Houma, LA/ Las Vegas, NV
Member since Mar 2008
36448 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:47 am to
To stay red this has to be a successful admin. The u ions have a stranglehold there
Posted by riccoar
Arkansas
Member since Mar 2006
4013 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:49 am to
Yep, I believe the 2020 fraud happened there too. He was ahead before the great reset
Posted by UnclePat76
McHenry County Illinois
Member since Sep 2004
3343 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:51 am to
quote:

Minnesota going for Trump would be the ultimate spiking of the ball.


Too many libs and Somalians in the Twin Cities area.
Posted by JimEverett
Member since May 2020
1473 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:51 am to
New Hampshire, Minnesota, Virginia, New Mexico.
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
22015 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:53 am to
quote:

Too many libs and Somalians in the Twin Cities area.



I don't think it will happen, just if it does there can be no argument about if Trump has a mandate.

Cali is almost more likely to go for Trump than Minnesota.

Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
42959 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:55 am to
No, Harris +6.5
Posted by MrJimBeam
Member since Apr 2009
12907 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:57 am to
I am going to stand by my assertion of Nevada going red. I work with people across the state and it's a lot more red than people realize.
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