re: According to the Keys to the White House, Trump will lose.

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Lichtman

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Found the issue

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Negative....a 2nd shutdown will doom the economy. I can't see a 2nd shutdown.

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I bet you didn't see the first shutdown back in December either. You need to wake up to the possibility not everyone cares about the economy when they see this as a war.

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I’ve used Professor Lichtman’s model in my arguments that Trump would win the last election, so I can’t ignore it in this election just because it doesn’t fit my desire to re-elect Trump.

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sure you can. just pretend you're a democrat and it will happen naturally

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quote: Party Mandate Exactly how does he NOT have this?

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That was exactly my question. Every poll I see shows him having around 90% support within the party. I guess too much attention is given to the attention whore RINO’s like Romney who want you to think a massive chunk of the party wants him out.

Reading through the article, and they lose foreign success right here:

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has had no major military or foreign policy successes

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The fact that he is getting us out of wars, forcing European nations to pay more into NATO, and bringing back manufacturing jobs are all foreign successes.

Also, I have a question about this:

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the fact that Republicans lost control of the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterms

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Has any president maintained both the House & Senate at mid-term of their first year. My memory may be off, but I don't recall any party having control of all 3 for more than the first 2 years.

The scandals that lead to impeachment are a joke and have been proven to be manufactured. And now, it appears that some of the things that Trump was accused of (and impeached in the House over), Obama & Biden may have actually done themselves.

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Negative....a 2nd shutdown will doom the economy. I can't see a 2nd shutdown.

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I cant find it now but someone from Fox found an AOC tweet where she said states need to continue shutdowns and that some people losing jobs or businesses going under is worth it if it gets Trump out of office. That's the mentality whether we like it or not. I hate to say it but the arrogance on this board for a Trump victory is exactly why he is going to lose. His base doesnt seem to get we are at war for the stake of our country. If every conservative, from politicians to the common man, doesn't start fighting back Biden is going to win which will lead to the Radical Left taking away all of our freedoms.

Oh, and let's also not ignore this is yet another suppression article from Salon. Are we really giving them credibility now?

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Has any president maintained both the House & Senate at mid-term of their first year. 

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George W. Bush. Not only did Republicans gain seats in both the House and Senate in 2002 but the Senate Minority Leader lost his bid for reelection.

Trump defies predictions. He has proven just about everybody wrong. If it makes you feel better to believe false polls or predictions go right ahead, but on election night don't go around crying like a little biatch.