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Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS reveals prediction
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:45 am
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:45 am
Supposedly this guy has developed the brow 13 keys that predicts the Presidential elections.
He still claims Biden wins. But looking at his own 13 keys, I’m not seeing MashPotatus winning many of these keys at all.
Daily meal
He still claims Biden wins. But looking at his own 13 keys, I’m not seeing MashPotatus winning many of these keys at all.
quote:
Lichtman's '13 Keys' Party mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the US House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections. Contest:
There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. Incumbency:
The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. Third party:
There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
Short term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
Long term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
Policy change: The incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy.
Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national he
Daily meal
45
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:51 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
He still claims Biden wins.
Nominating Trump made this an option. This election should be a slam dunk for Republicans but won't be because Trump. And when it comes down to the same 5 or 6 swing states as it did in 2016 and 2020 you will just scream 'fraud' 'cheating' 'rigged' etc. and pretend in make believe land that Trump is some super liked candidate when the actual truth is his approval numbers are almost as bad as Biden's.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:53 am to Covingtontiger77
Biden might have two of those in his favor and the dude still chose Biden?
He must know what’s up with all this nail and vote stealing.
He must know what’s up with all this nail and vote stealing.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:54 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero
This post was edited on 5/1/24 at 7:55 am
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:56 am to Covingtontiger77
Never heard of this clown
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:58 am to Covingtontiger77
Trump lost to Brandon as an incumbent, now people think he can win when Brandon is the incumbent?
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:58 am to Covingtontiger77
You can’t objectively look at those bullet points and claim Biden will win. You either know there will be massive fraud or you are part of the massive fraud. Which one?
Posted on 5/1/24 at 7:59 am to Covingtontiger77
Winning if easy when you cheat
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:00 am to Covingtontiger77
If Biden even makes it to the election.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:02 am to Covingtontiger77
Considering how much fraud and error takes place in elections, his predictions don't really seem credible. Also, how late in the game did he pick Trump in 2016? My recollection is that no one had him winning except maybe Bill Still, who famously pointed to some polls crossing just days prior to the election, putting Trump even or ahead.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:03 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS
He missed 2020.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:09 am to Covingtontiger77
Anyone who thinks Trump is going to win is delusional. There is no way they are going to let that happen.
This country, as it was originally formed, is done. It has been for a long time but the facade is being dropped as they have won the game of submission.
This country, as it was originally formed, is done. It has been for a long time but the facade is being dropped as they have won the game of submission.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:13 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS reveals prediction
Well that's a lie. He missed it in 2000 when he predicted Gore would win. Also, he usually makes his final prediction in August so I'm not too sure how much of a political savant he is.
quote:
He will likely make his final prediction in August, according to the Guardian. Lichtman’s only blemish on his record is his prediction that Al Gore would defeat George W. Bush in 2000.
LINK
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:14 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
It should be noted that while he technically was incorrect in 2000, predicting Al Gore would win, he believes that to be a stolen election and said that Gore won the popular vote.
So did he really predict the winner correctly the last 40 years?
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:33 am to Covingtontiger77
He’s in on another steal. Even Stevie Wonder sees this.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:51 am to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Long term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
quote:
Policy change: The incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy.
quote:
Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
quote:
Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
quote:
Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
quote:
Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
quote:
Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
quote:
Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national he
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:51 am to Covingtontiger77
This False prophet is trying to blow smoke up everyone's arse .
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:02 am to Covingtontiger77
So, if this guy is a bellwether, it really means POTUS Trump wins but only after shutting down the count while millions of votes behind.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:02 am to Covingtontiger77
His method doesn't account for cheating that happened in 2020.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:14 am to Covingtontiger77
Hard to believe this boomer picked Trump in 2016
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