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re: Trump pushes for balanced federal budget, a potentially historic feat

Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:37 am to
Posted by Warboo
Enterprise Alabama
Member since Sep 2018
5660 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Youre a month in, friend. Seems like an Auburn educated economist would understand that inflation lags and trade wars drag, but here we are.
Get back to me in a year when inflation ticks up, your choices go down and youre stuck with inefficient bloated corporations.



Seems like a self taught economist would understand that trade deficits usually have a negative impact on a nations economy. I think Trump understands this even though you have assured me that he is a economic retard.
Posted by cas4t
Member since Jan 2010
72012 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:38 am to
quote:

He could come out tomorrow and announce no taxes for the first $100k of income and people would complain.


Well yes people would complain because that would have significant ramifications, to put it mildly.
Posted by Ten Bears
Florida
Member since Oct 2018
4761 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:41 am to
quote:


Right now our deficits are running 7.5% of GDP.

Push for a balanced budget. That’s a deficit of 0% GDP.


Here is the issue:

Military, entitlements, and interest on the debt consume all federal tax revenues.

SS: 1.42T
Medicare: $874B
Health: $912B
Military: 875B
Interest: 872B

Total: $4.9 T

Federal Revenues: $4.92T


This post was edited on 2/21/25 at 10:48 am
Posted by AggieHank86
Texas
Member since Sep 2013
44345 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:41 am to
quote:

Trump pushes for balanced federal budget
I wish him luck. He will need it.

The Dems love their programs, and will not surrender them easily.

The GOP loves its tax cuts, and will not surrender them easily, either.

He will need to get rid of both, to come anywhere near balancing the budget.
Posted by Big L
Houston
Member since Sep 2005
6024 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:41 am to
quote:

When proven wrong, run away. The MAGA tradition. When confronted with facts, y'alls neck inches further up your a-hole. Trump is a Demagogue, do you deny this?


Proven what? I agree he used tariffs as leverage on several countries to get them to do their part in our national security on shared borders. You completely ignore the discussion on reciprocal tariffs EO and pretend that those 3 examples are the only tariffs in play. You further have disingenuous discussions about him and his record of not starting new wars. Now you want to debate that he’s only appealing to people based on prejudice when in fact he had higher percentages of Hispanic and black voters than any republican in history. He’s staunchly pro-American and fighting against these other institutions who have been tearing down America. If that makes him a demagogue by your definition then so be it.
Posted by Willie Stroker
Member since Sep 2008
15755 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:41 am to
quote:

Donny... your tariffs arent going to make a difference if you start a trade war.

Would you still call it a trade war if our response is simply matching our tariff rate to theirs?

Others might call that common sense. Are they wrong? If so, what are they wrong about?
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297825 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:42 am to
quote:


Seems like a self taught economist would understand that trade deficits usually have a negative impact on a nations economy.


It seems like an Auburn educated economists would realize Wealth is no longer static and is created, so trade imbalances will usually NOT favor the wealthier nations in the modern economy.

Y'all are still stuck in the 1800s when we were backed by Gold. You need someone to teach you about tariffs other than Trump.

The people your policies will destroy are those who buy parts or raw materials, add value to them (create wealth) and sell to the US consumer or export.

Do you know why original US tariffs did not penalize raw materials or components?

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297825 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:43 am to
quote:


Proven what? I agree he used tariffs as leverage on several countries to get them to do their part in our national security on shared borders.


I know. I said thanks for being honest.

Your peers arent so bright.
Posted by skullhawk
My house
Member since Nov 2007
27182 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:45 am to
quote:

I wish him luck. He will need it.

The Dems love their programs, and will not surrender them easily.

The GOP loves its tax cuts, and will not surrender them easily, either.

He will need to get rid of both, to come anywhere near balancing the budget.


The right tax cuts can generate revenue. Americans don't sit on their money; they pump it back into the economy.

No meaningful spending bills will pass. Rand Paul's $1.5 trillion bill was nuked. Didn't even come close to passing.

GOP loves their programs, too.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
58015 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:45 am to

quote:

Last time was what… Clinton Presidency and a huge push from the Gingrich-led House? Contract with America.


If we're going by whether or not there was a budget surplus, the answer is FY2001 under GWB with a surplus of ~$128B.
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
57013 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 10:59 am to
quote:

Trumps tariffs (at best) will raise 3-4T over 10 years.


Where are you getting these numbers? Which tariffs?

Again, you want me to give you equations based on your statements that have no substance.

Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
35628 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 11:01 am to
quote:

Trump pushes for balanced federal budget, a potentially historic feat

The last time Congress passed an actual balanced budget (their main job) was 1996. Since then, they have passed nothing but omnibus bills and continuing resolutions that circumvent the Constitution and allow for spending on otherwise prohibited expenditures.

Notice the correlation between that fact, and the national deficit explosion over the same time period.

It truly would be an historic accomplishment if Trump manages to actually get Congress to do their one job again. It's crazy that we've fallen that far.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
26950 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 11:02 am to
quote:

The Dems love their programs, and will not surrender them easily.


Unfortunately the people also love their programs. Trump doesn't mind pissing off the Dems but he doesn't want to piss off the populace at large, which is why this almost certainly won't happen.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297825 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 11:06 am to
quote:



Where are you getting these numbers? Which tariffs?


quote:

The total revenue raised will be less than the customs duty revenue generated by the tariff because tariffs reduce incomes, and thus reduce income and payroll tax collections. Accounting for income and payroll tax offsets, our conventional revenue estimate finds that the 10 percent tariff would generate $2 trillion of increased revenue, while the 20 percent tariff would generate $3.3 trillion over a decade.

Because both taxes would shrink the size of the US economy, the dynamic scores are smaller: $1.7 trillion for the 10 percent tariff and $2.8 trillion for the 20 percent tariff. If foreign countries retaliate, even partially, to the US-imposed tariffs, revenue will fall further as the economy shrinks even more. For example, we estimate a 10 percent tariff on all US exports would shrink tax revenues on a dynamic basis by more than $190 billion over 10 years.


LINK

This is actually the most optimistic source I found. Others claim less than 2.5T in net tax revenue.

Trumps tariffs will shrink the economy, prop up Big Corp, and stifle small business.
Posted by scottydoesntknow
Member since Nov 2023
10378 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 11:08 am to
quote:

Gonna have to address the welfare state . But, it's a noble goal. Let's at least try.


Cut discretionary to barebones then across the board percentages of entitlements until balance is achieved
Posted by scottydoesntknow
Member since Nov 2023
10378 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Trumps tariffs will shrink the economy, prop up Big Corp, and stifle small business.


If people thought like you did, wed have Kamala Harris going full speed towards tyranny and insolvency. You are a miserable contrarian clown that is probably considered a piece of shite to everyone that interacts with you regularly
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
297825 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 11:13 am to
quote:


If people thought like you did, wed have Kamala Harris going full speed towards tyranny


Wrong. You would make better choices as a human being and stop trusting Daddy Govt so much.



Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27676 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 11:21 am to
quote:

If we're going by whether or not there was a budget surplus, the answer is FY2001 under GWB with a surplus of ~$128B.


Interesting. Was not aware of that.

Thanks.
Posted by cas4t
Member since Jan 2010
72012 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 11:40 am to
quote:

Unfortunately the people also love their programs. Trump doesn't mind pissing off the Dems but he doesn't want to piss off the populace at large, which is why this almost certainly won't happen.


Well when you’ve paid into a program for decades that’s designed to provide you benefits at retirement age, yea, people want them. Or they want their money back. That’s as bipartisan as it gets. I won’t even go into the populace that relies on entitlements that voted for Trump.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
467375 posts
Posted on 2/21/25 at 11:54 am to
quote:

It must be done. You can't have DOGE out there pointing out billions upon billions of dollars in waste then turn around and tell the people that the country is going to continue to run in a deficit


Some of us have been trying to explain this inevitability to y'all since Doge was first floated.

Unless they make major cuts to social security and Medicare, there isn't enough to cut to balance the budget.
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