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re: Trafalgar State Polls: Michigan - Trump +2 | Florida - Trump +3 | Arizona - Trump +3

Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:58 pm to
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72059 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

exactly why i said the other day they're really sticking their dick out there this year

if you're wrong, but everyone else is wrong, nobody notices

if you're wrong, but the only one who is wrong, you're dead
Exactly.

If they are right and everyone else is wrong, sweet Jesus, they will own the polling world.

But if they are wrong, and badly, they are done.

We will never hear about Trafalgar again.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
22124 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:01 pm to
Damn Libertarians.
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2288 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

I want James to win about as much as I do Trump.


Not as much because MAGA revolves around Trump, but James winning is a very close 2nd for me.
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2288 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

If they are right and everyone else is wrong, sweet Jesus, they will own the polling world.


Are you talking about 2016. LOL
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81596 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:48 pm to
Those are likely parked Trump votes
Posted by BayBengal9
Bay St. Louis, MS
Member since Nov 2019
4171 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

To continue from the last comment that replied to you, where it inferred that 5% of the projected Johnson vote "flipped" to Trump as of the election, Trafalgar's head actually thinks that is the case for some of the current Jorgenson and Biden vote. Though, he still tallies it as what they say. The reason he says this is based on their answers to other questions.


I was listening to a non-Trafalgar pollster somewhere (might have been Buck Sexton's show) who was saying Dems voting for Trump and white suburban women were the most likely to fall into the "shy Trump voter" category and he believed 5-7% of those two groups were lying to pollsters about who they're actually voting for.
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
6091 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

I was listening to a non-Trafalgar pollster somewhere (might have been Buck Sexton's show) who was saying Dems voting for Trump and white suburban women were the most likely to fall into the "shy Trump voter" category and he believed 5-7% of those two groups were lying to pollsters about who they're actually voting for.


It would not surprise me one bit if a lot of white suburban women virtue signal amongst their friends and indicate they're voting for Biden and even publicly indicate support but they all wind up voting TRUMP behind the scenes.
Posted by SlickRick55
Member since May 2016
1884 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 8:48 pm to
I wish Trafalgar’s website had all the composite polling data, but it looks pretty blah.
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
11039 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:01 pm to
Posted by mwade91383
Washington DC
Member since Mar 2010
5637 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:08 pm to
Trafalagar just posts what Trump supporters want to hear. They’re literally tweeting about “Joe Predator Biden”. Not exactly the impartiality you’re looking for in a pollster.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
31836 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

Trafalagar just posts what Trump supporters want to hear. They’re literally tweeting about “Joe Predator Biden”. Not exactly the impartiality you’re looking for in a pollster.



Well about a month ago he had Trump down in all those states. Also his company is over if he’s wrong on the level that he is throwing out there.
Posted by Rsande63
Spring,TX
Member since Jan 2016
579 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:26 pm to
mwade91383,

I'm disappointed they would tweet that & I just went back and reviewed every tweet from their account in the last month and missed this.

Can you please provide the link, I'd like to see it and then possibly reconsider my view of their polls? This is very unacceptable and I need to see it to validate & judge context.
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 9:30 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164097 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:42 pm to
Were the Trafalgar polls fake or did they delete them out of shame? The only poll from today on their website is the Trump +3 North Carolina poll.

There's nothing from Michigan, Florida, or Arizona.
Posted by BayBengal9
Bay St. Louis, MS
Member since Nov 2019
4171 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

They’re literally tweeting about “Joe Predator Biden”. Not exactly the impartiality you’re looking for in a pollster.


What part of that tweet was incorrect?
Posted by bird35
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
12167 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:45 pm to
A lot of those white suburban women voters have white male children who would like to chase the American dream and only ask for an opportunity.

Posted by deathvalleytiger10
Member since Sep 2009
7569 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:51 pm to
Please validate your post with proof of Trafalgars tweet.
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45213 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

Were the Trafalgar polls fake or did they delete them out of shame? The only poll from today on their website is the Trump +3 North Carolina poll.

There's nothing from Michigan, Florida, or Arizona.


I've noticed a pattern is they send these results to media prior to publishing on their website/tweeting. They'll probably post tomorrow
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72059 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 10:00 pm to
quote:

They’re literally tweeting about “Joe Predator Biden”. Not exactly the impartiality you’re looking for in a pollster.
Where?

LINK

I can’t find what you are talking about on the Trafalgar group’s twitter account.
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
22844 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 10:02 pm to
ROfL is your boyfriend gonna console you on election night? This was the only accurate poll in 2016. Also, Joe Biden is a predator.
Posted by waiting4saturday
Covington, LA
Member since Sep 2005
9716 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 10:05 pm to
Trafalgar polls

Me:
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