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re: Trafalgar State Polls: Michigan - Trump +2 | Florida - Trump +3 | Arizona - Trump +3
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:26 pm to SlowFlowPro
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:26 pm to SlowFlowPro
Media thought Johnson was going to get 5-8% of the vote in 2016, I think he ended up with 3%.
Guess who those other 5% actually voted for
Guess who those other 5% actually voted for
0
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:29 pm to LordSaintly
quote:People may have issues with Trafalgar (unfounded, IMO), but +13 makes zero sense.
Gravis has Biden at +13 in Michigan.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:30 pm to joshnorris14
quote:
Trafalgar
Very good polling service. This polling is good news
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:30 pm to Scruffy
quote:
People may have issues with Trafalgar
They dislike accuracy?
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:32 pm to joshnorris14
Drumph is comin’ and Hell’s comin’ with him!
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:33 pm to joshnorris14
quote:They use the fact that he projected Kemp and Cruz to win by more while discounting the fact that Trafalgar was the 2nd most accurate overall in 2016 and the most accurate in 2018.
They dislike accuracy?
If you read my thread, Real Clear Politics goes into it.
If Trump wins, it will boost Trafalgar big time and destroy the other pollsters.
If Trump loses, it will be used to crush Trafalgar.
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 6:38 pm
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:34 pm to joshnorris14
It’s happening isn’t it ??
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:35 pm to joshnorris14
All the stat gays on twitter are destroying these polls since they buck their narrative. Apparently Trafalgar has blocked the cross tabs which is kind of odd.
But still inject Trafalgar straight into my veins.
But still inject Trafalgar straight into my veins.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:36 pm to joshnorris14
quote:
People may have issues with Trafalgar
They dislike accuracy?
Apparently Nate Silver does. He throttles them like Twitter on a Hunter Biden story.
Rates them C- despite them calling more races correctly than several agencies he rates A+ and a lower miss margin that many in the A range.
When statisticians became propagandists where do we go?
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:36 pm to joshnorris14
And after the SCOTUS rules in opposition of voter fraud in PA Trump wins there too.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:38 pm to Adam Banks
I got polled by Trafalgar 2 weeks ago and their questions were the most unbiased and non-pushy of any polling service I’ve responded to. I genuinely didn’t know the political leaning of the pollster and it was all automated.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:40 pm to LordSaintly
quote:
Gravis has Biden at +13 in Michigan. Why are so many of these polls so inconsistent?
Just like Gravis Wisconsin poll. Somehow they keep polling states that Donald Trump won yet their polls have more 2016 Hillary voters per what they admit on their question of who was their 2016 vote for
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 6:42 pm
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:40 pm to LordSaintly
quote:
Gravis has Biden at +13 in Michigan
They know Trump won MI in 2016, right? Imagine being so deluded you actually believe this
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:41 pm to TakingStock
quote:
I got polled by Trafalgar 2 weeks ago and their questions were the most unbiased and non-pushy of any polling service I’ve responded to. I genuinely didn’t know the political leaning of the pollster and it was all automated.
Nate doesnt like automated polling. Nates an idiot.
Its much easier to tell an answering machine that you like Trump rather than a stranger.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:44 pm to SlowFlowPro
To continue from the last comment that replied to you, where it inferred that 5% of the projected Johnson vote "flipped" to Trump as of the election, Trafalgar's head actually thinks that is the case for some of the current Jorgenson and Biden vote. Though, he still tallies it as what they say. The reason he says this is based on their answers to other questions.
We will find out on November 3rd if the pollsters have been lied to again.
We will find out on November 3rd if the pollsters have been lied to again.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:45 pm to TakingStock
quote:
I got polled by Trafalgar 2 weeks ago and their questions were the most unbiased and non-pushy of any polling service I’ve responded to. I genuinely didn’t know the political leaning of the pollster and it was all automated.
I think doing this and then getting an accurate sample is the key. Although, I know very little about polling.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:46 pm to The Boat
quote:I mean, if Trafalgar is wrong, this will be the end of them.
All the stat gays on twitter are destroying these polls since they buck their narrative. Apparently Trafalgar has blocked the cross tabs which is kind of odd.
With the way partisanship is going, Trafalgar will be commercially and publicly crushed.
They don’t benefit from being incorrect.
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 6:47 pm
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:52 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
No it's definitely BS but Jesus, what kind of voodoo polling are they doing to have Biden at freaking +13?
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:54 pm to Blizzard of Chizz
quote:
I have a feeling that there are tons of Trump supporters out there just like me. We don’t own the hats or flags, we don’t talk politics to anyone, but we are going to show up in force Nov 3rd
TD and discussions with my wife and parents are the only forums in which I discuss politics. Outside of that, maybe 10 people know who I push the button for. Hint: I didn't do it even before Kav, but after Kav there will never be a situation where I push the button for a dem. Never.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:56 pm to Scruffy
quote:
I mean, if Trafalgar is wrong, this will be the end of them.
With the way partisanship is going, Trafalgar will be commercially and publicly crushed.
They don’t benefit from being incorrect.
exactly why i said the other day they're really sticking their dick out there this year
if you're wrong, but everyone else is wrong, nobody notices
if you're wrong, but the only one who is wrong, you're dead
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