Started By
Message

Trafalgar has Talarico +3

Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:00 pm
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
10733 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:00 pm
Might as well be a wrap if a right leaning poll is giving it that much of a cushion.

Hard to fathom Texas voting for a Democrat Senator.
Posted by tigger4ever
Member since Apr 2021
1558 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:07 pm to
A gay one at that.
Posted by TigerIron
Member since Feb 2021
4185 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

Might as well be a wrap if a right leaning poll is giving it that much of a cushion.

Hard to fathom Texas voting for a Democrat Senator.


The election is still nearly a month away. A UMass/ YouGov poll had them tied as of yesterday. Might as well be a wrap if a left-leaning poll has got them tied?

Oh, the margin of error on the Trafalgar poll? 2.9%. So the "cushion," if you could call it that, would be .1%
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
10733 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

The election is still nearly a month away. A UMass/ YouGov poll had them tied as of yesterday. Might as well be a wrap if a left-leaning poll has got them tied? Oh, the margin of error on the Trafalgar poll? 2.9%. So the "cushion," if you could call it that, would be .1%


Outside the margin of error on a right leaning poll is ominous.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
101294 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:21 pm to
I will lol so hard if Texas votes in Freako
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
17794 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:22 pm to
Barely outside of the margin of error.

This will drift.

Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199428 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:26 pm to
(no message)
Posted by JimEverett
Member since May 2020
2793 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:29 pm to
Trafalgar poll | 10/6-10/8 LV

US Senate Texas 2026 (crosstabs)

White
??Ken Paxton 48% (+5)
??James Talarico 43%
——
Hispanic
??James Talarico 48% (+2)
??Ken Paxton 46%
——
Black
??James Talarico 56% (+24)
??Ken Paxton 32%
——
Asian
??James Talarico 72% (+72)
??Ken Paxton 0%
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
176411 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:29 pm to
I think Paxton sneaks out a close one but I'm beginning to question the logic behind that prediction.

Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
14795 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:35 pm to
What is the methodology? How many people did they sample? When you dig into these polls it’s surprising how few people there are in the sample size. In a state the size of Texas it almost becomes meaningless. Ask yourself: How accurate have the polls been the last few election cycles?
Posted by TigerIron
Member since Feb 2021
4185 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:36 pm to
quote:


Outside the margin of error on a right leaning poll is ominous.


Thanks, concern troll. I am .1% (that is, one one thousandth) worried. How does the tie in the non-right-leaning poll fare on your ominous-meter?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
179031 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:37 pm to
Let’s see what the post-funny farm polls look like next week
Posted by SomewhereDownInTX
Down in Texas, Somewhere
Member since Mar 2010
3545 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:37 pm to
Believe it or not, but there are a ton of dumbasses in this state.
Posted by FATBOY TIGER
Valhalla
Member since Jan 2016
14273 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:40 pm to
The "minority" vote is really sad.
Posted by TigerIron
Member since Feb 2021
4185 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Asian ??
James Talarico 72% (+72)
??Ken Paxton 0%


I would think that if they have a poll with 0% they'd either not release the crosstabs, or redo the poll.
This post was edited on 10/10/26 at 4:47 pm
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38120 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:49 pm to
Members of the silent majority, where elections are typically won and lost, in the “swing” districts or states, the average person in that group is much more likely to hang up or otherwise ignore polling requests/invitations. Same story for voters on the right who don’t proactively discuss their political beliefs, who keep to themselves on such matters, and in accordance therewith they also avoid a polling situation as well.

I’d guess that their reasoning could or would be that they don’t trust the “anonymous” nature of polling and have sorta noticed the extent of craziness and crazy people who would oppose them; and/or for reason of not trusting their participation would be accurately or scrupulously factored in and presented.

Just my personal thoughts and opinion on the matter. Some of us will understand and connect with this common sense proposition, while those who aren’t capable will cry “too long and too many of those word things,” or “All I can say is word salad. No literally, that’s all I’m capable of saying.” Lol
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199428 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:55 pm to
(no message)
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
26505 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 4:57 pm to
I am afraid the fruit wins.....and that's not just a TX problem, that's a USA problem!
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199428 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 5:02 pm to
or

its just that paxton is a bad, very bad candidate
Posted by OldHickory
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2012
10927 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 5:04 pm to
The fact that this is even a discussion is solely on the shoulders of fake TX GOP politicians who have sold out their state to a bunch of outsiders, foreigners, and illegals.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 8Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

Facebook•X•Instagram