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re: Texas Early Voting Numbers

Posted on 10/30/20 at 11:56 am to
Posted by 1BamaRTR
In Your Head Blvd
Member since Apr 2015
24837 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 11:56 am to
quote:

Also, the massive tech industries will prevent any statement of victory on Nov 3rd
I can't imagine any of them or media saying Trump is going to win if it looks like he might be
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
47628 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 11:58 am to
Biden wants to ban oil and you think he's going to win Texas?


KYS
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

I can't imagine any of them or media saying Trump is going to win if it looks like he might be
They won’t.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

Biden wants to ban oil and you think he's going to win Texas?


KYS
That came out after MILLIONS of votes were already cast.

Who is to say that that wasn’t “too little too late”?
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
26833 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:04 pm to
Not to mention the number of "Undecided voters" is way lower than 2016.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

Not to mention the number of "Undecided voters" is way lower than 2016.
Yep.
Posted by barbapapa
Member since Mar 2018
3862 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:05 pm to
Trump is not losing Texas. Get a grip, man. Beto couldn’t do it. Really wasn’t that close at the end either
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 12:06 pm
Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
7580 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:07 pm to
Because the early voting models are actually still extremely in Trump’s favor?
Posted by Colonel Flagg
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2010
23488 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

quote:
Biden wants to ban oil and you think he's going to win Texas?


KYS
That came out after MILLIONS of votes were already cast.

Who is to say that that wasn’t “too little too late”?


People must be that ignorant. It isn’t the first time he said it in the last debate.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 12:09 pm
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

Because the early voting models are actually still extremely in Trump’s favor?
The early voting models that people keep posting are based on location and consumer data from some entity called TargetSmart.
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
47628 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:09 pm to
No it has NOT.

he's been campaigning on phasing out fossil fuels all year and he supports open borders.

The top 5 biggest cities in the state represent only 20% of the population. Its not like Ny where half the people live in NYC or Illinois where 25% live in Chicago. Texas has a massive rural voter base and Trump is stronger with Hispanics than any Republican in recent memory.

Settle the frick down.
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26608 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

he's been campaigning on phasing out fossil fuels all year and he supports open borders.



I still can't believe Biden basically admitted to wanting to eliminate the oil/gas industry.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
39537 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Yeah but we already have proof that dim operatives are getting paid tens of thousands of dollars in cash to cast ballots for Biden from Republican registered voters.

we do?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

People must be that ignorant.
Bruh, have you not seen your fellow American?

There is a reason I only ever want 50% of the population to be allowed to vote, primarily based on IQ, but I digress.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

we do?
Yes.

Look up Raquel Rodriguez.
Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
7580 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:11 pm to
“Some entity” It seems like you pick and choose what data from NBC you’d like to believe. I personally think 2 things 1. No chance in hell Biden wins Texas. 2. The data metrics being used to predict early voting must be more accurate because AGAIN Biden isn’t winning Texas. He’s not even winning FL.
ETA: The actual EV stats released in other states support the idea that in a decidedly more red state, like Texas, Trump would be killing it.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 12:13 pm
Posted by CajunTiger78
Member since Aug 2017
2879 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

Even Texas might go blue. I don’t see this trending well for Trump.


Dude you are totally underestimating the motivated Trump supporter like myself that wanted to pull the lever for Trump as soon as I could....we are voting early.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

“Some entity”
Yes, some entity.

The only data from 2016 that I can find by them are “exit polls”.
Posted by Irons Puppet
Birmingham
Member since Jun 2009
25901 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:13 pm to
Im starting to believe Trump will win the popular vote also.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Dude you are totally underestimating the motivated Trump supporter like myself that wanted to pull the lever for Trump as soon as I could....we are voting early.
And I’m worried that even with early voting, we will still trail on ED and won’t have enough votes to catch up.

Look, I like assured things.

I don’t like questionable outcomes, which is why I don’t gamble.

This entire event fricks with my basic premise of “assured outcomes”.
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