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re: Texas Early Voting Numbers

Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:26 am to
Posted by AURaptor
South
Member since Aug 2018
11958 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:26 am to
I don't see 2020 being all that different than 2016. I suspect most folks voting early rather than ON election day , but the overall numbers will be in the same ballpark.
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
122931 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:26 am to
I live in a pretty lib area of Houston and the voting line near me is full of trucks and SUVs. I think people are going to be surprised.
Posted by LuckyTiger
Top 1% On Onlyfans
Member since Dec 2008
52524 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:26 am to
When did you flip? You seemed somewhat bullish a couple days ago.

Myself, I’ve always been skeptical. Not saying I don’t think Trump can’t win just that I think it’s more likely that Biden wins.

I’ve always said it would be close.
Posted by windshieldman
Member since Nov 2012
12818 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:26 am to
quote:

Trump getting only 35% of that demographic is not a winning situation for him.


We talking suburban women outside the big cities. Rural women and smaller towns all throughout TX will probably be close to 85% Trump. Suburban men are still gonna go Trump
Posted by CarRamrod
Spurbury, VT
Member since Dec 2006
58523 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:26 am to
quote:

90% of siburburban women are voting against Trump because he's a meanie.
why is this falsehood spread? Every suburban woman I know is red.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
98281 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:26 am to
Can an admin change your name to ScruffyCuck please
Posted by ShoeBang
Member since May 2012
22272 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:27 am to
quote:

(Not a bad song to have stuck in your head this A.M.)


Posted by viv1d
Member since Aug 2017
1838 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:27 am to
Do you realize Harris, Travis and Dallas already overwhelmingly vote blue? Texas is a huge fricking state and most of the small towns are 80%+ red. Go look at the 2016 numbers, the small towns make up the majority of Texas voters.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:27 am to
quote:

Even Texas might go blue.

I don’t see this trending well for Trump.

Scruffy is sad.
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22973 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:27 am to
quote:

Biden type voters


Suburban women?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:27 am to
quote:

When did you flip? You seemed somewhat bullish a couple days ago.



After he went to dinner with some friends.
Posted by JJJimmyJimJames
Southern States
Member since May 2020
18496 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:27 am to
quote:

At some point yes, I'd say probably another decade before it does.

You never know, they may become intelligent and ethical at some point first
Posted by windshieldman
Member since Nov 2012
12818 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:27 am to
quote:

When did you flip? You seemed somewhat bullish a couple days ago.


He's been saying Trump is gonna lose for a month
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14977 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:28 am to
quote:

my friends in the suburbs who early voted observed disturbing number of Biden type voters in the lines.



You have racist friends
Posted by MickeyLikesDags21
Member since Apr 2019
6641 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:28 am to
Forbes

quote:

As of Oct. 29, NBC News has analyzed Texas’ early and by mail voting through Oct. 26, finding that 54% of those voting early are Republican vs. 36% Democrat and 10% other or unknown. This gives the Republicans up to an 18% lead in early voting in Texas, or 8% if all the unknown and first-time voters are assigned to the Democrats.


quote:

Because polls suggest that Republicans are more likely than Democrats to vote in-person and on Election Day (due to a wide partisan gap in the level of fear over COVID-19), it can be projected that the estimated share of the Republican vote still has room to climb in Texas.


quote:

If Texas voters adhere to their party affiliations, the early voting there could indicate that President Trump is on track to meet or exceed his 9 point win over Hillary Clinton in 2016, meaning the polls are understating support for Trump by an average of about 7%. If that does end up being the case, it could mean two things: political polling has gotten worse since 2016; and Texas isn’t turning blue anytime soon.
Posted by Bunta
Member since Oct 2007
12700 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:29 am to
Keep your shitty trolling in DAT threads.
Posted by AU66
Northport Al
Member since Sep 2006
3312 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:30 am to
LINK


uhhmm TRUMP is destroying Biden as of right now in Texas.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77270 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:30 am to
quote:

When did you flip? You seemed somewhat bullish a couple days ago.

It goes up and down.

I’m just going to accept a Biden win.

It’ll be easier come Wed.
quote:

Myself, I’ve always been skeptical. Not saying I don’t think Trump can’t win just that I think it’s more likely that Biden wins.
I think Biden walks away with it.

The more you think about the situation, the more Trump’s chances seem to fall.

Trump isn’t facing off with Biden.

It is Trump versus every literal institution within the US, from the media to big tech to the entrenched government bureaucrats.

Hell, Fox News is in the Biden camp.

Catching lightning in a bottle twice is too extreme.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 8:31 am
Posted by windshieldman
Member since Nov 2012
12818 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:30 am to
quote:

MickeyLikesDags21


Thank you. This board flips out over high early voting numbers and it's mind boggling why. All you have do is 10 seconds of research and you'll see Rs are early voting at record numbers also.
Posted by RammerJammer91
Member since Jan 2016
5694 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:30 am to
quote:

Do you realize Harris, Travis and Dallas already overwhelmingly vote blue? Texas is a huge fricking state and most of the small towns are 80%+ red. Go look at the 2016 numbers, the small towns make up the majority of Texas voters.


Harris is still technically a swing county. McCain, Romney, and the congressional and state court races were very close from 2008-2016. Cruz almost won it in 2012 and Cornyn won it in 2014. Trump is just a bad fit for that county, given the suburban women and increasing Hispanic community around Houston.
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