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re: Nate Silver now has Kamala +3

Posted on 9/22/24 at 2:06 pm to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466156 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 2:06 pm to
The Boat can correct me, but I'm pretty sure +3 on a national poll means Trump is still ahead
Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
7839 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Media machine is doing unbelievable brainwashing.

This. But that’s even assuming that you believe that the polls are accurate and not just creating enough plausible belief in the steal.
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
21874 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 2:59 pm to
No chance he wins PA voting laws will sink trump
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125448 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

dont care so much about nationally, its the swing states that matter


Yeah. This is almost irrelevant data.
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
53556 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 3:11 pm to
I predict we have POTUS Harris.
Posted by McLemore
Member since Dec 2003
34773 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 3:13 pm to
It’s hard to fathom that I live in a nation where even 20% could vote for that idiotic evil trollop.
Posted by RohanGonzales
Member since Apr 2024
8217 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 3:15 pm to
That is based on the CBS and NBC polls.

Read what you post.
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
9474 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 3:20 pm to
The post debate National polls are rough for Trump.
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
19780 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 3:26 pm to
National polls are irrelevant because California, Illinois and New York will always inflate the Dem numbers. The electoral map is a different game.

Also, these polls are targeting more women than men in order to get another boost for Kamala.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100461 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 3:38 pm to
This weeks polls should start to reflect any change from Trumps assassination attempt. I think they’ll start to tighten back up
Posted by AZHorn
Southern Arizona
Member since Aug 2021
1062 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

This weeks polls should start to reflect any change from Trumps assassination attempt. I think they’ll start to tighten back up


The MSM buried that second attempt within a day and a half with Diddy news...

People are just stupid. Giving her a bump based on a rigged debate where it was 3 vs 1...We are officially being run by the media propaganda machine of the DEM party...
This post was edited on 9/22/24 at 3:44 pm
Posted by Roaad
White Privilege Broker
Member since Aug 2006
81954 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 4:02 pm to
She has been up in Silver's model.

Trump is still up in the EC, in his model iirc
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39601 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 4:05 pm to
How many women did they sample?


quote:

quote:
Bill O’Reilly says certain presidential polls that favor Vice President Kamala Harris may be oversampled with women.

“I don’t know if this is true, but it has a ring of truth to it,” O’Reilly said on “CUOMO,” noting that Harris is known to be more popular among female voters than males. “Some of the polls that want to deliver positive results for Harris are now heavily canvassing women.”


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/bill-o-reilly-some-polls-may-be-oversampled-with-women/ar-AA1qOgTN
This post was edited on 9/22/24 at 4:08 pm
Posted by NashvilleTider
Your Mom
Member since Jan 2007
15225 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 4:23 pm to
lol two days ago he had Trump winning big - none of these polls mean anything
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
83689 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

lol two days ago he had Trump winning big - none of these polls mean anything


He's still ahead. It's a GOTV campaign now. People who don't understand that now are morons. Of course, a majority of Americans are morons.
Posted by Mobile Patriot
Mobile
Member since Aug 2024
771 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 4:31 pm to
If Kamala was really ahead, there is no way in Hell that she would even consider doing another debate. Her internals are telling her she is behind and needs a big moment to switch momentum.
Trump's internals are telling him he is ahead, and as much as he likes combat, the smart move is to not debate.
Posted by Thundercles
Mars
Member since Sep 2010
6129 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 4:31 pm to
How many times are you dumb fricking people going to make national poll threads. Of course the Democrat is going to lead in national polls. There are 30 million fricktards in California that are always going to skew it. No one gives a shite.
Posted by dalefla
Central FL
Member since Jul 2024
3210 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 4:40 pm to
A 3% popular vote polling difference, assuming poll sample size reflects all state electorates, almost guarantees Trump an easy EC victory.
Posted by Dex Morgan
Member since Nov 2022
3174 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 4:48 pm to
You are just pitiful if you believe that poll is in any way valid.
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
26307 posts
Posted on 9/22/24 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

Nate Silver now has Kamala +3


So why do they have to bus in people to go to Kamala's events?

For anyone stupid enough to believe this +3 garbage, have you already forgotten that even the dim voters didn't like Kamala when she was running against Biden?
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