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re: Mark Halperin: Kamala's internal polls more aligned with today's NYT / Emerson polls

Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:16 pm to
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84311 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:16 pm to
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

Trump could win NC, GA, AZ, and NV and still lose.



While true, this seems very unlikely that if Trump sweeps the entire sun belt, wins Ohio and Florida by 7% or more, and gets shut out of PA and MI and WI
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 4:19 pm
Posted by clacker
kamrad cooked!
Member since Aug 2024
904 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:18 pm to
!KAMRAD IS COOKED!
!KAMRAD IS COOKED!
!KAMRAD IS COOKED!
!KAMRAD IS COOKED!
!KAMRAD IS COOKED!



Posted by Gifman
Clearwater Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2021
18894 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:25 pm to
Kamabla getting smoked!!!!!
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
16257 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

This race will come down to PA.

Not necessarily. Trump could lose PA but win WI (which the latest Emerson poll had Trump up +1) or MI.

Now with that said, I think those 3 states will all go together, but the possibility is still there that WI could go to Trump even without PA going to him.

Plus he could win the NE 2nd and tie the EC votes (and thus get voted in by congress) if he loses the blue wall.
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
35938 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

Trump could win NC, GA, AZ, and NV and still lose.

This race will come down to PA.


It ain't called the blue wall for no reason.
Posted by RobbBobb
Member since Feb 2007
34286 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Take him with a grain of salt. He was all about Minnesota going Trump in 2020. It wasn't close.

Lulz

You still believe the actual results from 2020?

The highest particpation in that state was 78% for decades. In '20 it was 80%. Also, the votes were in the 2.8M range every year since Bush. It jumped to 3.2M in '20. About a 300,000 vote increase

Guess how many votes Trump lost by? You got it, just under 300,000
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:13 pm to
I mean, that was kind of interesting but all the call in people mentioned ZERO policy.

They are "what feels right" voters.

I guess Kamala is playing this right. There is a big faction in the election that just votes on feel and antidotes.

It was quit the pathetic group of extreme moderate call in callers.
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
34222 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:15 pm to
Can someone explain real clear politics to me?

Go to the website and it References eight poles and the average is Kamala with 53 to Trump 47%

How was that possible?
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:19 pm to
quote:

Scott Presler


We have the best gays don't we folks.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79985 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:19 pm to
quote:

You still believe the actual results from 2020?
In Minnesota, yes.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:25 pm to
quote:

Can someone explain real clear politics to me?

Go to the website and it References eight poles and the average is Kamala with 53 to Trump 47%

How was that possible?


You are reading something different.

Harris is leading in the RCP average 49.4 to 47.2. She is up 2.2 on average.

Biden was up 7.2 over Trump in 2020 and Trump only lost by 42,918 votes in 2020.

That's why there is so much optimism for Trump this time around. Follow Atlas Intel and Rasmussen. Those were the two most accurate pollsters in 2020 in the RCP average and they have Trump ahead by 3 and 2 respectively in the GE.

Trump can lose the GE and sill win the EV.

If Trump wins the GE there is no way Harris can win the EV.

Hillary won the GE in 2016 but lost the EV.

Harris needs to be up by 4.5 in he RCP average to eek out a EV win.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
167463 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:29 pm to
you got me hooked on this back when Meg McCain was on it. does she still pop in here?

thanks a hecklin much, mate. here it is set to the time. why does he say sunbelt states? did they tire calling them rust belt?

Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84311 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:34 pm to
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
196572 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:34 pm to
Sunbelt are southern States
Rustbelt is industrial east/midwest
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
167463 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:39 pm to
thanks.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
196572 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:47 pm to
yw


And have been trying to educate many of you for a number of weeks now her campaign behavior is a telltale sign of what her internal polling is telling her

that y'all are now crowing about

she's spending campaign funds Because the Democrats and campaign staffers across the country are trying to spend money as quickly as possible because they know that it's going to dry up very soon

Her campaign across the nation is doing things that campaigns do when they're not going to win but they have to try to spend money to justify their existence for the next job
so they're just doing things that are there's kind of like a checklist for experience
very rudementaryn
Posted by lsuguy84
Madisonville
Member since Feb 2009
27395 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:49 pm to
Are you saying she’s crumbling right now and these are desperate moves?
Posted by TROCKS50
Member since Jan 2013
1188 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 5:51 pm to
If DJT has to count on landing all of MI, WI, PA let me say i am very concerned as i think he loses all 3 again by a whisker.
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 6:02 pm to
quote:

mean, that was kind of interesting but all the call in people mentioned ZERO policy.



I usually only watch the first 15 to 20 minutes where it's mark and 1 pundit from each party. The call in portion is kind of gimmicky to get more eyeballs imo.
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 6:03 pm
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