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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 2:21 pm to GOP_Tiger
Posted on 7/13/26 at 2:21 pm to GOP_Tiger
The oddest thing is how many people were convinced in 2022 that Russia would be heavily favored in a longer conflict. We see every day that was incorrect.
LINK
quote:
Macron said Ukraine will receive Rafale fighters in 2028 to 2029 and licenses to produce Aster-30 missiles for SAMP/T, AASM Hammer guided bombs, and SCALP cruise missiles. Zelensky said Ukraine currently lacks interceptors against ballistic missiles but has developed an antiballistic missile. He added that Ukraine and its partners could build a joint antiballistic system within 12 months.
LINK
Posted on 7/13/26 at 3:46 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:Agreed.
The oddest thing is how many people were convinced in 2022 that Russia would be heavily favored in a longer conflict.
I know I was in that crowd.
I was also in the crowd who believed the war would be over in less than 3 months with Ukraine completely overrun by the mighty Russian military.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 4:08 pm to LSURussian
quote:
I was also in the crowd who believed the war would be over in less than 3 months with Ukraine completely overrun by the mighty Russian military.
I was right there with you guys.
I can’t believe that people can’t see how great of a fight Ukraine has put up.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 4:10 pm to LSURussian
quote:
I was also in the crowd who believed the war would be over in less than 3 months with Ukraine completely overrun by the mighty Russian military.
In fairness, that is what would have happened had the US and EU not decided to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian and dump $500 billion into the conflict. A lot of people would still be alive today as well.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 4:17 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
A lot of people would still be alive today as well.
And even more would be alive if Russia hadn't invaded Ukraine.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 4:21 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
In fairness, that is what would have happened had the US and EU not decided to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian and dump $500 billion into the conflict. A lot of people would still be alive today as well.
If the Russians had executed their plan Ukraine would have been overrun before Western aid would have shown up.
Ukraine would be under Russian control, and Ukrainians would be locked up in prison camps.
Some people still believe in live free or die.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 4:23 pm to GOP_Tiger
That is interesting. What are the viable options for fuel transport? Truck, rail, ship, pipeline? Truck and rail only have 2 routes into Crimea, and they have both been disrupted. Ships are seeing as much or greater interruption.
A pipeline under the Sea of Azov seems crazy and even under the Kerch Straight you still have to have it emerge at a distribution point which would be a prime target.
A pipeline under the Sea of Azov seems crazy and even under the Kerch Straight you still have to have it emerge at a distribution point which would be a prime target.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 4:25 pm to Obtuse1
quote:
A pipeline under the Sea of Azov seems crazy and even under the Kerch Straight you still have to have it emerge at a distribution point which would be a prime target.
And Russia would have to build it while under fire the whole way across. That would take a long time, so I don't see how that would be quick relief.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 4:44 pm to LSURussian
quote:
I was also in the crowd who believed the war would be over in less than 3 months with Ukraine completely overrun by the mighty Russian military.
After looking up the approximate size of the Ukraine military including, police and border units, reserves and all, Russia's special exercise that became their "special operation" didn't appear to have that much of an advantage. Add to that Ukraine fighting for their homes and hearths as well as great historical animosity toward Russia, they had the will to fight.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 4:48 pm to Obtuse1
More funny than strictly relevant. She sure does say blyat a lot; it must be the HSV-2 coursing through her veins.
FYI Wildberries is similar to Amazon in Russia, so it appears whatever she is selling there is getting more expensive, and the sales commissions are going up.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. FYI Wildberries is similar to Amazon in Russia, so it appears whatever she is selling there is getting more expensive, and the sales commissions are going up.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 4:52 pm to doubleb
quote:
Ukrainians would be locked up in prison camps.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 5:00 pm to T1gerNate
French imports of Russian LNG increased 34% in the month of June.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 5:13 pm to Obtuse1
Reports of a Ukrainian drone attack on the Afipsky refinery.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 7/13/26 at 5:19 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
had the US and EU not decided to fight Russia
Well. To be fair, the Ukrainians did most of the fighting. And the dying. So don't leave them out.
And. Serious question: If a neighbor invaded your country. With the aim of turning you into a puppet state, like Belarus. Would you fight? Or would you just be ok with losing your sovereignty?
Second question: Is Ukraine better off today than they would have been if they had rolled over and become the next Belarus?
Posted on 7/13/26 at 5:22 pm to No Colors
quote:
Is Ukraine better off today than they would have been if they had rolled over and become the next Belarus?
Unquestionably, by every conceivable objective measure, no. Not even close.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 5:23 pm to No Colors
quote:
Is Ukraine better off today than they would have been if they had rolled over and become the next Belarus?
Not today, but I bet they will be five years after this is over.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 5:24 pm to No Colors
quote:
If a neighbor invaded your country. With the aim of turning you into a puppet state, like Belarus. Would you fight? Or would you just be ok with losing your sovereignty?
Well I would probably fight, but I live in a real country, not a former SSR that has been nominally independent for a shorter amount of time than the show The Simpsons has been on the air.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 5:43 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
Unquestionably, by every conceivable objective measure, no. Not even close.
Depends on the value of freedom.

Posted on 7/13/26 at 5:59 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
Unquestionably, by every conceivable objective measure, no. Not even close.
Ok. So for clarity you believe that Ukraine would be better off as a client state of Russia, than as a western aligned sovereign country with 20% of its eastern side occupied?
Because if you ask people in Belarus how they like being a vassal state. In general they don't like it. Their leaders just never gave them a choice.
Posted on 7/13/26 at 6:05 pm to Auburn1968
quote:
“The photo deserves to be called historic,”
If Russia did this y'all would (rightfully) be clowning them for basically using Cessnas as bombers
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