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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 7/26/26 at 6:24 am to
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8588 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 6:24 am to
quote:

Totally predictable. The new Lindsey Graham sanctions bill must be getting serious traction. Every time the US Congress gets close to passing this sanctions bill, Putin starts asking for negotiations and cease fire proposals. Anything to delay the proceedings


Ukraine and the US worked on the proposal in this post that will be sent to Russia. Russia isn't asking for that and hasn't even seen it yet. Did you even read your own link before posting?
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5015 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 6:38 am to
This is just one of many stories describing how the FSB enriches itself without any control from higher-ups in government. It clearly follows that there are no higher-ups than these gangs from the FSB.

With Putin ducking and dodging from one Trans Ural bolt hole to another, the real power in Moscow now are these mafia gangs of the security services.
quote:

The Cheka-OGPU had at their disposal a description of the events that preceded the large-scale searches and detentions at [the corporation] GK "Protector," the largest supplier of aviation parts bypassing sanctions, from the company's founder, Pavel Provotorov.

First, individuals close to the FSB created major problems for him through customs channels. In exchange, they demanded 50% of the entire business and, accordingly, half of all profits. And then they began milking him for ever new payments; 12 billion rubles allocated for the purchase of aviation spare parts through Rosaviatsia, etc., were squandered.
quote:

After the start of the war and the imposition of sanctions against the Russian Federation in 2022, GK "Protector" quickly emerged as a leader in supplying spare parts to Russia bypassing sanctions, having companies in the USA, Thailand, Singapore, and established supply chains for this purpose. Already in 2022, the group's turnover amounted to about 3 billion rubles PER MONTH. However, by the end of 2022, "Protector" began experiencing difficulties with customs clearance in Russia. The customs clearance time for one shipment ranged from one week to several months. Customs also provided information that criminal cases would soon be initiated against the management of GK Protector. From our project, we'll add that there's no need to guess much to understand that behind these problems stood Oleg Gubaidualin, Deputy Head of the Federal Customs Service of Russia. This is an FSB general attached to customs.

There's more if you have the stomach for it.

LINK
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5015 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 6:53 am to
She gets it. "Posted petrol prices mysteriously cut in half, tarmacs blackened, guess whose coming to visit us...?"

While oil refineries and Wildberries are hit almost daily, emitting enough smoke for the entire country to see, Putin is busy visiting every Trans Ural site he can find.

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Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21133 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 9:42 am to
quote:

While oil refineries and Wildberries are hit almost daily, emitting enough smoke for the entire country to see, Putin is busy visiting every Trans Ural site he can find.



The Tyumen refinery hit yesterday was the first in a week, and there wasn't another one last night. Either Ukraine has largely slowed its targeting of refineries, or Russia has finally got better air defense in place to protect them. Everything I read indicates that the fuel shortages in Russia have definitely lessened in the last week.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5856 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 10:28 am to
Magyar interview.

Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13669 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 11:16 am to
That's not a picture of Putin.

It is well known that he has a couple of body doubles who make most of these goodwill tours of factories and all that. But as he gets older it's harder and harder to keep everyone looking the same. People age differently and the ruse is becoming absurd.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5015 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

It is well known that he has a couple of body doubles who make most of these goodwill tours of factories and all that.

Yes, take your pick -


Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16412 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Everything I read indicates that the fuel shortages in Russia have definitely lessened in the last week.


Components of gasoline manufactured then blended before getting to market is not overnight. Take a refinery which I have for sale sent 4,000 BPD to a large truck stop adjacent to it. over 85,000 bbls of storage just for diesel with capacity of 8,000 BPD. For gasoline, naphtha, refomate, alkylate and isomerate need to be blended after refining to blend into actual gasoline that you put into a vehicle
Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
3805 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 2:58 pm to
In the Soviet Union most normal people didn’t have personal automobiles so domestic refining capacity was limited and the distribution system was local. Like for example a refinery in Moscow would have never been designed or intended to supply more than the Moscow region. Russia really doesn’t have a national gas distribution system the way we do. So the shortages you had in the past couple of months reflected local supply interruptions rather than a critical disruption in refining capacity. I have no idea what if anything they did to ease the local shortages but I expect it was probably something relatively simple like transporting gas from unaffected areas to consumers in affected areas in tankers.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21133 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 7:29 pm to
Yes, at no point has Ukraine actually reduced Russian refinery capacity below domestic demand. What happened, though, was that refinery attacks disrupted logistics, leaving much of Russia with fuel shortages. It's why Ukraine has to keep hitting refineries if they want to seriously disrupt the Russian economy, because Russia eventually gets logistical problems fixed.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16412 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 11:01 pm to
quote:


In the Soviet Union most normal people didn’t have personal automobiles so domestic refining capacity was limited and the distribution system was local.


I'm well aware of that. They ordered a number of cookie cutter small simple refineries from an EPC firm in Houston which never was paid. That went belly up by 1995.

A lot has changed since then with modernization and expansion of refineries since the early 2000s. There is a transport system It's called railroads and internal river/canal system. There are also product pipelines now
This post was edited on 7/26/26 at 11:05 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16412 posts
Posted on 7/26/26 at 11:10 pm to
quote:

Yes, at no point has Ukraine actually reduced Russian refinery capacity below domestic demand.


Refined products were Russia's real export cash cow more than crude oil, with value added products. The reason for the expansions and modernizations was to be able to sell products anywhere in the world other than the old standby, Mazut Heave Fuel Oil. Diesel would be the big money maker if exported.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5015 posts
Posted on 7/27/26 at 12:56 am to
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Oleg is a bit hyperbolic here as these banks are technically insolvent already but will never be allowed to declare bankruptcy. Most of them are just shells now, only kept open to facilitate government REPO payments straight to war production and FSB gangs.

The biggest issue with Wildberries is that there is vastly insufficient insurance to cover the losses both to WB and their resellers. Insurance is still seen in Russia as an unnecessary expense as the Soviet philosophy of government providing the same function still prevails in much of the country. And re-insurance - which is absolutely required in any operation of this size - doesn't really exist in Russia. All the re-insurers for the WB fire in Moscow in 2024 were Western and are now unavailable due to sanctions.

But the acts of war dissolution clause in any insurance policy covers WB's losses here. The problem is that those losses are now carried by all the Russian resellers and their businesses will certainly be bankrupt. Gone with these businesses will be the taxes, liquidity generated and most damaging, the loss of confidence in the government by some of the only tech-savvy entrepreneurs in the country.

As we said before, if you take this much money and this much confidence out of an economy that is on its last legs already, the damage is cumulative and no amount of REPOs issued will stop the crash.

Hmmm. Maybe Oleg is not being hyperbolic.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5015 posts
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:16 am to
quote:

An attack was carried out on the FSB building in Belgorod.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5015 posts
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:19 am to
This was inevitable. There will be serious financial repercussions for Greece now. The EU has been tired of these parasites for years now and this gives them payback.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5015 posts
Posted on 7/27/26 at 5:17 am to
Hit four days ago. Check the before/after satellite photos. Every tank damaged to some degree.


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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5015 posts
Posted on 7/27/26 at 5:26 am to
quote:

FACILITIES HIT SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2026, -

Refineries — 69 attacks on 28 plants.
Oil depots — 36 attacks on 30 facilities (37 including Belgorod region). Wildberries and logistics — 11 attacked facilities.
Oil terminals and port infrastructure — 21 attacks on 10 facilities.
Other commercial and industrial logistics — 3 attacks.
Metallurgy — 2 confirmed and 1 probable attack.
Gas infrastructure — 5 confirmed and 2 probable attacks.
Space and strategic communications — 4 confirmed and 1 probable attack.
Defense-industrial, electronic and aerospace enterprises — 17 attacks on 15 facilities.
Chemical, petrochemical, fertilizer and explosives plants — 18 confirmed and 1 probable attack.
NPS / LPDS / UPN and oil pumping infrastructure — 13 attacks.

In total, only in these categories were recorded: 199 confirmed attacks (or 204 taking into account all probable and unidentified cases).


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Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
2000 posts
Posted on 7/27/26 at 8:50 am to
quote:

The fuel crisis in Russia has started to ease in recent days as some refineries have restarted operations, Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Sunday.

“The situation is gradually stabilizing, a number of oil refineries became operational again. The balance is better now, and the situation at fuel filling stations has considerably improved, including when it comes to supplying agricultural producers,” Russian news agency Interfax quoted the official as saying.

“The situation remains quite tense in some regions, especially in some regions in Siberia. We are effectively resolving issues of fuel supply manually at the federal headquarters with regions and companies,” said Novak, who added that the crisis “situation is temporary.”

Amid peak demand season, Russia has been suffering from gasoline and diesel shortages for more than two months now, as Ukraine’s drone campaign to strike Russian refineries forced many large processing sites offline in the spring and early summer.

Early this month, Russia banned diesel exports to protect its domestic supply, creating a ripple effect on the already tight global diesel market.

Since the spring, Ukraine has been expanding its offensive to cripple supply in Russia by targeting fuel supply routes and vessels, alongside a persistent campaign to hit Russian refineries and force them out of operation.

In recent weeks, Ukrainian attacks turned their focus on targeting Russia-linked vessels in the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea, with more than a hundred vessels hit by drones, per the Ukrainian military.

The Russian oil export terminals on the Black Sea have also gone offline in recent days, following Ukrainian attacks.

Russia's largest Black Sea oil export terminal, Sheskharis terminal at Novorossiysk, effectively went offline last week, just days after drone attacks shut down the neighboring Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal, tightening another artery that moves crude onto the global market.

The suspension of the CPC terminal loadings led to Kazakhstan cutting oil production, with output at Chevron’s giant Tengiz field reportedly falling by more than half as storage filled and producers were forced to reduce pipeline flows.

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com
Russia says fuel crisis easing oilprice.com
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