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re: Dr Jared Diamond predicts there's 50-50 chance civilization crumbles in the next 25 years

Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:47 pm to
Posted by RCDfan1950
United States
Member since Feb 2007
40555 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:47 pm to
Did the factor in AI? If not, his extrapolations are unrealistic. Albeit maybe in regard to the speed of predicted collapse, or that of extraordinary powers which mitigate collapse.

IMO, the tipping of the survivability scales (AI nws) will be human nature as such relates to Religion (God/Self Aware Universal Energy Reservoir as Creator vs a Nature-based Perceptive Paradigm via Randomness.

And Ideology, I.e., Darwinian merit/survival and prosperity of the 'fittest' vs Marxist/Egalitarian 'morality' in regard to the governance of human interaction.

The struggle to determine which of the two above Principles hold complex systematic 'Government' power can cut that 25 in half, given the rate of dysfunction and the extraordinary influence of AI as well. Trans-Humans may not need to eat. Likely whatever is piloting those UFOs don't either, as the ones that have been seen back in '96 didn't have a mouth.

There are a lot of variables in these predictions. But one thing is for sure...such being BIG CHANGES are in the cards. For good or bad.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38340 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:49 pm to
I think where some folks might perhaps go wrong sometimes is allowing themselves to become “triggered” enough by something that they shouldn’t have let do so, but once that threshold has been crossed then they have to go over the top even more so than the original “triggering” party. I guess you could think of it as throwing good money after bad.

Now this may not be the case across the board, and of course it isn’t (it’s quite possibly not the case at all, ever), but it sure seems to be in many cases, to this reader anyway.
Posted by ShoeBang
Member since May 2012
22548 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 7:15 pm to
It will

Or it won’t


Such insight
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38340 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 7:18 pm to
Tell you what’s even scarier - it either will or it won’t in the next year. Stop and think about that. Or don’t. You either will or you won’t. Lol
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
200334 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 7:23 pm to
If that's a response to my saying that people have misread my posts. Okay, understand you.

But the moment I came in and said paxton was gonna lose, people were calling me a liberal which doesn't really offend me,i enjoy rustling jimmies

I like having fun with it, but there is no rational discourse on this board, this is not the Oxford debate society.

This is where a bunch of people yell political things at each other
And when someone will have a rational dialogue with me, I respond in kind

Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
32642 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 7:31 pm to
Nm
This post was edited on 9/25/26 at 7:32 pm
Posted by WWII Collector
Member since Oct 2018
9629 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 7:40 pm to
I am afriad that he might be correct...

First of all. we zoomed to 7 Billion people.. if they all had 2 babies and they had two babies... That is ??(7x2=14x2=28x2=56

56 Billion people in 40 years.

The old road I grew up on had 3 houses on it in 1970.. It has about 25 today.

How long did it take for us to wipe out the Buffulo???... There were millions and we did it in how many years...

Also... Just 70 years ago.. Everybody still had cows, chickens, and gardens... There was not a taco bell in sight... Now today people would not know how to grow a pea, much less can one...

And if we sling a few Nuclear missles at each other for a few months???

Yes... It's a very good possability... If I in Vegas, I'd lay $100 on us being wiped out in 50 years.

Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
15255 posts
Posted on 9/26/26 at 3:42 am to
quote:

i enjoy rustling jimmies



useless
Posted by dsides
Member since Jan 2013
6200 posts
Posted on 9/26/26 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

But, in terms of convenience and abundance, I agree with SFP.


Convenience and abundance might very well be the problem.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
488034 posts
Posted on 9/26/26 at 3:53 pm to
That will raise SES/SOL to a point where birth rates decline.

The question is what happens when the global population rates are all below replacement rates and what that will do
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
13979 posts
Posted on 9/26/26 at 8:23 pm to
Two can play this game.

I have a 50/50 chance of getting laid tonight.
Posted by beachdude
FL
Member since Nov 2008
6683 posts
Posted on 9/26/26 at 8:41 pm to
Dude’s been wrong as often as Paul Erhlich, the population unabomber.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
92640 posts
Posted on 9/26/26 at 9:18 pm to
We produce more than enough food for the world.

The problem is spoilage. Not everywhere has refrigeration. That takes electricity.

Another huge problem is the aid we give. It's creating lazy people that won't grow their own food.



Posted by backbone
Colorado
Member since Jul 2026
821 posts
Posted on 9/26/26 at 11:18 pm to
Corn yields are at an all time high. 60 bushels in thec1900s to 250 bushels now.
Posted by LsuNav
Sacramento
Member since Mar 2008
2542 posts
Posted on 9/26/26 at 11:23 pm to
His last name is a good indicator of his trustworthiness.

Posted by ole man
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
18990 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 6:00 am to
I'll be gone by then, the rest of you boys can deal with all the shite coming down the highway
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
73387 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 6:11 am to
quote:

Idiot


In terms of being a human being anywhere on earth he’s not wrong.
Posted by McLemore
Member since Dec 2003
35806 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 6:22 am to
Gotta love the 50-50 prediction. Really laying it all on the line there bud.
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
51157 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 6:23 am to
Maybe don’t shut down so many farms and make it hard for farmers to do their thing.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
15433 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 8:05 am to
quote:

there's 50-50


Well, he is either going to be right or wrong…..


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