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re: Dr Jared Diamond predicts there's 50-50 chance civilization crumbles in the next 25 years

Posted on 9/27/26 at 6:23 am to
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
50207 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 6:23 am to
Maybe don’t shut down so many farms and make it hard for farmers to do their thing.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
15250 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 8:05 am to
quote:

there's 50-50


Well, he is either going to be right or wrong…..


Posted by lsusteve1
Member since Dec 2004
49247 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 8:18 am to
quote:

Between 2008 and 2026 is the best time to be a human on earth.


I’d choose 75 - 95
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
483918 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 8:22 am to
quote:

I’d choose 75 - 95


Posted by Placekicker
Florida
Member since Jan 2016
14621 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 8:50 am to
quote:

Civilizational collapse is every millenials dream


Of course it is. They were all raised on those dystopian future books like The Hunger Games, Dauntless, and the Maze Runner.
Posted by Hondo Blacksheep
Member since Jul 2022
3641 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 9:01 am to
As for feeding the masses, every person on Earth could fit within the boundaries of Texas a thousand feet apart.

We have political problems, not resource problems.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
483918 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 9:03 am to
quote:

We have political problems, not resource problems.

There ARE resource issues, specifically fish and petro.

Humans avoid these catastrophes by figuring out ways to extend resources. We are doing that with petro by finding new ways to extract and process it, but eventually we will run out.

Fisheries is scary. I don't know how we fix that without population decline, but I'm sure it can be done with coordination among nations (that's a separate problem of "globalism" though)
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
60699 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 9:18 am to
quote:

They were all raised on those dystopian future books like The Hunger Games, Dauntless, and the Maze Runner.

You’re off by like 10 years

These are late Gen Z era

Posted by geauxbrown
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
29751 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 10:23 am to
Sounds like the rest of the world needs to do better.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27829 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 10:58 am to
Another crisis monger's invention. Maybe it fills the vacuum left by the decline of "climate change and global warming."

Short of a Carrington Event or nuclear war, the limits to growth thing won't happen.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
70858 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 11:18 am to
The issue is not available land. I have heard that argument many times about fitting everyone into Texas. The issue is we feed the planet by pouring fossil fuel based fertilizers on land -- not to mention using fossil fuel based pesticides and fossil fuel powered equipment to move everything around. We essentially eat fossil fuels. When they go into decline, we are not going to be able to feed everyone.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
483918 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 11:19 am to
Don't research decline in necessary fisheries and the potential collapse of the ocean food chain
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
39916 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 11:21 am to
quote:

Dr Jared Diamond predicts there's 50-50 chance civilization crumbles in the next 25 years
That ship has sailed. Been whittling away at it since 1966 and LBJ.
Posted by BCvol
Member since Jan 2022
981 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 11:46 am to
I laugh when I read the feeding the masses argument. Hunger has a way of making people productive.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
15320 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 11:48 am to
quote:

The 80's were awesome, even though we were in the midst of the cold war and the threat of an ELE was much more real than anything we have going on today.


Yeah, but in the 80s you weren't CONSTANTLY bombarded with doomsday narratives.

I get why SFP says that between 2008 and today is the best time to be a human on this planet.

But we're also living at a time when communications technology has outkicked our psychological coverage. We're living better than ever, but everyone is still full of anxiety all the time because of the narratives people are constantly exposed to.

The rate of depression in 1970 was 5%. Now it's 13.1% for the general population and for some demographics (younger people mostly) it's as high as 26%.

Yeah, we were in more danger in the 70s and 80s. But mostly people didn't think about it because they weren't inundated with it.
This post was edited on 9/27/26 at 11:49 am
Posted by soonerinlOUisiana
South of I-10
Member since Aug 2012
2983 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 11:53 am to
quote:

Dr Jared Diamond predicts there's 50-50 chance civilization crumbles in the next 25 years


That’s like predicting a house will burn down that’s already on fire.
Posted by JayDub
Member since May 2023
379 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

Dr Jared Diamond predicts there's 50-50 chance civilization crumbles in the next 25 years



OH NO!!!

Expert-Textpert "Dr." predicts the end of the world.

This has NEVER happened before...wait who is Chicken Little again?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
483918 posts
Posted on 9/27/26 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

I get why SFP says that between 2008 and today is the best time to be a human on this planet.


You have to also understand that says "human on the planet" not "upper middle class in America"

Life has gotten a LOT better for the third world/developing nations since the 90s
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