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re: Dr Jared Diamond predicts there's 50-50 chance civilization crumbles in the next 25 years

Posted on 9/25/26 at 4:46 pm to
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
52956 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 4:46 pm to
I bet he's looking to sell a few books, first.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16714 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

Had to read Guns Germs and Steel in tenth grade, and Collapse in college. Pretty sure he had similar predictions decades ago.


Collapse is pile of crap. He praises the Japs for abortion to keep population in check and for clearing rainforests in Brazil to keep their own forests intact.

Not to mention noting Viking homesteads sticking out of glaciers as a sign or global warming when they actually show how warm it was 1500 years ago
Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
5925 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

Pretty sure he had similar predictions decades ago.


Unlike people, decades is not a long time for civilizations. They take centuries to build, but they also take a long time to collapse, at least from the perspective of a human observer. There are definitely long-standing trends in place right now that will result in a collapse of some magnitude, barring painful changes in the way we live. The only way to have our cake and eat it too is new forms of cheap, plentiful, portable energy. Maybe that happens but it has to be soon.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
74453 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 4:56 pm to
The data says otherwise
Posted by Sid E Walker
BackdoorU ©
Member since Nov 2013
26033 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 5:14 pm to
At least we get 18-20 more years than AOC said we had left in 2019.
Posted by AkronTiger
2025 NFL Survivor Champion
Member since May 2021
3482 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 5:23 pm to
quote:

The whole thing??? It’s like 500 pages.


I’m aware
Posted by Crawdaddy
Slidell. The jewel of Louisiana
Member since Sep 2006
19410 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 5:23 pm to
I say there is a 50 50 chance we collapse by 2030.


Prove me wrong dr Diamond.
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
12788 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 5:54 pm to
So he has the next 25 years to go around and get speaking fees for spouting this BS.
Posted by Nurbis
Member since May 2020
2491 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 5:57 pm to
quote:

I have serious doubts about whether we'll even be able to feed the masses or have lights on in 20 years.


If that ends up being the case, then it is a problem that will solve itself.

Posted by PastorJ
Member since Sep 2024
1284 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:00 pm to
I am 49 years old. I remember as a kid hearing about Global cooling gonna kill us all by the 1990s. Then Global warming will kill us all by the 2000s. These doomsayers are like clockwork and never right.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
198678 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:01 pm to
The single biggest threat The world today in Western civilization is Christian white people have stopped having children because they're all fricking gay or a transgendered cat
Posted by PastorJ
Member since Sep 2024
1284 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:08 pm to
quote:

is Christian white people have stopped having children because they're all fricking gay or a transgendered cat


Speak for yourself. I have 5 kiddos and doing my part to save the world.

But I understand what you mean. It's awful stuff nowadays.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
175959 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

Younger generations are so ignorant and uneducated anything is possible and collapse is definitely in play.

Civilization collapse will likely occur because of environmental and resource issues that the older generations certainly own some responsibility for.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
37748 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:10 pm to
It just dawned on me that much of what is seen on this board across a wide array of folks and topics isn’t fact, but is instead one’s manifesto, put together one post at a time.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
74453 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:11 pm to
The 70s called, they want their propaganda back
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
175959 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:12 pm to
What propaganda are you referring to?
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
74453 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:13 pm to
You don’t know the boogyman you just posted has been around for 60 years?
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
26308 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:29 pm to
I do think it will happen in not so distant future.....
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
198678 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

It just dawned on me that much of what is seen on this board across a wide array of folks and topics isn’t fact, but is instead one’s manifesto, put together one post at a time.
well kinda


But I'm no liberal in fact I will still claim I'm more conservative, legitimate conservative than most people here

my warning about paxton was that, a warning

But the idiots on this board took it as cheerleading for lowTrico

because they think 1 election win means the battle is over

Every action has a reaction; we're living in the reaction from 24
This post was edited on 9/25/26 at 7:24 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
104482 posts
Posted on 9/25/26 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

At the rate we're going now, resources that are essential for complex societies are being managed unsustainably. Fisheries around the world, most fisheries are being managed unsustainably, and they're getting depleted.", reports the Daily Star. "Farms around the world, most farms are being managed unsustainably. Soil, topsoil around the world. Fresh water around the world is being managed unsustainably."


Does he elaborate how? Does he offer solutions or just putting out a general statement?


Aquaculture will be a big sustainable industry as wild caught seafood becomes more scarce and expensive. There’s already a growing shrimp and red drum (redfish) farming industry for two popular seafood choices. There’s a ton of farms near the gulf coast south of Houston

Birth rates are declining below replacement in most of the world. I think society will naturally solve itself. If free market economies persist it will all self correct, as resources become more scarce then basic goods become more expensive. As this happens people have less kids, population declines along with demand. Eventually you reach a more sustainable society. Our resources can all be replenished over time it’s all a cycle
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