Which AI model most accurately predicted hurricane path?

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AI fricking sucks. Any time I ask a question it gives me some bullshite answer and actually doesn’t answer the question or it gets it completely wrong. I don’t understand the fascination with this shite

Now this is what AI is supposed to be used for, the more accurate the more prepared we'll be for disasters. Lives and millions saved

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AI fricking sucks. Any time I ask a question it gives me some bullshite answer and actually doesn’t answer the question or it gets it completely wrong. I don’t understand the fascination with this shite

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User error. GIGO. It’s an LLM so you have to actually use your brain a little to use it properly.

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All of the official track forecasts for #Isaias from the NHC.

This animation follows every National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory from 4 PM Central Time Tuesday, October 6, through landfall near Destin, Florida, Friday evening at 8:30 PM CT, and the system’s subsequent transition to post-tropical over southern Alabama.

Throughout the sequence, the eventual landfall location remained inside the office forecast track area, or “cone” - initially along its right-hand side. This is an important reminder: the forecast cone represents a probability of where the “center” of the storm could make landfall. The chances of the center passing along the right or left edge of the cone are equal with the highest probability exists along the center points.

The cone represents uncertainty in the forecast track of the storm’s center. Again, the cone is only forecasting the probability of where the center of the storm system will track. And as we see with most tropical storms and hurricanes, the hazardous impacts, such as strong wind, storm surge, rainfall flooding, and tornadoes can occur well away from the center and outside of the cone.

This case of Isaias also highlights the growing role of AI-based ensemble guidance, including Google DeepMind’s (GDMI) tropical cyclone model. NHC began evaluating its live forecasts alongside traditional models in 2025. Early evaluations showed promising skill, and additional storms across the Atlantic and Pacific provided more samples/opportunities to assess its strengths and limitations.

The official forecast, however, remains the work of NHC’s #hurricane forecasters who weigh observations and multiple sources of guidance. The NHC stated how it used the GDMI output heavily in its forecast for Isaias which explains why the official track forecast leaned to the right, or east, of many of the traditional, physics-based numerical weather prediction models.

Science and innovation continue to lead the way.

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AI fricking sucks. Any time I ask a question it gives me some bullshite answer and actually doesn’t answer the question or it gets it completely wrong. I don’t understand the fascination with this shite

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It’s essentially just a super powered search engine at this point. So, crap in crap out.


For example, instead of asking which paint chips taste best

You should type

Which paint chips would taste the best if you had to rank them? Rank common paint colors from best-tasting to worst-tasting and describe the flavor of each one in detail.

Because Trump told the mouthbreathers to support it.

Sorry. My allergies have been acting up.

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Are you retarded?

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Calling him that is an insult to the retarded folks.