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The next housing crisis is here, and this time, it’s about rentals

Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:39 pm
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
61063 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:39 pm
quote:

If Landlords Get Wiped Out, Wall Street Wins, Not Renters

The next housing crisis is here, and this time, it’s about rentals. Across the U.S., landlords and tenants are wrangling over next month’s rent while an approaching avalanche of evictions threatens to bury them both.

To avert a damaging wave of foreclosures like the one that swept the country more than a decade ago, Congress included a provision in the $2.2 trillion rescue package it approved in March that allows homeowners with government-backed mortgages to defer payments for up to a year. But Washington stopped short of offering renters comparable relief on the assumption that those in distress would likely qualify for the $1,200 checks the Treasury began mailing out in April, as well as beefed-up unemployment benefits.

In an Urban Institute survey of renters carried out from March 25 to April 10, almost half said they had experienced material hardship in the previous month.

Many U.S. states have imposed moratoriums on evictions. But without a national rental-market bailout, the economic pain is likely to spread as efficiently as the virus that caused it, flowing upward to landlords, their lenders, and cities losing property tax revenue.



quote:

About half of the 43 million rental units in the country are owned by small businesses such as Shields’s one-woman enterprise. Unless help comes soon, “both renters and property owners will slide down the socioeconomic scale together,” says Emily Benfer, a visiting law professor at Columbia University. “It will have a ripple effect. Rent doesn’t just go to property owners, it pays for property taxes, mortgages, and salaries for the people who maintain buildings.”


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This post was edited on 5/12/20 at 1:40 pm
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
45573 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:42 pm to
The landlord/renter relationship as we knew it could never last. Landlords became reliant on rent coming in and renters became reliant on having a place to live. It was always unsustainable.
Posted by FlyinTiger93
Member since May 2010
3724 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:45 pm to
No evictions, but the rent amount does not go away. We will have families 3-4 months behind on rent payments that they will not be able to recover from.
Posted by Tigeralum2008
Yankees Fan
Member since Apr 2012
17755 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

Congress included a provision in the $2.2 trillion rescue package it approved in March that allows homeowners with government-backed mortgages to defer payments for up to a yea


Curious what the requirements are for this.

I'd also investigate whether it makes financial sense to defer my mortgage for 12 months putting that cash into an investment account or paying off car notes faster.
This post was edited on 5/12/20 at 1:46 pm
Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
44843 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:47 pm to
Funny. On CNBC today they did an investment segment stating that the riets were killing it because of solid cash flows.
Posted by PrivatePublic
Member since Nov 2012
17848 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

and renters became reliant on having a place to live


Who isn't reliant on having a place to live?
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:49 pm to
So we can’t just put the entire US economy on hold and not expect extreme ramifications? Dr Fauci proclaimed today that reopening would put lives at risk “for no reason”.
This post was edited on 5/12/20 at 1:52 pm
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42789 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:50 pm to
Dead people because we opened back up to soon!!!!
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
30218 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:51 pm to
You'll also see it with short term rentals, which will actually be a good thing for residents of many cities. t will free up housing for local citizens instead of tourists. Should stabilize housing prices at the least, and potentially even lower some markets.

One of my employees owns a half dozen short-term rentals here in Nashville and he's taking it up the poop chute right now. He's paying somewhere in the neighborhood of $1500-$2000 or so per place per month with no income.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
45573 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

Who isn't reliant on having a place to live?


Exactly, that's a big reason why we ended up in this mess. If it wasn't the virus it would have been something else. It was always going to happen.
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:51 pm to
The residential rental market has been a bubble just waiting to be popped for a few years now, especially in the larger cities. It was in need of a correction.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11843 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:51 pm to
I wonder how much AirBnb owners had to do with the Renting bubble that appears to be popping. For the last few years, every friend I knew was getting rental property and thinking they were the next real estate king.
Posted by Captain Crackysack
Member since Oct 2017
2231 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

Landlords became reliant on rent coming in and renters became reliant on having a place to live

Well yeah.... you just described how renting works
Posted by Helo
Orlando
Member since Nov 2004
4829 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

The landlord/renter relationship as we knew it could never last. Landlords became reliant on rent coming in and renters became reliant on having a place to live. It was always unsustainable.

So after thousands of years we are about to see the end of that relationship?
Posted by AbitaFan08
Boston, MA
Member since Apr 2008
27902 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:54 pm to
Glad I just bought a house.
Posted by Pledge
Professional Baw
Member since Sep 2015
1275 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:54 pm to
What an idiot
Posted by cable
Member since Oct 2018
9735 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:54 pm to
Anyone that relies solely on one investment vehicle is a moron.
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
47450 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

which will actually be a good thing for residents of many cities. t will free up housing for local citizens instead of tourists.


Because tourists COST money .

I'm sure Hawaiian residents are going to be economically empowered by the collapse of their real estate market because their dominant sector is gone.
Posted by noonan
Nassau Bay, TX
Member since Aug 2005
37017 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:55 pm to
Opening back up is bad for the middle/lower class. It's just another way for the rich to get richer.



That's what liberals are telling me at least.
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

I wonder how much AirBnb owners had to do with the Renting bubble that appears to be popping.



That and international investors have been the two biggest problems in the major metro areas. Places like NYC, Chicago, Bay Area, LA, etc. I read a couple of years ago that livable spaces in NYC have an insanely high vacancy rate(forget teh number), because so many owners have converted them to short term rentals, thus reducing the number of available long term rental units. I forget the dynamic on how foreign investors are contributing to the problem.
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