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re: The Great Flood of 2016: Fill Out Disaster Forms NOW. Link Inside!

Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:18 pm to
Posted by bcook454
Member since Jun 2010
7 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:18 pm to
What about Hatchell to Juban?
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
17695 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:19 pm to
quote:

We need some positive news ... Let the sunshine pumping commence ! Lord this sucks

Puppy save

A little sunshine from a buddy on facebook. Not quite what you're looking for but I think it'll have to do.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:19 pm to
quote:

How close to campus do you think the Burbank/highland area will flood if the backflow happens?
Difficult to tell since backflow is complex and probably not studied/modeled. But for that area it ultimately would be controlled by Manchac Point, since the tributaries that drain campus end up there. The magic number is 21.5'. A quick look at the topo shows me most of campus is around 23. So if the 21.5 peak makes it all the way upstream, it looks like it would get to the Burbank and Lee area. But again, this is unprecedented, dynamic, and complex, and that backwater wave may not make it all the way back upstream... Another complicating factor is more rain. If it storms again while the backwater is peaking all bets are off...
Posted by LSUSilverfox
Member since Jun 2007
2711 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:20 pm to
quote:

member12


Thanks. Been looking at that map all day and never thought about that.
Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
86128 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:20 pm to
Thanks for your post earlier
Posted by supernovasky
Member since Jul 2012
588 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:21 pm to
Someone asked about the squiggly base flood elevation lines. If I am correct, that is the line at which the base flood has been determined (the 1% every year, or 100 year flood) elevation at which the point will be underwater. If you live in that region and are above that elevation, you are dry according to the base flood. Below, you are flooded.
Posted by PhilemonThomas
Member since Jan 2015
2983 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:21 pm to
You can get base elevations off the flood map on the LSU Ag portal that has been linked.

I have a question about those base elevations. If your home's base elevation is significantly higher than a projected or possible crest for a near by river or bayou does that mean your home is proably safe? For instance, my base elevation is 36 feet, I live near Bayou Fountain. If it hits 21 feet, I should still be good, right? I just don't understand if the two measurements correlate.
Posted by supernovasky
Member since Jul 2012
588 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:21 pm to
More rain would be terrible, LSUJuice. These canals are incapable of draining anything right now.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177370 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:22 pm to
How is Tigah Rag? He's close to the Amite right?
Posted by supernovasky
Member since Jul 2012
588 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:22 pm to
Basically, look at the area your home is at and find the number in the squiggly line.

Now find out what your actual property's elevation is at.

Is it higher? You are more safe, above the 100 year flood line.

Is it lower? You are flooded.
This post was edited on 8/13/16 at 11:23 pm
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33142 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:22 pm to
quote:

Is the Country Club in trouble?


Baton Rouge Country Club or CCLA?

I think CCLA is going to get bad in a 3-5 hours - and I think it's likely some homes will see some water in them closer to Bayou Manchac.

Baton Rouge Country Club has more elevation changes. The area there near Ward Creek may have problems sooner than that. From the flood maps, the Fairway Drive side looks more at risk than the Brentwood side.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

Any have a detail map showing the topography of southeast BR around Wards Creek, Bayou Manchac, and Bayou Fountain?
LINKHave to zoom in pretty far and the contour lines will show up.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42643 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:23 pm to
Super has done a great job of explaining what is happening and what is going to happen as the Amite crests moves south.

The key points are while DS is about to see the crest as you move south the crest is going to come later for those south. The further south your neighborhood drains into the Amite the later the crest will effect your neighborhood.

Jones Creek
Claycut Bayou
Bayou Manchac

All drain into the Amite in that order(North to South)

Second point is just because water levels dropped where you are in SE EBR doesn't mean it's over. Water will rise in lower areas to record heights.

Third no one has seen this before, and there are a lot of new subdivisions and complexes built in the last 15 years. There is no anecdotal evidence to rely on.

Watch area streams. Know your slab elevation. Get a rough idea if you could be impacted by looking at the 100 year map and adding at least three feet higher to what they show to see if you might flood.
Posted by lsunurse
Member since Dec 2005
129146 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:24 pm to
quote:

My mom lives around the corner in woodland crossing. Around 12,she was fine. Around 2,water on the street. Around 5,2ft of water in the house. My brother expects 3-4 ft in her house. I would expect Torrey pines to be screwed


Not good news...but thank you very much for replying to my post.


My dad has full coverage on his truck...so that will be covered. He does not have flood insurance on their mobile home though. Where they are located at in that trailer park...is higher than other areas of the park so I'm really hoping that and their trailer being several feet above ground...will be enough.
Posted by SaintBrees
Member since Oct 2015
547 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:24 pm to
quote:

Is it higher? You are more safe, above the 100 year flood line.

Is it lower? You are flooded.


Hmm. Mine is the exact same number.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:25 pm to
I still can't get over the fact that the 100-yr WSELs all over Baton Rouge are based off of these smaller watersheds and not the Amite.

EDIT: Not true. It's only the tributaries that drain into Bayou Manchac (Ward's Creek, Dawson, Duplantier, Fountain) that have maps that don't take into account the Amite. The rest of the Amite's tributaries to the north are good. Sorry for the confusion.
This post was edited on 8/13/16 at 11:38 pm
Posted by ultralite
Member since Feb 2013
121 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:26 pm to
The gage may have a vertical datum it is referencing to (NAVD88 maybe). See if the flood map has the same vertical datum to be sure.

Many times river gages do not go by a specific datum but if they do, it should be specified.
Posted by Fatty Magoo
USA
Member since Nov 2015
1029 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:27 pm to
Makes sense. Thank you sir (or madam)
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33142 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:27 pm to
quote:

Hmm. Mine is the exact same number.



Start moving valuables upstairs. Not kidding.

More than likely, the top of your slab is built up a foot or so from that number.....but there are areas higher than the flood plain see water upstream from the southern portion of Baton Rouge today. That's flowing south slowly. I suspect that will be the case in Baton Rouge as the floods back flow into the city's drainage system.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177370 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 11:28 pm to
Where do you live, SaintBrees?
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