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Study: US had 9 million covid19 cases by end of March, 80 times greater than reported

Posted on 6/23/20 at 2:55 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
74750 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 2:55 pm
quote:

Wow


this study finds that early cov-19 cases in the US were 80X higher than reported

this validates what many of us has been saying for months:

this disease was much more widespread/much less deadly than assumed

8.7 million new cases in 3wks of march alone

if there were 8.7 million new cases in just 3 weeks during march, then the US had probably hit 15-20 million cases by end of march and totals by now are easily going to be 40-60 million.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
131950 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 2:57 pm to
That's great news. Could have herd immunity by the end of the year.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481251 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 2:57 pm to
yeah if this is true, that's awesome
Posted by tigafan4life
Member since Dec 2006
51121 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 2:59 pm to
Oh I hope that is true.
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
62226 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 2:59 pm to
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
68469 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 2:59 pm to

5G Chess
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:00 pm to
No surprise.
Still, seems a bit high though.
Been calling this shite.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13803 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:00 pm to
All antibody studies are showing 12-20% rate of antibodies. Which equates to 40-60 million cases.

This isn't even news anymore. The virus was always less deadly than they told us. And it's getting weaker. Even as more people have it, fewer are dying.
Posted by bad93ex
Walnut Cove
Member since Sep 2018
36774 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

This isn't even news anymore. The virus was always less deadly than they told us. And it's getting weaker. Even as more people have it, fewer are dying.


What about the piles of bodies in the streets and hospitals on fire?
Posted by HueyP
Lubbock
Member since Nov 2008
3155 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:03 pm to
Not sure why anyone would be surprised by this.
Now go back and recalculate the actual death rate.
Oops, someone over reacted.
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
51733 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

In New York, for example, the researchers’ model suggested that at least 9% of the state’s entire population was infected by the end of March. After the state conducted antibody testing on 3,000 residents, they found a 13.9% infection rate, or 2.7 million New Yorkers.

Regardless of your thoughts on the shutdowns, masks, ect, that's a pretty crazy infection rate thankfully this thing doesn't have a super high mortality rate
This post was edited on 6/23/20 at 3:05 pm
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37588 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

All antibody studies


Aren't these test somewhere in the neighborhood of 90% accuracy? I think there's been way more infected than reported, but 90% accuracy is really low.

I think we still have no idea how many have been infected, though certainly many times the confirmed number.
Posted by Gaston
Dirty Coast
Member since Aug 2008
41694 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:05 pm to
The science is settled.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:06 pm to
trump better fire fauci dude

he single handily trying to get sports cancelled
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52678 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:06 pm to
This was tossed around by reasonable people very early on. It was shouted down by the irrational just as quickly.

Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
17356 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

US had 9 million covid19 cases by end of March, 80 times greater than reported


And before we go crazy with this - this is likely very similar for Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and most of Europe.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179950 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

80 times greater than reported



it never took a genius to know this.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:09 pm to
There are at least 3 I think that are around 99% for accuracy and specificity to covid-19. Not sure about other states, but Texas has 2 of those tests basically just growing on trees at Remedy/quest diagnostics.
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
17356 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:09 pm to
And yeah - it's clearly much less serious than what the "experts" told us. We never came close to running out of capacity in my area for hospitalizations.
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
26357 posts
Posted on 6/23/20 at 3:10 pm to
Yet we didn’t run out of ventilators
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