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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:19 am to
Posted by lionward2014
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
14036 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:19 am to
quote:

Nola peeps staying or leaving?


Leaving. Worried about being stranded with no power and having a hard time getting out the city on Monday afternoon/Tuesday morning.
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32890 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:19 am to
What do the weather experts think about the work of Steve Caparotta? I thought he has done a really good job but don’t know a ton. Good use of charts and graphs on Twitter.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:19 am to
quote:

Dont look at that. It exaggerates the storm


Yeah IR modeling isn’t really bad, but IR itself just makes it seem like the entire thing is convection. Reality is that there are a handful of bands and that’s it, but we already know that.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14279 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:19 am to
quote:

It exaggerates the storm


I hope so in the case of Ida. I'm just to the east of the eastern eyewall (S. Lafourche).
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177271 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:20 am to
quote:

Just repeating what I heard on local news. I don’t think they’re rated by wind speed, but by storm surge.


It also depends on where it goes.. of course. It's still too early to flee New Orleans. They didn't call for a mandatory evacuation of New Orleans for Katrina until Sunday morning and it made landfall on Monday morning.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16136 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:20 am to
quote:

Just repeating what I heard on local news. I don’t think they’re rated by wind speed, but by storm surge.



The track has to factor in determination, this still is not expected to be a direct hit on NOLA.
Posted by Sal Minio
17th Street Canal
Member since Sep 2006
4492 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:20 am to
Duke, if Ida stays on it's current projected path and intensity level, will the affects to New Orleans be about the same as when Zeta hit in October? I am not sure what the projected wind field is east of the storm's center.

SORRY, DIDN'T SEE THE GRAPHIC A FEW PAGES BACK.

Is that wind field graphic showing gusts or sustained winds?
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 11:26 am
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14248 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:21 am to
quote:

It's still too early to flee New Orleans.


frick you im out



I’m actually in plaquemines parish so I’m south of Nola
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89124 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:21 am to
quote:

Are Northshore folks staying or leaving?


I'm likely leaving. Got two kids and don't feel like messing with power being out for any extended period of time since I have several places I could go.
Posted by sp22
Member since Jan 2019
779 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:21 am to
Zeta was moving extremely fast, whatever the effects are they’ll last longer with this one
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:21 am to
If you are planning to leave Greater NOLA Metro, better do it in the next few hours before the doom warnings start to become very clear.

Id be actually shocked if they dont outright cancel the Saints game (I know they moved it to 12)
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18050 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:22 am to
quote:

Rain totals aren’t quite as daunting though

So you think you can handle 10 to 12 inches?
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:23 am to
quote:

So you think you can handle 10 to 12 inches?


Only if he's drunk and you talk nicely to him.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89124 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:23 am to
quote:

So you think you can handle 10 to 12 inches?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177271 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:23 am to
quote:

If you are planning to leave Greater NOLA Metro, better do it in the next few hours before the doom warnings start to become very clear.


Everyone who wanted to get out and could get out got out for Katrina and they only had 24 hours before landfall. It would be a shite show but you'll get out.
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14248 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:23 am to
Got to kiss him first
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:23 am to
Teedy is late.
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:23 am to
I’m no party pooper by any means but this meaningless preseason game needs to be canceled.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75085 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:23 am to
quote:

The shear really lightened up over the NW Caribbean compared to what it was yesterday allowing it to strengthen. There's still a little bit it's heading towards through the Yucatan Channel but nothing like yesterday.

It is also how it is consolidating and strengthening that matters, too. The shear that is there just doesn't have much effect on a storm like this trying to stack and wrap up.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:24 am to
quote:

Fun Bunch


A bit of a downshear "reform" of the center isnt terribly surprising. Theres some shear, not tremendous but there, and its pushing storms off to the NE. Now too much shear and this just stays a tilted mess but with a reasonable amount of shear, this move helps the storm vertically align.

The thing is, big bursts of vertical motion like you see in a thunderstorm makes cyclonic rotation (very very basically) and this can tug the surface low.

Shouldn't change much but gives me a little bit of an east (still over SELA though) bias on track.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 11:25 am
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