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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:24 am to
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:24 am to
quote:

Teedy is late.


Are you surprised?
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89126 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:24 am to
quote:

Everyone who wanted to get out and could get out got out for Katrina and they only had 24 hours before landfall. It would be a shite show but you'll get out.



Driving the wrong way on the spillway was fun. Took almost 4 hours to get from Kenner to BR.
Posted by Riolobo
On the lake
Member since Mar 2017
5212 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:25 am to
Not sure why anyone in NOLA would stay. This has all the ingredients to be catastrophic.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16138 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:26 am to
quote:

Not sure why anyone in NOLA would stay. This has all the ingredients to be catastrophic.



Catastrophic would be the storm passing over NOLA, which isn't forecast at the moment.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:26 am to
quote:

Duke, if Ida stays on it's current projected path and intensity level, will the affects to New Orleans be about the same as when Zeta hit in October? I am not sure what the projected wind field is east of the storm's center.



Would expect it to be less severe in New Orleans than Zeta, based on the models.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130211 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:26 am to
quote:

Shouldn't change much but gives me a little bit of an east (still over SELA though) bias on track.


A 25-50 mile difference east is a pretty big deal for NOLA. It means the difference between evac'ing and not evacing
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:27 am to
quote:

Not sure why anyone in NOLA would stay


its currently projected to hit ~60 miles west for starters
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:27 am to
quote:

I'm likely leaving. Got two kids and don't feel like messing with power being out for any extended period of time since I have several places I could go.


That’s the big thing. I’d you can get out easily and go somewhere with friends or family, it’s a good cal.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78324 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:27 am to
Where is the storm passing over at the moment?
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130211 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:27 am to
quote:

Not sure why anyone in NOLA would stay. This has all the ingredients to be catastrophic.


Like I said, the current track it isn't necessary to evac, I didn't for Zeta.

But a 50 mile shift East makes all the difference.
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4953 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:28 am to
if it tracks east the city will have a major major problem but if it goes where its forecast it will be a shitty day and the power will be out for a bit.
Posted by SW2SCLA
We all float down here
Member since Feb 2009
23063 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:28 am to
Pretty much every parish in SWLA cancelled school for Monday
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 11:32 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:28 am to
quote:



A 25-50 mile difference east is a pretty big deal for NOLA. It means the difference between evac'ing and not evacing


Man, Id just leave NOLA. Not that this will necessarily be evac worthy there, you dont want to be there if its a direct hit.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177279 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:29 am to
The new weather channel slut is Molly McCollum

Posted by LSUTiger23
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jun 2010
1352 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:29 am to
12Z CMC Model running now. Pretty significant shift east from the last run. Takes it right up the Mississippi, but it does has it weaker as a 984 mb storm. Wonder if this model is picking up on the eye being a little more north per the latest recon established location.
Posted by BlackCoffeeKid
Member since Mar 2016
12889 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:29 am to
quote:

Not sure why anyone in NOLA would stay.

Stay in Nola or go get possibly nailed by this thing in Thibodaux with the parents. I'm leaning staying in Nola, but I don't have a generator.

(Not married, no kids)
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:30 am to
quote:

12Z CMC Model running now. Pretty significant shift east from the last run. Takes it right up the Mississippi, but it does has it weaker as a 984 mb storm. Wonder if this model is picking up on the eye being a little more north per the latest recon established location.


This one can be thrown away, way too weak
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
70443 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:30 am to
quote:

be actually shocked if they dont outright cancel the Saints game (I know they moved it to 12)


I’m expecting them to move it to Arizona.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177279 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:30 am to
quote:

but it does has it weaker as a 984 mb storm

I don't see how that's possible. If it's only 984 and into Mississippi it must have the trough really wrecking it.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16138 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 11:31 am to
Cardinals and Saints will be gone by 4pm easier just to play it here.
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