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Started By
Message
re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:28 am to OneMoreTime
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:28 am to OneMoreTime
Well, if you weren't paying attention before, now you most likely are with these models. Got a lot of friends asking me what I think.
One bit of comfort is that we are still a ways out and these models are changing a lot, and the storm has not formed yet.
One bit of comfort is that we are still a ways out and these models are changing a lot, and the storm has not formed yet.
3
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:29 am to LSUTiger23
quote:
Flying out as well Thursday morning. Already have a plan to leave Wednesday evening if we are driving. I will get to Green Bay haha!
If, IF this comes anywhere near N.O. it would probably be late Tuesday or Wednesday landfall. Best bet would be to rent a car and fly out of Houston.
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 10:33 am
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:30 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
This model is fricked.
quote:
GEAUXmedic
Where the hell did you find that? The highest I've see it forecast is a cat 2.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:31 am to supernovasky
For those saying "please go to Texas", I disagree (if it even really forms). That would put us on the eastern side and depending on how big it is (again, if it even forms) that's no bueno.
My husband is a rice farmer. Right now, even without this, we're just trying to get the harvest in ... did ask him to fire up the generator now while he has a tiny bit of downtime while waiting for weather to clear just to make sure it works. And I'll be at Wally World soon buying tons of water and gatorade FOR THE FARM (stuff does NOT last long during this heat) but people may just think I'm prepping.
My husband is a rice farmer. Right now, even without this, we're just trying to get the harvest in ... did ask him to fire up the generator now while he has a tiny bit of downtime while waiting for weather to clear just to make sure it works. And I'll be at Wally World soon buying tons of water and gatorade FOR THE FARM (stuff does NOT last long during this heat) but people may just think I'm prepping.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:31 am to Mudminnow
quote:
The ground is so saturated many large oaks would uproot and topple over with a constant pressure of strong winds.
cut em down a few days before that way they can't fall on house
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:33 am to GEAUXmedic
Good thing you guys dismiss that one alot.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:33 am to LSUfanNkaty
Also, since my forecast post was so loved yesterday, I will post what I got this morning 
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:34 am to supernovasky
quote:
One bit of comfort is that we are still a ways out and these models are changing a lot, and the storm has not formed yet.
Yeah the best comfort for an interests along the GOM is that the storm still looks like this:
Not much in the way of convection anywhere near what appears to be the LLC.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:35 am to LSUfanNkaty
quote:
Where the hell did you find that? The highest I've see it forecast is a cat 2.
GrEarth software goes farther out than what you find online
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 10:36 am
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:35 am to tiger91
quote:
For those saying "please go to Texas", I disagree (if it even really forms). That would put us on the eastern side and depending on how big it is (again, if it even forms) that's no bueno.
My husband is a rice farmer. Right now, even without this, we're just trying to get the harvest in ... did ask him to fire up the generator now while he has a tiny bit of downtime while waiting for weather to clear just to make sure it works. And I'll be at Wally World soon buying tons of water and gatorade FOR THE FARM (stuff does NOT last long during this heat) but people may just think I'm prepping.
mam, i wasn't being serious. The best thing that could happen would be for it to dissipate completely.
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 10:40 am
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:37 am to Mudminnow
I feel like this is turning into a thread from the recruiting board. There are a handful of people breaking the storms and models down. Then a bunch of people flood the thread with random models that freak them out and questions about exact landfall time and location.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:38 am to Dizz
Im gonna leave work around 3 today to pack up and head out this evening to beat the evacuation gridlock
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:38 am to DollaChoppa
quote:
Im gonna leave work around 3 today to pack up and head out this evening to beat the evacuation gridlock
Sucker. I'm already in Little Rock.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:39 am to slackster
From all satellite imagery so far, I don't see how anyone can predict this thing getting to big hurricane status unless it literally camps in gulf for a couple days on it's way to land.
It doesn't even have anything resembling a defined center.
Obviously the rain it will bring would be bad for LA regardless, but still.
It doesn't even have anything resembling a defined center.
Obviously the rain it will bring would be bad for LA regardless, but still.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:40 am to GEAUXmedic
I'm sorry but posting this without explanation or context is exactly what I was talking about yesterday. Pretty shitty considering you're an admin on a weather forum, and very irresponsible.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:40 am to supernovasky
quote:
supernovasky
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:41 am to Wimp Lo
Were talking about a storm that doesn't exist, id hardly call the OT a bastion of seriousness.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:43 am to The Pirate King
quote:shear dies down quickly early Friday morning and we should start to see this storm really come together once it does.
From all satellite imagery so far, I don't see how anyone can predict this thing getting to big hurricane status unless it literally camps in gulf for a couple days on it's way to land.
It doesn't even have anything resembling a defined center.
As for a defined center, it actually is pretty well defined on visible imagery, displaced northwest of the convective debris. The circulation is weaker than it was yesterday... recon had some trouble finding a westerly wind.. but there is a weak swirl north of hispaniola at the moment.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:43 am to GEAUXmedic
There are people posting in this thread freaking out about their weekend plans, and you're posting a single model run from a single model showing a catastrophic hurricane coming up the mouth of the Mississippi. That's pretty bad man.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 10:44 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Were talking about a storm that doesn't exist, id hardly call the OT a bastion of seriousness.
I'll second that. Lighten up a bit. Regardless of what models are posted and the accuracy of those said models, people will form their own opinions and freak out on their own. Human nature. Plus, people are retarded. Just be smart and don't be caught off guard. All we can do right now.
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