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Posted on 1/10/20 at 7:18 am to lsuman25
That’s a massive moderate risk area. People have to take the straight line wind threat just as seriously as the tornado threat. Treat severe thunderstorm warnings like tornado warnings.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 7:20 am to lsuman25
Tornado probability
Wind probability
Great
Wind probability
Great
Posted on 1/10/20 at 7:34 am to TigerFanInSouthland
I see some storms already popping in OK
Posted on 1/10/20 at 7:52 am to TigerFanInSouthland
Damn I’m right on the line of the 15% tornado probability
Posted on 1/10/20 at 7:57 am to 50_Tiger
Yep, to my north and east and moving quite rapidly. Chance of snow, not much, for us on the backside overnight - has to be a pretty potent system
Posted on 1/10/20 at 7:58 am to 50_Tiger
Do they still do the Torcon index? Can’t find it anywhere
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:01 am to deltaland
That’s a Weather Channel thing only, I believe.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:05 am to 50_Tiger
Yep. Something could get going out there even with more stable air. The window for development is smaller, though.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:17 am to rds dc
quote:You following the Arctic outbreak for 1/22?
rds dc
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:18 am to LegendInMyMind
I bet wafb has a pleasure room that they beat off in before they go on air. They definitely get dick hard boners when bad weather is coming. Thank God it's on Saturday cause you know kids would be out of school
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:19 am to rds dc
damn they really expanded that moderate area
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:19 am to Higgysmalls
quote:
I bet wafb has a pleasure room that they beat off in before they go on air.
You do that after you go on air so you can bring that energy with you.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:21 am to rds dc
"Loaded Gun" in DFW this morning. Notice the rightward notch on the red line, that is a warm stable layer that will keep storms in check. There will be explosive development once that is gone. You don't typically see these types of soundings up here in the winter.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:21 am to bayoubengals88
GFS still on drugs this morning with artic air from the 22nd-24th, not getting above freezing for 48 hours in all of Louisiana
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:22 am to bayoubengals88
quote:
You following the Arctic outbreak for 1/22?
Get on it RDS
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:23 am to CypressTrout10
Sun is out here in Northwest Arkansas 
Temps rising, dew points rising, strong LLJ. Me no likey.
Temps rising, dew points rising, strong LLJ. Me no likey.
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:28 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Now it appears to have the potential for supercell development ahead of the line (for AL on Saturday). If that trend continues, it wouldn't be surprising to see the SPC expand the Enhanced area farther north, covering the large majority of the state of Alabama.
Yes, that Significant Tornado Parameter chart doesn't bode well for here in central/north central AL, in particular the time of day doesn't help...right in prime time heating for us.
C:\Users\admin\Downloads\floop-hrrr-2020011012.stp.us_se (1).gif
This post was edited on 1/10/20 at 8:32 am
Posted on 1/10/20 at 8:29 am to CypressTrout10
quote:
GFS still on drugs this morning with artic air from the 22nd-24th, not getting above freezing for 48 hours in all of Louisiana
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