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Started By
Message
re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:39 am to BrotherEsau
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:39 am to BrotherEsau
Let the storm self-identify.
0
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:40 am to Duke
quote:
Or simply it's not a forward movement change but an organizational one.
Good way to put it, so when tracking VDM (recon center fixes) today it may appear that the system is jumping around but it's just getting organized.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:40 am to slackster
quote:
The center is broad and nothing really dominant has taken over. However, the last few frames on radar and satellite images seem to show the NE area of the oval taking over.
I don’t understand a lot of the words and science behind all this stuff but I appreciate you and everyone else that is knowledgeable about these storms posting their thoughts. It’s much better than The Weather Channel. And with that said the wind is picking up across the bay from Mobile. Clouds seem to be moving along at a pretty good clip. The wind seems to be coming from the east.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:41 am to tzimme4
Can we talk about how insanely unlucky the Mississippi and Alabama coast is with respect to hurricanes, especially major ones?
LA has had 56 hurricanes make landfall in recorded history, 18 of which were major. MS, with that little sliver of a coastline, has seen 19 landfalls, 8 of which were major. Alabama has an even smaller footprint and has seen 24 landfalls, but only 5 were major. That’s pretty crazy.
LA has had 56 hurricanes make landfall in recorded history, 18 of which were major. MS, with that little sliver of a coastline, has seen 19 landfalls, 8 of which were major. Alabama has an even smaller footprint and has seen 24 landfalls, but only 5 were major. That’s pretty crazy.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:41 am to DVinBR
quote:
eye trying to form?
We're not there yet.
This process is the final alignment of the low level center under the mid levels and getting the low level center more symmetrical. The convection ripping on the NE side will tend to lower pressure over that extension of the low level center and it will become dominate.
As it does, it'll start wrapping the convection around its self to the west and eventually around the bottom tonight. That'll be the eyewall formation stage.
I think it's coming but not yet, Sally has more structure work to do first.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:42 am to LSUcdro
quote:
So this board would have wanted kids to go back to school the day after Laura in LC with no roof or way to physically get to their school?
Prior to landfall that would have been the wishes, yes. If you’ve been here any amount of time you’d know that was true.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:43 am to LSUcdro
quote:yes
So this board would have wanted kids to go back to school the day after Laura in LC with no roof or way to physically get to their school?
And then would have called the teachers lazy and entitled for not wanting to teach in those conditions
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:46 am to BrotherEsau
No Quibideaux???
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:46 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
spaghetti models
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:46 am to Duke
quote:
We're not there yet.
This process is the final alignment of the low level center under the mid levels and getting the low level center more symmetrical. The convection ripping on the NE side will tend to lower pressure over that extension of the low level center and it will become dominate.
As it does, it'll start wrapping the convection around its self to the west and eventually around the bottom tonight. That'll be the eyewall formation stage.
I think it's coming but not yet, Sally has more structure work to do first.
If this is true, it would seem to mean that Sally will not have very much time to intensify as a hurricane, correct? If the eye forms tonight, and landfall is tomorrow, not a lot of time to intensify over water?
This from a very NON expert watcher.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:47 am to Duke
quote:
As it does, it'll start wrapping the convection around its self to the west and eventually around the bottom tonight. That'll be the eyewall formation stage.
Does time allow for this at this point?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:47 am to Festus
This thing is crawling it still has enough time to pick up some winds
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:48 am to Duke
So it can still move west?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:48 am to SECbro
quote:
Teachers aren’t babysitters. Schools should open or close. If it is close enough a call for it to be optional, teachers should be able to be prepping as well.
1. They had all Sunday to make preparations
2. The vast majority of NOLA Metro is Working. Why should teachers be treated differently?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 am to Festus
quote:
If this is true, it would seem to mean that Sally will not have very much time to intensify as a hurricane, correct? If the eye forms tonight, and landfall is tomorrow, not a lot of time to intensify over water?
The problem is the slow movement. It's going to be crawling overnight tonight with conditions conducive to strengthening.
So while it's running out of space, it should be able to ramp up pretty quickly toward landfall. The longer the organization takes though, the better for those in the path.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:49 am to bayoudude
quote:
This thing is crawling it still has enough time to pick up some winds
True. No doubt it will pick up some winds. But I guess I'm looking at it from a Cat 1-5 prediction. It would seem as though chances are it is going to come in as Cat 1, outside chance at Cat 2?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:51 am to STEVED00
quote:
2. The vast majority of NOLA Metro is Working. Why should teachers be treated differently?
It's not the teachers. It's the kids. The schools don't want kids getting stuck at school or on a bus if the weather turns bad.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:51 am to The Egg
quote:
And then would have called the teachers lazy and entitled for not wanting to teach in those conditions
“Teachers must teach and public schools must open as they are the backbone to our economy. Also, frick those lazy teachers and frick public schools. Furthermore, they need to open because I’m sick of spending all this damn time with all the kids I made.”
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:51 am to STEVED00
quote:
The vast majority of NOLA Metro is Working
Obviously you haven’t driven through the hood at 2 pm on a random, non-Covid sunny Wednesday.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:52 am to rds dc
Well just got the call. Will be going in at 2 this afternoon and staying on ship for duration of storm.
As long as I keep signal I’ll give live updates from Pascagoula.
As long as I keep signal I’ll give live updates from Pascagoula.
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