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re: River to crest near 20' Saturday, average levee height in N.O. is 20' (update in OP)

Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:04 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178325 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:04 pm to
I'd rather Bonnet Carre fail than levees breaching in New Orleans. As long as the Bonnet Carre levees hold it wouldn't matter.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30071 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:06 pm to
quote:

I'd rather Bonnet Carre fail than levees breaching in New Orleans. As long as the Bonnet Carre levees hold it wouldn't matter.


Could those levees hold though? It would create a significant current event that would be unlike anything its experienced before.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
50016 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:06 pm to
quote:

And they’ll say hello to the feds’ little friend.

It’s called the Flood Control Act of 1928.

Absolute immunity.
. You have more faith in our activists judges than I do. These frickers won’t even enforce our border laws.
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:12 pm to
They’ve enforced this one.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
33146 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:13 pm to
Bonne Carre is going to open up more bays.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21836 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:15 pm to
Whats the armor (concrete coating) situation along that stretch of river from Mereaux to Lower 9?

If its going to get overtopped scouring will be a concern.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102351 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:17 pm to
At 20 feet lower 9 levees will get topped.
Posted by Eightballjacket
Member since Jan 2016
8088 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:38 pm to
The crevasse of 2019!
Posted by LSU5508
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
3781 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:46 pm to
Under a worse case scenario i’m curious what would happen. I believe and this could be incorrect that the earthen levees are only needed at some certain height and at most times serve no actual flood control. If the surge will only be a few hour event what happens if a breach or overtopping does occur. Of course you have flooding but how much. I don’t see this being Katrina since the flow will not have time to fill up everything over days.

I hope i remain curious and don’t actually find out but i’m sure there is a model out there somewhere that answers the question.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178325 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

Under a worse case scenario i’m curious what would happen. I believe and this could be incorrect that the earthen levees are only needed at some certain height and at most times serve no actual flood control. If the surge will only be a few hour event what happens if a breach or overtopping does occur. Of course you have flooding but how much. I don’t see this being Katrina since the flow will not have time to fill up everything over days.


The rise and fall looks pretty quick but it all depends on it the levees hold. Overtopping puts a lot of stress on them and if the levees fail then it becomes a Katrina.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102351 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:51 pm to
Not even close to Katrina and they are closing all the flood gates. All gates should be closed by tomorrow night.
Posted by LSU5508
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
3781 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:52 pm to
quote:

The rise and fall looks pretty quick but it all depends on it the levees hold. Overtopping puts a lot of stress on them and if the levees fail then it becomes a Katrina.


Even if a levee fails after the surge falls wouldn't the water retreat far behind the earthen levees?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178325 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

Even if a levee fails after the surge falls wouldn't the water retreat far behind the earthen levees?


It depends on how badly the levees are damaged. The river is at 16 feet so it's really high and will still be high after the surge recedes.
Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:58 pm to
Here is US ACE website with profile of the levees. Used the section on the left to get a point on the map on the right.

East Bank
Posted by LSU5508
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
3781 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

It depends on how badly the levees are damaged. The river is at 16 feet so it's really high and will still be high after the surge recedes.


Thanks I haven't been to a levee on the River in a while. I just know under normal operations the earthen portion is usually a good bit away. Haven't been under the current river levels though. I'm also only familiar Nola.
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27709 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 6:07 pm to
How concerned should someone be in that lower 9 to meraux river levee zone
Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
62722 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Not even close to Katrina and they are closing all the flood gates. All gates should be closed by tomorrow night.


What does closing the flood gates do? Sorry, obviously not super familiar with this.
Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
44808 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 6:12 pm to



Not sure how anyone can look at this graphic and justify living in the area? At some point, nature will win this battle.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21836 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

Even if a levee fails after the surge falls wouldn't the water retreat far behind the earthen levees?


If a full levee breach happens via overtopping and scouring you will have the ms river draining into NOLA/Chalmette.

Under the worst case it doesnt stop because the bottom of the levee breach would presumably be below the top of the base river (+/- 15.8' atm), and because NOLa elevation is way below that of the river levee.

That's the real worst case scenario.
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
26318 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 6:17 pm to
quote:

What does closing the flood gates do? Sorry, obviously not super familiar with this.
Seals off the hurricane surge protection system. Nothing to do with the MS River level. But closing the flood gates is why most of Plaquemines Parish is being put under a mandatory evacuation because once they close the gates, anyone on the outside who stayed is stuck there until the storm passes.
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