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re: River to crest near 20' Saturday, average levee height in N.O. is 20' (update in OP)

Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:32 pm to
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21836 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Locations in red are where levees along the Mississippi River are below 20 feet. Some locations are as low as 18 feet.


Lower 9 to Chalmette/Mereaux is going to have a real bad day.
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10519 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:33 pm to
There should be a mandatory evacuation for these areas. I don’t see why there isn’t?
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42575 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:34 pm to
Sounds like Plaquemines is going to close the Jesuit Bend floodgate tomorrow
Posted by Datfish
Member since Sep 2018
794 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

Do the river levees have the potential to break? Or just top over?


The problem with overtopping is the possiblity of scour on the top or other side, which would weaken the levee and increase the risk of breaking
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30071 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

Is there at all a possibility of the river breaking the levee?


The USACOE doesn't use the word "breaking" they use the word "overtopping" or "breaching". Breaching possible in lower 9th Ward, St. Bernard, Algiers, & Plaquemines. Overtopping on River Road uptown by the USACOE's headquarters.

Just to make everyone feel better Congress JUST approved funding for 24 foot Miss River levees for Orleans & Jefferson Parish!
Posted by tokenBoiler
Lafayette, Indiana
Member since Aug 2012
5088 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

no, 20 is the lowest spot, not sure where Mr Blue Check got his "average" idea from


" ... New Orleans, where all the levees are above average ... "
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
106035 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:37 pm to
HJ Bosworth of Levees.org talks about the situation LINK
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21836 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:38 pm to
If they open Morganza and BC (all the way) now they could lower the base flow.

I am actually curious to see if this happens.
This post was edited on 7/10/19 at 4:42 pm
Posted by Smalls
Southern California
Member since Jul 2009
10306 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

Sounds like Plaquemines is going to close the Jesuit Bend floodgate tomorrow


Is that the one just south of Belle Chasse that crosses 23 near the plant?
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30071 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

Is that the one just south of Belle Chasse that crosses 23 near the plant?


Correct
Posted by Pepperoni
Mar-a-Lago
Member since Aug 2013
4335 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:44 pm to
Thanks for link.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30071 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:50 pm to
Plaquemines announced a MANDATORY evacuation per WWL south for the entire East Bank of Plaquemines Parish (i.e. Braithwaite) and will announce tomorrow that a MANDATORY evacuation will take place for the West Bank of Plaquemines Parish for all areas south of the flood wall in Belle Chase. West bank of Plaquemines south of the flood wall is currently under a voluntary evacuation right now.
This post was edited on 7/10/19 at 4:51 pm
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
26318 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:51 pm to
Industrial Canal or Intracoastal. Surge would've come into those canals via Lake Borgne and MRGO.

Hurricane storm surge doesn't make it all the way up the Mississippi to New Orleans. The current situation is an anomaly because of the river being so much higher than it would normally be.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102351 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:53 pm to
Average height of the levee along the Mississippi River in JP is 25 feet.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
50016 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:54 pm to
If the levee does get topped or breaches the ambulance chasers will have a field day. The next their will be a class action suit filed against the Army Corp of Engineers for not opening the Morganza Spillway.
Posted by sloopy
Member since Aug 2009
6911 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

River Road uptown by the USACOE's headquarters.


Great, not far from here.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178325 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:56 pm to
Bonnet Carre is only 48% open. They can open the whole thing in 36 hours so they could open the rest of it up in 18 hours. They should do that tomorrow.. but they won't. That would give you a lot more wiggle room.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30071 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Average height of the levee along the Mississippi River in JP is 25 feet.


How high is the interior levee between Orleans and Jefferson? 19 ft at USACOE site would presumably flow towards the parish line.
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

ambulance chasers will have a field day. The next their will be a class action suit filed against the Army Corp of Engineers for not opening the Morganza Spillway.


And they’ll say hello to the feds’ little friend.

It’s called the Flood Control Act of 1928.

Absolute immunity.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30071 posts
Posted on 7/10/19 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Bonnet Carre is only 48% open. They can open the whole thing in 36 hours so they could open the rest of it up in 18 hours. They should do that tomorrow.. but they won't. That would give you a lot more wiggle room.


I recently read that in this scenario the USACOE would be concerned with the structural integrity of the Bonnet Carre if they opened it up all the way during an event like this due to the pressure from water flowing through it.
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