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re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*
Posted on 2/8/21 at 4:37 pm to TDsngumbo
Posted on 2/8/21 at 4:37 pm to TDsngumbo
I think it was WVUE channel 8.. Put a post up on Facebook calling for Saturday/Sunday to have sleet or snow.. People were commenting that they were full of it and stop with the click bait.. 
0
Posted on 2/8/21 at 4:50 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Then just turn off your water supply and open up all the faucets before you leave town....Will take like 5 minutes max and will prevent any chance of busted pipes
Wrong - The water is still in the pipes when you shut off the water and open the faucets. You would need to use pressurized air to blow the remaining water out of the plumbing system.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 4:53 pm to yomamak
Will the cold reach Punta Cana? I might fly down there to ride this out
Posted on 2/8/21 at 4:58 pm to weadjust
quote:
Wrong - The water is still in the pipes when you shut off the water and open the faucets. You would need to use pressurized air to blow the remaining water out of the plumbing system.
I’ve been doing it for 30 years at my farm and haven’t had a busted pipe yet on a house on pier and beam.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:00 pm to deltaland
Anyone watching the latest GFS??
I literally don’t believe my eyes. No really, I don’t believe it will happen.
Tuesday, during a massive ice storm, the temperature sits at 16 degrees in Baton Rouge at NOON.
Then, the clouds move out, allowing for evaporational cooling while the ground is covered in ice and the low Wednesday morning is a whopping 6 degrees.
I seriously don’t believe that will happen although it has before, back in 1899. I still don’t think that will happen. My mind can’t wrap itself around that scenario.
I literally don’t believe my eyes. No really, I don’t believe it will happen.
Tuesday, during a massive ice storm, the temperature sits at 16 degrees in Baton Rouge at NOON.
Then, the clouds move out, allowing for evaporational cooling while the ground is covered in ice and the low Wednesday morning is a whopping 6 degrees.
I seriously don’t believe that will happen although it has before, back in 1899. I still don’t think that will happen. My mind can’t wrap itself around that scenario.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:02 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
literally don’t believe my eyes. No really, I don’t believe it will happen.
Tuesday, during a massive ice storm, the temperature sits at 16 degrees in Baton Rouge at NOON.
Then, the clouds move out, allowing for evaporational cooling while the ground is covered in ice and the low Wednesday morning is a whopping 6 degrees.
I seriously don’t believe that will happen although it has before, back in 1899. I still don’t think that will happen. My mind can’t wrap itself around that scenario.
Mother of god!
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:03 pm to TDsngumbo
I remember it getting that cold here once we had a -30 degree wind chill. It was either the same year as the 94 ice storm or the year after
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:04 pm to TDsngumbo
My area would be below freezing except for a whopping 4-5 hrs the entire week.
Seems like each time I think the GFS has out done itself with this set up, it says "Hold my beer."
Very unlikely scenario but impressive to watch play out on the models no doubt.
Edit: Here is your wind chill that morning btw.
Seems like each time I think the GFS has out done itself with this set up, it says "Hold my beer."
Very unlikely scenario but impressive to watch play out on the models no doubt.
Edit: Here is your wind chill that morning btw.
This post was edited on 2/8/21 at 5:08 pm
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:13 pm to BallsEleven
The majority of GFS ensembles are in step with the control run. Sustained cold and two legit chances for winter precip
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:14 pm to TDsngumbo
Hahaha...according to GFS, it will be -24 for me at 6 AM Saturday morning, climbing to a balmy -4 at Noon.
Fuuuuuuuuck...gonna be cold on the slopes!
Fuuuuuuuuck...gonna be cold on the slopes!
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:19 pm to BallsEleven
i checked out on page 20'ish when it was talk of backing away from the edge of the cliff regarding apocalyptic scenarios.
aside from the fact that the models are having a hard time with this one, what is the general consensus right here and right now with the latest runs on an ice event for the central part of mississippi?
reason i ask is that i've been putting off installing a generator interlock. the answer to my question just might be the fire that i need lit under my arse to get it done asap.
aside from the fact that the models are having a hard time with this one, what is the general consensus right here and right now with the latest runs on an ice event for the central part of mississippi?
reason i ask is that i've been putting off installing a generator interlock. the answer to my question just might be the fire that i need lit under my arse to get it done asap.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:21 pm to Bigbee Hills
quote:
reason i ask is that i've been putting off installing a generator interlock. the answer to my question just might be the fire that i need lit under my arse to get it done asap.
Get it done asap. Central Mississippi has a better chance of this crap that south Louisiana. And south Louisiana appears to have a decent shot at this.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:22 pm to Bigbee Hills
NWS Shreveport bottoms out at 23 Saturday night with highs in the thirties and forties. They are not yet on board with the historic cold.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:25 pm to TDsngumbo
What is a target date to have a better idea on this? Last week there was talk that if the models showed the extreme cold on Monday (today) then it would be pucker time.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:25 pm to Bigbee Hills
The general consensus is still a lot of uncertainty. The only sure thing is it is going to be cold next week. How cold is uncertain, and the amount of precipitation, if any, and the timing of it are still uncertain.
Birmingham weather guys are still pretty bearish on anything significant. There will likely be uncertainty all the way through the weekend.
Birmingham weather guys are still pretty bearish on anything significant. There will likely be uncertainty all the way through the weekend.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:27 pm to weadjust
quote:The amount of water left in the pipes is minimal at that point and the pipes will be fine
Wrong - The water is still in the pipes when you shut off the water and open the faucets. You would need to use pressurized air to blow the remaining water out of the plumbing system.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:31 pm to lsupride87
Your P traps will still freeze and potentially bust depending on how the pipe is routed. Lots of ways to still break stuff without blowing out the lines.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:35 pm to DownshiftAndFloorIt
If you drained your p traps the stench coming up from the sewer would be unbearable.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:41 pm to LPLGTiger
quote:
What is a target date to have a better idea on this? Last week there was talk that if the models showed the extreme cold on Monday (today) then it would be pucker time.
I've always set my personal day at Wednesday as long as the timeline doesn't change. Last week it was showing everything would go down Friday/Saturday. Right now its looking like a Sunday/Monday start. The EURO agrees way more with the GFS now than it did 24hrs ago. You keep seeing it trend that way you know it will be go time.
Posted on 2/8/21 at 5:43 pm to BallsEleven
So Baton Rouge will feel like -3 yikes
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