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Started By
Message
re: Louisiana COVID-19 - May 11, 2020 Update: 31,215 cases - 2,242 deaths - 220,830 tests
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:07 pm to TigersSEC2010
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:07 pm to TigersSEC2010
Cases up, deaths up, tests up. SHUT IT ALL DOWN.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:09 pm to Pintail
Look at those sexy charts in regions 6 and 8.
SHUT.
IT.
DOWN.
Honor Code Style y'all.
SHUT.
IT.
DOWN.
Honor Code Style y'all.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:09 pm to TigersSEC2010
If you update those number to today, it's around 6,704 Active, 5,394 of those in public
31,815 active cases
2,242 deaths
22,608 (recovered as of 5/10)
6,965 Active cases based on data provided. Enter assumptions
Recovered data is 1 day old. 14 days from 5/10 is 4/26. New cases: 4/26 = 261
6,704 Active cases
1,310 in Hospitals
5,394 Conservative estimate of cases not in hospitals
Obligatory: The 14 day guidelines are given by ldh and based on when the patient tests positive. The information that we have readily available is when the positive test result is known, not when the test was administered. In addition, the date of the onset of symptoms does not matter either.
To give a range: If you add the new cases from 4/28 through 5/11 (14 days), you get 4,750 cases. 7,290 cases from 4/21 through 5/11 (21 days)
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:10 pm to TigersSEC2010
"As you can see, we've got a clear spike in cases and deaths from yesterday, so easing restrictions wouldn't be prudent at this time"
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:11 pm to upgrayedd
I mean...I can see him saying exactly that.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:11 pm to TigersSEC2010
Screw JBE. I’m sitting on the beach in perdido having drinks and have a haircut scheduled for Wednesday. Cheating on my regular girl but at this point who the f cares.
He’s an asshat.
He’s an asshat.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:12 pm to tgrbaitn08
just ran some percentages...
Percent of positive cases of those tested: 14.4%
Percent deaths of those tested: .059%
Percent deaths of positive cases: 7.0%
IMO the death percentage of positive cases will continue to drop...
Percent of positive cases of those tested: 14.4%
Percent deaths of those tested: .059%
Percent deaths of positive cases: 7.0%
IMO the death percentage of positive cases will continue to drop...
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:12 pm to Pintail
I personally dislike these graphs because they try to show that the rates of infection have decreased in certain areas but those rates are damn near negligible. Region 6 is not bad but that graph makes it appear otherwise. Region 8 really isn’t that bad either if you subtract prisons and nursing homes.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:12 pm to PiscesTiger
quote:
I mean...I can see him saying exactly that.
He's not that hard to figure out
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:12 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Goddammit region 6
really should check the Y-axis
region 6's peak on the Y-axis is ~20
unlike other regions where it's in the hundreds
the new spike in region 6 is b/c the number of cases in said region are already so small that really any positive will cause a bump
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:14 pm to rt3
I understand that but the optics are bad which JBE will use to justify the extension.
People in this state are stupid and don’t think like you and I.
People in this state are stupid and don’t think like you and I.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:15 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Goddammit region 6
Don't look at the line look at the scale. Region 6 has plateaued somewhere between 15-20. In a region that has a population of 300k that is nothing.
Population by region.
1 895188
2 681481
3 398310
4 605571
5 304520
6 300597
7 536761
8 349251
9 588299
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:22 pm to Pintail
Doesn't Region 6 have a quite a few facilities like prisons etc...?
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:22 pm to Lickitty Split
quote:
Region 6 is not bad but that graph makes it appear otherwise. Region 8 really isn’t that bad either if you subtract prisons and nursing homes.
Agreed. I put these together on May 1 when JBE lied about the progress of the state by region, and changed the requirements for Phase 1 to all regions when we hit Phase 1 as a state. I just continued to update by day to show progress. I could change the scale to all be 0-200 but you wouldn't even be able to make sense of them.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:29 pm to Gris Gris
quote:
In Louisiana, ICE has detention contracts in Basile, Ferriday, Jena, Jonesboro, Natchitoches, Pine Prairie, Plain Dealing, Richwood, and Winfield.
Ferriday & Jena are the only 2 in region 6
Not sure about jails
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:29 pm to vl100butch
quote:
IMO the death percentage of positive cases will continue to drop...
Yep, those most susceptible to death have likely already died.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:34 pm to Lickitty Split
The graphs help tell a story based on the information that we have at hand. However, they do not tell the full story. Useful information would be total cases as of the date symptoms begun. They have that information on a chart on ldh's website; however, you can no longer see the actual data by date.
The data at hand gives the same weight of someone that received same day turnaround on the first day symptoms started as someone that had to wait a week to get their test in early April because those were the procedures and that lab finally turned the results over. But, it is the only information the public is privy to.
The data at hand gives the same weight of someone that received same day turnaround on the first day symptoms started as someone that had to wait a week to get their test in early April because those were the procedures and that lab finally turned the results over. But, it is the only information the public is privy to.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 12:34 pm to High C
Latoya is about to hold a press confrence where she will probably tell everyone she knows best and nothing is happening in NOLA until she says so.
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