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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - August 3, 2020 Update: 120,846 cases - 3910 deaths - 1,393,910 tested

Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:26 pm to
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61251 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Even bars with food permits were open in phase 1, and are closed now.


Someone educate me on this subject. There are bars by me that serve food that are open.
And business is very good if you know what I mean.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
107929 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

as of July 29th, the positivity rate is still at 13%

And there is absolutely no way that is correct

It is pretty much statistically impossible for the daily rate to be 13%, but the data dumps to be around 8%


If that was accurate, we would see dates in the past dropping to very low numbers to account for it, which they arent


Something extremely funky is going on with this metric
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39928 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

There are bars by me that serve food that are open.


SSSSSSSSsssssssssssshhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85360 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:29 pm to


I'm not even going to pretend to know how they are deriving these numbers
Posted by Bullfrog
Running Through the Wet Grass
Member since Jul 2010
60266 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

There's no way the daily % numbers they show on there are correct. Unless the lower days account for half the test results or something.

Am I missing something?
I’m pretty sure they have an excel formula error or a methodology that is not kicking out positive retests.

The math does not work.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
107929 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

I'm not even going to pretend to know how they are deriving these numbers

Its 100% horseshite

For example

Our overall percent positive is 8.67% 120,846cases/1,393,910tests


However, according to their data on percent positive per day, only 35 days were at or below 8.67%, with the lowest days being in the 7% range

There are 108 days over the average of 8.67%, with weeks worth over 15%


That in no way adds up to being possible

I would like to see fightin tigers justify this
This post was edited on 8/3/20 at 12:36 pm
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7662 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

give me reason why shouldn't be in phase 3


Because, government has been dumb AF since this started.
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3177 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

There are bars that are be me and serve food that are open


I think there are some that we’re able to quickly re-permit as restaurants. This includes Bulldog and Olive-or-Twist in Baton Rouge. Not sure what level of accounting genius is needed to keep their food sales high enough, but by and large being there is no different than being in a restaurant, just with better drinks and less food.

I know for Mandeville, Barley Oak and Interference were open for Phase 1 and are closed now.
Posted by fatboydave
Fat boy land
Member since Aug 2004
17979 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:38 pm to
Football time!
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161245 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:39 pm to
I think it is the bar closing mandate that it is working
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
27333 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

On the downside of this shite.

It more appears that movement in the data correlates with behavior. The initial shutdown worked but was unsustainable. It’s looking like the mask mandate is working and it is sustainable.

If everyone does their part, we can get back.
Posted by SATNIGHTS
Red Stick
Member since Jan 2008
2387 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:41 pm to
Chili’s baby back ribs...
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
215993 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:43 pm to
For all you people that don’t think this shite is real, my step son is on way to ER after being positive for the crap. He’s only 44 and has zero health issues. Please take this virus seriously....
Posted by tigafan4life
Member since Dec 2006
50590 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:43 pm to
So what is the plan when we can stop wearing masks and the virus starts spreading again? Seriously. It isn't just going to go away so are we going to go back phases every time we have spikes? Are the pro mask wearers just going to say wear a mask FOREVER?
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
107929 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

It’s looking like the mask mandate is working
Now explain california
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
27333 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Now explain california


What is to explain? California has high population density an a lot of idiots. I can no more explain California than I can explain Ville Platte.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
107418 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:48 pm to
Tell Us The Full Story Duke.
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
44635 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:49 pm to
This won’t be popular but too bad if other stuff opens and bars don’t by moving to Phase 3. The guidelines made a mistake initially by putting bars too high up in the phases. Downvote away.

Kids outdoor sports make way more sense to be earlier than bars
This post was edited on 8/3/20 at 12:50 pm
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
29692 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

7 days under 10%.



a few days don't make a trend. keep wearing your mask, and better yet, don't leave your house. Covid isn't done with you.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7662 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

correlates with behavior


Uptick was slowing before masks.

N.O. got hit.
Rest of state this time.
Guys on Death Row in California getting it. They get food through a slot. Masks don't prevent infection.

These curves look the same everywhere.

Sweden and Switzerland didn't do masks and look same.

Greater slopes in higher population density areas.
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