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Started By
Message
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:35 pm to Tigerfan1274
quote:
How does this affect Laura’s track?
Hard to imagine it will have much impact since the models have been suggesting it would have trouble. In other words, it's not a surprise, so the modeling is mostly accounting for it.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:36 pm to Tigerfan1274
quote:
marco will probably be significantly downgraded in the next advisory
quote:
How does this affect Laura’s track?
Likely not at all, really.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:38 pm to Mr. Hangover
quote:
Just a suggestion, but did you try to get into the actual tank instead of from where you fill it up?
No. I was at the beach. I didn't want to disconnect the filler hose laying on sand. Looked like a disaster oncoming with the sand everywhere.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:38 pm to LSUsmartass
quote:
Pj is looking like he's 50% right so far....just sayin....gotta give credit where credit is due...
He has the prognostication abilities of a quarter. So proud.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:40 pm to rds dc
Based on recon the center of Marco is probably partially exposed at this point as recon is pinning it at the very edge of the cloud canopy.
18z Euro EPS and GEFSv12 for Laura

18z Euro EPS and GEFSv12 for Laura

Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:40 pm to NorthEndZone
Will that same shear not rip Laura apart?
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:41 pm to slackster
I wonder at what point Jamaica starts seeing flooding issues? The eastern side is getting dumped on.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:42 pm to Redbone
quote:
I rode out those too.
My rule of thumb is if it's looking like a 3 or higher and there is a decent chance it will be close I'll likely go. The uncertainty on this Laura is getting aggravating.
quote:
My house was nearly destroyed with me n the wife in it. A tree missed her by about 6 ft.
Dang. I imagine something like that will likely give you perspective on things.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:42 pm to LSUsmartass
quote:
Will that same shear not rip Laura apart?
It won't hang around that long, and Laura will be a larger, more robust storm. It should handle what shear remains.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:42 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Likely not at all, really.
What were the storms that trailed each other like this 15 years or so ago?
The prediction was for the second storm to strengthen more, but the first storm appeared to cool surface temps and prevent intensification. Both were coming towards La.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:42 pm to LSUsmartass
quote:
Will that same shear not rip Laura apart?
The upper trough doing the shearing is going to back away over the next day or so.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:42 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:42 pm to LSUsmartass
Shear clears out by the time she gets there.
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 9:43 pm
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:43 pm to LSUsmartass
quote:
Will that same shear not rip Laura apart?
High pressure will be working in over Florida and the eastern Gulf. That’ll lead to an environment with less shear.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:43 pm to LSUsmartass
quote:
Will that same shear not rip Laura apart?
no
the shear ripping apart Marco is leaving the area
think of it this way... Marco & Laura are both inside of a moving circle (a high pressure system)
Marco's more towards the edge of that circle where the winds are highest
Laura more in the middle of that circle where the winds are calmest
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:43 pm to LegendInMyMind
Possible breakdown in steering currents, may shift this track back to the East.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:43 pm to LSUsmartass
quote:
Will that same shear not rip Laura apart?
That's what I'm wondering. Are the models showing that the shear will be gone by the time Laura gets there?
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:43 pm to TigerstuckinMS
The wife (no pics) has WDSU on, and these insufferable twats have spent the past 30 minutes talking about covid. I'd rather hear Margaret Orr doomscream about putting a hatchet in the attic than listen to this shite.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:44 pm to Duke
Bernard on fox8 is insisting on a eastward shift at 10. He’s not saying why this would be.
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