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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:49 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75267 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

ETA: Laura's not supposed to be strengthening right now... this is a problem

Direct reflection of it trying to stack and staying offshore of Cuba.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51755 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:49 pm to
New 10pm CDT advisory on TS Laura:

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:50 pm to
It's really more like Delcambre on this cone.



Now, to most of the world, that's the same as New Iberia.

To people from New Iberia and Delcambre, they'd both be insulted.
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 9:51 pm
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15772 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:50 pm to
eastward trend continues
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:51 pm to
quote:

Laura continues to move swiftly to the west-northwest on the south
side of a strong subtropical ridge, with the initial motion
estimated to be 285/18 kt. The subtropical high is expected to
expand westward during the next couple of days, and that should keep
Laura moving fairly quickly to the west-northwest near or over Cuba
through Monday and then across the south-central Gulf of Mexico on
Tuesday. The models suggest that a gradual turn to the northwest is
likely by early Wednesday as the storm nears the western side of
the ridge, followed by a northward motion after that. The details
of the northwest and north turn are quite important when trying to
figure out where the core of Laura is going to make landfall.
However, at this time there is still a notable spread in the models
and their ensemble members, meaning that it is still unclear
exactly where the worst weather conditions will occur. The NHC
track forecast is little changed from earlier and near the
consensus aids.


Good summary of the track and the questions remaining.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14315 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:51 pm to
quote:

Laura's not supposed to be strengthening right now... this is a problem


20.1 North latitude is over land. But I guess the circulation is large enough and upper level winds are favorable enough for the strengthening.
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7801 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:51 pm to
Motherfricker! This isn’t good
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75267 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

And... what does this mean? Calm as hell in Maurepas right now.


The shear has worked Marco over and it no longer has a closed off eye. Likely weakening considerably, and may be starting the process of coming decoupled.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:52 pm to
Chenier au Tigre FRICKED
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51755 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:53 pm to
Marco downgraded to a tropical storm. Winds of 70mph.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102137 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:53 pm to
Well I said Lafffy.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75267 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:54 pm to
quote:

Winds of 70mph.


Maybe.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147183 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:54 pm to
quote:

...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND MARCO HAS WEAKENED... ...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
10:00 PM CDT Sun Aug 23
Location: 26.8°N 87.6°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 1000 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51755 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:55 pm to
Waiting on new cone to show up in NHC website. TWC has new cone and it doesn’t look like it’s changed much.
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:55 pm to
RIP Lafayette in that path.
Posted by Will Cover
Davidson, NC
Member since Mar 2007
40229 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:55 pm to
From someone I follow on FB

The official forecast is still Hurricane Marco, but this nowhere close to a hurricane. Marco has been decimated by shear and has steadily been weakening. The pressure has come up around 10 MB and winds are under hurricane force. The mid-level center is racing away to the north-northeast. The low-level center is moving to the north-northwest. I do not think southeast Louisiana will receive significant impacts. Far eastern Louisiana could, but other than not much rain either. Very localized flooding remains and storm surge possible as wind on the eastern side pushes water against the north Gulf coast. Wind threat will be on the eastern side as well
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:55 pm to
quote:

Motherfricker! This isn’t good




On a Louisiana based message board, any and all shifts from here on out are going to screw someone else over.

Laura is currently forecast for the Hurricane Lili trek across GOM...



Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7801 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:55 pm to
Morgan City gone in Laura’s path
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147183 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:55 pm to
quote:

quote:

Winds of 70mph.

Maybe.

like a guy talking about all his conquests during college
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53887 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:55 pm to
quote:

David B says new Iberia.


as the crow flies..
New Iberia to Baton Rouge? 50 miles?

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