re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

ISW Update

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Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov's response to the October 29 antisemitic riots in the Republic of Dagestan suggests that Russian officials may be increasingly concerned about the weakening of authoritarian control in regions on the periphery of the Russian Federation. Kadyrov responded to the riots in Dagestan by praising Russian President Vladimir Putin's accusation that the West orchestrated the situation to destabilize Russia.[1] Kadyrov later called on Chechen security forces to immediately detain instigators of any potential riots in Chechnya or to "fire three warning shots in the air and after that, fire the fourth shot in the head."[2] Kadyrov's reactions to the riots in Dagestan suggest that he is first and foremost concerned with maintaining the perception of his unwavering support of Putin and secondly with demonstrating the strength of his authoritarian rule over Chechnya by threatening a violent response to potential future riots.[3]

Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on October 31. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations in the Melitopol (western Zaporizhia Oblast) and Bakhmut directions.[4] Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met with Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi to discuss the situation on the front in the Kupyansk, Avdiivka, and Kherson directions.[5]

Russian forces launched a series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine on October 31. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces launched four Iskander-M missiles and an S-300 air defense missile at targets in Ukraine.[6] Zaporizhia Oblast Military Administration Head Yurii Malashko reported that Russian forces struck Zaporizhzhia City with a missile.[7] Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces launched an unspecified number of Shahed-131/136 drones at targets in Khmelnytskyi and Poltava oblasts and that Ukrainian air defenses activated in these oblasts.[8]

Russian authorities detained two suspects for the murder of a Ukrainian family in occupied Donetsk Oblast. The Russian Investigative Committee announced on October 30 that Russian authorities detained two Russian military contract servicemen originally from the Russian Far East as suspects for the murder on October 29 in Volnovakha, Donetsk Oblast.[9] The Investigative Committee stated that the preliminary investigation indicates that the motive of the murders was of a “domestic” nature. A Russian insider source claimed on October 31 that the two detainees were a part of the Russian 155th Separate Naval Infantry Brigade (Pacific Fleet).[10] Attacks on civilians hors de combat (in rear areas far removed from active combat zones) by representatives of an occupying power constitute a clear violation of multiple international legal norms and very likely rise to the level of a war crime or crime against humanity.[11]

A court in Uzbekistan has reportedly sentenced the first Uzbek citizen to prison for serving as a mercenary for Russian forces in Ukraine. A court in Uzbekistan found an Uzbek man, who reportedly served in the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) military from 2014-2015, guilty of violating the Uzbek law against mercenarism.[12] Relatives of the convicted man claimed that he did not participate in the war in Ukraine and was in Russia during the indicated years.[13] This sentencing may heighten tensions between the governments of Russia and Central Asian countries as Russian authorities have increased efforts to coerce Central Asian migrants into Russian military service

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Key Takeaways:

Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov's response to the October 29 antisemitic riots in the Republic of Dagestan suggests that Russian officials may be increasingly concerned about the weakening of authoritarian control in regions on the periphery of the Russian Federation.

Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on October 31.

Russian forces launched a series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine on October 31.

Russian authorities detained two suspects for the murder of a Ukrainian family in occupied Donetsk Oblast.

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted combined missile strikes against Sevastopol and elsewhere in occupied Crimea on October 30.

Russian forces continued offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kremmina line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk City, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and advanced near Avdiivka.

Former Wagner Group fighters continue to redeploy to Ukraine as part of other Russian formations.

Russian occupation officials continue efforts to eradicate Ukrainian language and culture in occupied Ukraine.

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Ukraine considers it to be a war for its independence and national identity. That is how Churchill viewed WW2.

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Greater men than we fought qnd died in World War II.

Not for a US proxy war no one will remember 10 years from now.

The funding will run out, Zelensky will disappear and the world will move on.

This jist isn't the most important conflict of our lifetimes.

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It depends how old you are and where you live

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Go on. Please explain this.

If you are less than 78 years old and are Ukrainian or Russian this is the biggest war ever.

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Greater men than we fought qnd died in World War II.

Not for a US proxy war no one will remember 10 years from now.

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WW2 was most definitely a proxy war between Nazi Germany and the USA prior to 12/7/41. The USA passed the Neutrality Act of 1939 shortly after the war started. The neutrality act of 1939 ended the American arms embargo to belligerent nations. All of which went to the Allies. Lend-Lease was signed into law on 3/11/1941 which was a 8.5 months before the USA entered the war. Maybe your should pull your head out of Putin's arse and read a history book.

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The funding will run out, Zelensky will disappear and the world will move on.

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1. Do you have a crystal ball and can see into the future?

2. Both republicans and democrats are in favor of continuing aid for Ukraine. They differ on the conditions for keeping track of it. Even Trump has said he would increase aid to Ukraine if Putin does not come to the peace table in good faith. Since there is 0 chance that Putin comes to the peace table in good faith, there is a greater chance of Vandy winning the national championship in college football this year than of the aid running out.

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This jist isn't the most important conflict of our lifetimes.

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That is what people said about WW2 prior to Pearl Harbor.

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If you are a Ukrainian you need to be really pissed off at the United States using your country as a proxy war.

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The view from the short bus. Ukraine was invaded by Russia, you retarded troll.

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Copium

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Which part, be specific.

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Smoke is visible over the Kerch Bridge. It has been closed for traffic.

Earlier, "head" of Sevastopol attributed smoke in the area of Sevastopol Bay to "using standard means of camouflage".

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LINK

ATCAMs?

Dammmit WeeWee, you are going to get the politards all hot and bothered wanting a 400+ lb gal.

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Russia deploys Lancets to attack priority targets and they have become increasingly prominent in the key counter-battery fight, striking enemy artillery. Traditionally, Russia has used small UAVs mainly for reconnaissance. With its attack capability, Lancet has been a step change in how Russia uses this category of weapons.

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Counter drone measures have now become an important essential to any battle.