Hateradedrink

It’s blowing up but you can see the shear eating at it at the same time.

We’re definitely being saved a bit. This thing would bomb otherwise.

quote:

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Isn’t this DifferenT?

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:bow:

12z gfs is running. Will be interesting to see if it has an east shift too.

I’m interested to see the next run of the euro. Right now it’s off in left field predicting a westerly hit outside of the cone, and it’s usually pretty good.

Oof.

That bitch can just keep on rolling east as far as I am concerned

The doomers on storm2k are seething. Lots of “well DESPITE THE IR APPEARANCE it’s not that strong”.

I wouldn’t start praising AI. The original NOAA track basically had mobile bay dead center of the cone once this was a TD.

Google AI had it around Destin. It has since shifted a bit west.

It’s definitely very accurate but it’s important to remember the Google AI is 1000 runs using the same assumptions. The NOAA cone incorporates more models and is tweaked by humans.

I love posts like this where you can’t tell if it’s satire or the poster is genuinely retarded.

It has it weakening significantly at landfall. 990-995 at the point of landfall.

The 00z models seem to agree that the shear is going to maul it as it approaches land.

That’s good because honestly, this thing looks like it could bomb out under different conditions

NAM likes to spiral assumptions, resulting in outlandish MB forecasts. It’s not good for hurricane intensity.

It having 995 MB at landfall makes me feel a little better since it always gives some dumb reading like 900 mb or whatever

It actually looks more west to me.

NAM12km 00z run has it hitting sela as a cat 1. Others still running.

I’m following the thread on storm2k