re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Another ammo dump gone near Makeevka

LINK

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I don't do that to myself, but if whatever OT 6.5 to 8 I'm currently sleeping with enjoys doing that to me, I certainly don't stop her.

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You are saying the women you are paying to have sex are pegging you? Seriously, are you retarded?

ISW Update

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Key Takeaways:

Ukrainian forces appear to be focusing on creating an asymmetrical attrition gradient that conserves Ukrainian manpower at the cost of a slower rate of territorial gains, while gradually wearing down Russian manpower and equipment. The current pace of Ukrainian operations is not indicative of a stalemate or evidence that Ukraine cannot retake large areas.

Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations on at least four sectors of the front and advanced on July 4.

Russian and Ukrainian officials escalated their rhetoric surrounding the situation at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) on July 5, but Russia is likely focused on accusing Ukraine of irresponsible actions around the ZNPP including setting conditions for a possible false flag attack. Russia remains unlikely to generate a radiological incident at the ZNPP at this time.

The reported reorganization of Russian internal security organs suggests that the Kremlin has not yet concluded that it has effectively neutralized the threats of future armed rebellions following the Wagner Group’s June 23-24 rebellion.

Russian authorities are absolving Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin of financial responsibility for damages caused by the Wagner Group rebellion and reportedly returned significant liquid assets to Prigozhin, possibly as part of the deal negotiated between Putin, Prigozhin, and Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko.

The official Chechen response to an attack against a Russian opposition journalist in Chechnya may impact Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov’s standing in the Russian ultranationalist information space.

Kadyrov’s prominence in the broader Russian information space will likely force Kadyrov to choose between preserving his regime and his support in the ultranationalist information space, however.

Russia is reportedly forming a new combined arms army as part of the Northern Fleet, likely in order to posture its preparedness against NATO.

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted a drone attack on Moscow Oblast and Novaya Moskva on July 4.

Russian conducted limited ground attacks along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line and south of Kreminna.

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted limited ground attacks along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.

Russian and Ukrainian forces escalated ground attacks in the Bakhmut area.

Russian forces continued ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line on July 4.

Russian and Ukrainian forces conducted ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast.

Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations near Orikhiv in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Russia continues efforts to mobilize its defense industrial base (DIB).

Russian officials continue to deport Ukrainian children to Russia under the guise of providing pediatric healthcare.

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I wish we had just pushed their shite in in 1948

I have no idea why the US / Ukraine coalition will create a nuclear false flag. I just know how to listen to them when they tell us what they are going to do. The "Red Mirage" election of 2020 comes to mind. They told us for months what was going to happen to Trumps lead, and then they did it.

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we unironically live in a world where our countrymen will believe a 4chan post

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Even taking that 4chan post at face value it is a farce:

1) The, the US and Ukraine are going to initiate a false flag operation to pull the US into the war directly. Ok, I can almost buy that premise from Ukraine's side. However, the US side does share not that same view. The US gains most by bleeding Putin (and specifically his war machine assets) into submission, but has little to gain by all-out war.

2) Said false flag would be a nuclear one. Ukraine wouldn't benefit at all from this one. The greatest impact is the vicinity of the plant. It will also hamper any infrastructure recovery actions post-war.

3) The false flag would be from an aerial attack.....you know, the one thing they build nuclear facilities to be protected against. Seriously, even in the USSR they were built to withstand missile strikes and airplanes crashing into them. However, if you destroy a nuclear plant, it's far better to blow that thing up from within and cause prompt-criticality in the core.

4) The US response to such a false flag would be to go 0 to nuclear at the get-go. There is literally no universe where this one happens. I don't even think you would get a war declaration out of the US. I would think we might get "In response to the actions taking by Russia on nuclear facilities in Ukraine, NATO has authorized a series of strikes on war-making assets within Occupied Ukraine, this is NOT a war againt Russian Territory or Russian People" - Followed by something like a 100-Tomahawk Salvo on Russian positions in Ukraine.

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Further: If you're in that Q mindset that this is all just one big money laundering scheme run by globalist elites, there is literally nothing the elites gain from the series of events in that 4Chan post. The whole point of laundering is to do it slowly, not end the world in 2 days and turn life into Mad Max.

Ukraine is making slow steady progress on the flanks of Bahkmut.

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1676165665185562624

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GREY ZONE says the ZSU are not abandoning attempts to flank Bakhmut from two sides and are succeeding, the situation is becoming more difficult after Wagner forces were replaced by Russian regular forces.

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Source: https://t.co/r35Lc6j2aN

from UKRINFORM...

The Armed Forces of Ukraine struck Russian depots in Makiyivka


The explosion at the Makiyivka Oil Refinery, July 4, 2023.

On the night of July 4, around 9:30 p.m., Russian depots exploded in the Russian-occupied city of Makiyivka, Donetsk region.

The local media reported the damage to the object.

The occupation administration claims the cause of the fire to be a missile attack by Ukrainian HIMARS systems.

According to eyewitnesses, the shock wave from the detonation passed through the entire city and reached neighboring Donetsk. Many houses have broken windows.

Subsequently, the Center for Strategic Communications of the Armed Forces of Ukraine confirmed the attack on the strategic object of the enemy.

“As a result of the effective fire impact of units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine, another warehouse of Russian terrorists in temporarily occupied Makiyivka ceased to exist,” the statement reads.

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Ukrainian forces appear to be focusing on creating an asymmetrical attrition gradient that conserves Ukrainian manpower at the cost of a slower rate of territorial gains, while gradually wearing down Russian manpower and equipment. The current pace of Ukrainian operations is not indicative of a stalemate or evidence that Ukraine cannot retake large areas.

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I know some of us have had problems with Theiner's enthusiasm lately, however this thread helps explain and amplify this concept.

TLDR? As Ukraine has no viable air power to destroy the opposing defensive forces as was done at the beginning of the two Iraq campaigns, they are doing it the old fashioned way. Which takes far longer but is just as effective in the end.