re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

ISW Update

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Key Takeaways

Russian and Ukrainian officials are signaling the start of the Ukrainian counteroffensive.

Ukrainian forces conducted limited successful offensives north and southwest of Bakhmut.

The pro-Ukrainian all-Russian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) claimed that it continues to operate in a Russian border settlement in Belgorod Oblast as of June 5.

Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov claimed that Chechen forces are ready to defend against raids in Belgorod Oblast, likely partially in order to keep his forces out of combat in Ukraine.

The Russian Black Sea Fleet is attempting to mitigate complications with logistical support in occupied Crimea by shifting resources to mainland Russia.

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is continuing efforts to exacerbate the divide between the Wagner Group and the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD).

Russian milbloggers responded to the video of Lieutenant Colonel Venevitin with concern, indicating that several prominent pro-war voices are becoming increasingly concerned over the ramifications of the Wagner-MoD divide.

Russian forces reportedly conducted unsuccessful reconnaissance-in-force operations northeast of Kharkiv City and continued limited ground attacks northeast of Kupyansk and along the Svatove-Kreminna line.

Russian forces continued limited offensive operations on the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.

Ukrainian forces continued ground attacks in western Donetsk and eastern Zaporizhia oblasts and made further limited tactical gains.

Ukrainian forces continue to target rear Russian positions throughout southern Ukraine.

Iran has allegedly signed contracts with Russia for about $1.74 million in ammunition for Russia to use in Ukraine.

Ukrainian sources and Belarusian sources indicated that Belarus has been involved in the forced deportation of Ukrainian children.

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Another supposed video

https://twitter.com/J_JHelin/status/1665896137524387842

ETA - with some debunking included in the tweet

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I still hope a desperate Putin doesn’t do something stupid.

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He did that when he invaded

First time in a long time I have like 10 pages to catch up on and it’s because there’s real action going on.

I think Ukraine has been, and is now more directly physically, mind fricking the Russians. Interested to see where the breakouts or real offensive push occurs. Right now feels like intentional wide spread chaos to me.

Damn, haven't seen that one yet. This is what it looked like before it was blown



https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1665905792120152066

And the 2nd tweet in the thread provided some geolocation details. Looks like it is true.

That floods the eastern side downstream

Really hard to say. On its face, Ukraine has the most to gain and this isn’t the first time they’ve done something like this, right?

Didn’t UA blow a damn in the very early days of the conflict to prevent a rapid advance towards Kyiv and funnel Russian forces?

It's gone. Look at the video. The dam is gone.

LINK