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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:30 am to
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14811 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:30 am to
quote:

So, the question we must all ask ourselves is this: Is the bombardment and slaughter of one’s own people an ‘act of war’?


Russia didn't just move troops to the border and attack Ukraine on a whim.

They likely worked on their plan for 6-12 months. (ironically, it was a little over 6 months from the Afghan withdrawal debacle that Russia launched their invasion). Also, Russia waited till after the olympics to attack.

But it takes a lot of time to move a the amount of troops and equipment and put them in place to launch the invasion.

Their attack had nothing to do with what happened in the separatist regions of Ukraine. Russia was already attacking regardless of these events. Russia saw a perceived weakness in Ukraine and a perceived weakness in the West. They also overestimated (or believed their own hype) the strength of their forces. Russia believed they would overwhelm Ukraine and win a strategic lightning war and overthrow the government once Kyiv was threatened with encirclement

Also, there was an war already ongoing since 2014. both sides shelled civilian areas. from 2014 up to feb 2022, pro Ukrainian civilians left the separatist regions fearing for their lives.




Posted by bamadontcare
Member since Jun 2013
3976 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:35 am to
quote:

Their attack had nothing to do with what happened in the separatist regions of Ukraine



Sure Jan
Posted by bamadontcare
Member since Jun 2013
3976 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:39 am to
quote:

You have to cut and paste for some odd reason:


Very odd.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:40 am to
Says the person parroting the dumbest and most ridiculous Russian propaganda. When Russia claims to have destroyed 46 HIMARS in Ukraine, you are the target audience.
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5180 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:41 am to
quote:

Who will defend that point of view?


People who realize it wouldn’t have happened if Russia didn’t seize Crimea and occupy the Donbas 9 years ago in the first place leading to ongoing, but inconsistent, conflict in said region.
Posted by bamadontcare
Member since Jun 2013
3976 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:44 am to
quote:

Says the person parroting the dumbest and most ridiculous Russian propaganda. When Russia claims to have destroyed 46 HIMARS in Ukraine, you are the target audience.


You believe the CNN and other TV media casualty reports.

And anything the Biden administration says.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:48 am to
Here's a video compilation of Russia's loss of 31 tanks and other armored vehicles in the last week in their continuously failing offensive in Vuldehar. This is the kind of thing that I believe.

LINK
Posted by lowspark12
nashville, tn
Member since Aug 2009
22581 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:49 am to
quote:

Three months before Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, CIA Director William Burns and U.S. Ambassador to Russia John Sullivan met in Moscow with Nikolai Patrushev, an ultra-hawkish adviser to Russian President Vladimir Putin. Burns and Sullivan informed Patrushev that they knew of Russia’s invasion plans and that the West would respond with severe consequences if Russia proceeded. According to Burns, Patrushev said nothing about the invasion. Instead, he looked them in the eye, conveying what Burns took as a message: the Russian military could achieve what it wanted.


quote:

February 16, 2022, a full week before Putin


quote:

So, the question we must all ask ourselves is this: Is the bombardment and slaughter of one’s own people an ‘act of war’?


I mean how much more disingenuous can Ron Paul be?
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30454 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:55 am to
quote:

You believe the CNN and other TV media casualty reports.


You honestly won't find anyone here that believes the daily casualty reports from Ukraine (which is what most outlets use). I will bet they are closer to the correct number than the 18,000 that Russia put out last week.

The reality nobody knows the number of Russian losses and I bet that includes Russia to any degree of accuracy. The one thing that is probably indicative of the actual losses is the material losses documented by Oryx.



BTW there will be a new talking point (the bots will receive their warning order shortly) in the next 24 hours and it is all about doing the funky chicken.
Posted by REG861
Ocelot, Iowa
Member since Oct 2011
38160 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:05 am to
quote:

Ron Paul’s take on Ukraine


No one takes Ron Paul seriously except for the recovering drug addicts and ex convicts who treat him like a religious figure. Which are you?

Out of curiosity did Ron Paul say anything about Russia poisoning the Ukrainian president in 2004 or shooting down a civilian airliner in 2014? Would shooting down flight MH17 be considered a provocation?
This post was edited on 2/9/23 at 8:07 am
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42611 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:12 am to
quote:

a provocation that was aimed at goading Russia into a war.


The Russian entered Ukraine in 2014 and captured Crimea and parts of the Donbas. There was fighting going on in the Donbas since 2014.

Were the Russians shelling Ukrainian forces? Sure they were. Were Ukrainian forced shelling Russian forces including Ukrainians who sided with Russia? Sure they were. Were civilians caught up in the carnage? Certainly.

Russia started the war in 2014, and ratcheted things up last year. They weren’t acting as a big brother, they were acting in their own self interest and wanted more of Ukraine.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42611 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:16 am to
quote:

You honestly won't find anyone here that believes the daily casualty reports from Ukraine (which is what most outlets use). I will bet they are closer to the correct number than the 18,000 that Russia put out last week.


If Russia had so few losses and Ukraine so many losses, why did the Russians retreat in three fronts and why did they have to call up 300,000 more troops?
Posted by lsu777
Lake Charles
Member since Jan 2004
38031 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:19 am to
quote:


No one takes Ron Paul seriously except for the recovering drug addicts and ex convicts who treat him like a religious figure. Which are you?


that is not even close to true

i dont agree with him here but dont flip flop because you dont like what he is saying this time. its ok to not agree on a point without trying to act like the man is a lunatic because he isnt and has been right on more issues than any other.

foreign policy actually isnt his strongsuit despite how he like to think but the MFer has been nostrodamus when it comes to domestic issues.

to the point of the article...the war didnt start in feb, it started in 2014 at the latest. and ukraine was in the midst of a civil war with the donbas.
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
24238 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:22 am to
quote:

On February 16, 2022, a full week before Putin sent combat troops into Ukraine, the Ukrainian Army began the heavy bombardment of the area (in east Ukraine)

Does Ron not know they've been shelling each other in that region for almost a decade now?

Why didn't Putin claim this incident as the reason for invasion? Because they were already going in and it wasn't anything out of the ordinary for heavy shelling in that region.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:35 am to
quote:

I have no idea honestly. This could go any number of different ways at this point. I’ve long thought they should have given them a couple dozen of the newly retired Super Cobra attack helicopters from the Marines with this being trench warfare with aviation basically always flying on the deck to avoid being hit by SAMs. I’m sure Ukraine will take whatever the first western 4th gen fighter is offered to them and would be happy to have Mirage 2000s. The f-16 is the superior aircraft but they definitely wouldn’t turn their nose up at French fighters.



Here's the thing, though: from everything I read, I'm pretty sure that Storm Shadow missiles can't be fired from F-16s. They were jointly developed by Britain and France (the French call it SCALP, and it's the same missile except that the attachment to the aircraft is slightly different).

If the US isn't giving ATACMS, and the UK is willing to send Storm Shadow, then Ukraine needs an aircraft that could fire them. I've seen some speculation that, just as Ukrainian MiGs were MacGyvered into firing HARM, that maybe something similar could be done with Storm Shadow, but I have no idea if that makes any sense or not.

If the US isn't giving ATACMS, and if the UK is willing to give Storm Shadow, then I think that Storm Shadow is the weapon that destroys Kerch and enables Ukrainian victory in the South.

And that means that Ukraine needs a plane that can fire this missile. I do know that it can be fired from a Tornado, Mirage 2000D, and Eurofighter. Tornados are too old, and the Mirage makes more sense for Ukraine than the Eurofighter, so it makes sense for France to give Ukraine Mirage 2000D jets.

Again, from what I read (I'm no expert on any of this), Britain and France are already working on a replacement for the SCALP/Storm Shadow. The main reason (from the UK perspective) is that Storm Shadow cannot be fired from F-35s, which means that the Royal Navy currently lacks some of the long-distance power it needs.

TLDR: even if the F-16 makes the most sense for Ukraine in the long term, the Mirage 2000D might be the plane that enables Ukraine to win the war.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30454 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:35 am to
Here is the video footage of the Terminator being terminated.

Twitter
Posted by StormyMcMan
USA
Member since Oct 2016
4669 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:42 am to
quote:

Keep in mind, the Ukrainian Army was, in fact, shelling civilian areas along the Line of Contact that were occupied by other Ukrainians.


I mean that's just deliberately misleading and I say that as someone who used to like Ron Paul. I'll wait till he starts ta taing the Russians and Ukrainians for shelling civilian areas along the line of contact in Bakhmut or Kherson or any other of the numerous cities along the front. It's an active war and if you chose to stay you have to realize you might get caught up in the fighting.

Just for clarification, a shelling along the front line to me is way different than a missle strike at a city 100s of miles from the front. Those shouldn't hit civilian targets, but shelling along the active line of engagement it will happen
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30454 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:52 am to
Video slide marking 31 various Russian vehicles lost in their failed offensive on Vuhledar.

Twitter
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:57 am to
With the announcement that Wagner will no longer be recruiting prisoners (it's likely that no more were signing up anyway), Girkin gloomily acknowledges the loss of power that human waves of prisoners previously provided:

Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105284 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 9:35 am to
quote:

I know that's shocking to us today, but compared to what the soviets and Germans did to each other in WW2, I doubt it even registers with the average Russian today.





This isn't the USSR and Putin doesn't have the hold Stalin had. The Russians will endure more than most but their patience isn't endless. Putin has so far avoided a lot of public distress by using volunteers, convicts and minorities. If he has to start feeding 19 year old ethnic Russian conscripts into the meatgrinder, the population's forbearance will wear a lot thinner.
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