re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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atest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Where's your update on the Kharkiv region? It seems to be missing.

What do you mean by they would steal them?

They would steal Delta steel on the tarmac or what are you saying here?

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What do you mean by they would steal them?

They would steal Delta steel on the tarmac or what are you saying here?

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They were leasing them from airplane leasing companies so the planes were in Russia already and the companies knew they weren't getting anymore payments.

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Why do you think they use them in jump school? 'Cause people would rather jump out of them than continue to ride.

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I find no fault in your logic sir. We have a couple herc drivers around here though, so I expect them to be offended.

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What do you mean by they would steal them?

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They would not allow the leasing companies to recover their planes. They didn't.

After war broke out, the leasing companies were no longer allowed (under sanctions) to do business with Russia.

Morning all, happy Victoria Day for all you monarchists. Russia seems to be subscribing to the in for a penny in for a pound warcraft theory. I’ve had good conversations this long weekend with my friends from the Baltics to the heart of Europe and through to Russia. I’m at the point where I don’t think what’s happening is stasis but an actual pause in an attempt to regroup refocus on RUs part and to allow certain weaponry and intelligence to gather on Ukraines side. Russia seems to be digging in with actual fallback positions selected for fortifications, bizarrely they believe there will be a kind of trench warfare happening through the summer months into the fall. I’m interested in RUs military command structure falling apart I'm not sure if this collapse and infighting has precedence in modern history. The infighting is intercene at this point it’s truly astonishing from a western POV. Evidently another General was killed yesterday and with every death there is a belief in the lower ranks taking hold that no one is safe. One of my favorite places Odessa is going to continue to get bombed. The question is will the right counter measures make it in time to stop the wholesale destruction of this beautiful port city? I’m being told yes. Our intelligence people know full well the blockade of Ukrainian wheat is going to cause ripples that could turn into a tidal wave if things don’t get sorted out soon. But Orban who has waffled a bit when it comes to Russia will be destroyed by another wave of refugee migration caused by African hunger. The Middle East is coming off the fence in the next few weeks because of the Black Sea blockade and Turkey will too. There is a plan in place to open the Black Sea back up and stop RUs plan from being successful. People in Russia are continuing to be arrested for protesting the war and ordinary people notice when their critical infrastructure magically blows up. In typical Russian fashion they are joking it’s another “accident” sent from Ukraine. People are also becoming resigned to the Us against the world mentality and starting to wonder if China will ever help them. Belarus is experiencing blowback with the deals reached with Russia to help in this war starting to become known. Luka partitioned his military and the 2/3rds that refused to participate are now pissed at the 1/3 that did through Wagner group. The war is hugely unpopular in Belarus but so is Luka-speculation has probability of a coup rising…Russia is getting nervous that friendly govts in their sphere might be replaced causing the need for police actions to prop up the aforementioned governments. Moldova and Crimea continue to be places to watch with strategies and logistical items ready to go. RU morale is crap with RU commanders and servicemen intentionally wounding themselves/committing suicide regularly. Intercepts have RU military saying frick Putin and his war and there is real shame at the RU military’s conduct. RU troops still are having problems getting paid and widows pensions are being shortchanged there is also real anger between the discrepancy between Wagner group compensation and regular RU army. Apparently Luka has been reassured in Sochi today that somehow, in spite of the Russian Army being hours away in the south of Ukraine the Kremlin will stop an attempted coup quickly. My Estonian friends think that’s bullshite that one of the first things that will happen is that all rail lines leading into Belarus will be destroyed as the coup is happening.

-From Reuters

In the latest fighting at the battlefront, Ukraine said on Monday it had held off a Russian assault on Sievierodonetsk, an eastern city that has become the main target of Moscow's offensive since it finally seized Mariupol last week.

Russian forces tried to storm Sievierodonetsk but were unsuccessful and retreated, Zelenskiy's office said. The city, on the Siverskiy Donets River, has been the main Russian target in recent days as Moscow tries to encircle Ukrainian forces and fully capture Luhansk and Donetsk provinces.

Also some bad news regarding a barracks being hit.

Reuters

They haven’t been wrong yet. Timelines been off a bit here and there but not wrong. I’m also reminded every once in a while that what they say should be treated with care and caution. Timing is everything.

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light of Ukrainian supply disruptions and Russian sanctions

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So the question is does the global community turn against Russia for invading Ukraine or the US for sactioning Russia for invading Ukraine.

One of these (sanctions) is much easier to undo than the other but the other is "nobler" so who knows what happens there, but maybe Egypt refusing the stolen grain from Ukraine can shed some light on the future

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If people get desperate enough for Ukranian wheat, could this get uglier?

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Ukraine needs to be given the tools to break the blockade. Hopefully it's on the agenda of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group meeting being held today.