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re: Italy still surging, record deaths - 969

Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by QJenk
Atl, Ga
Member since Jan 2013
17820 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:35 pm to
Holy frick. Their healthcare system has to be in shambles at this point. Their mortality rate remains at around 10%

I dont mean to sound rude or disrespectful, but by the time this is all over. Italy may only have about 2 surviving individuals alive over 65.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29134 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

I'm sure they have one of those government run, universal health care systems that is vastly superior to the US's. Or so I am told constantly...
Do you care that this makes you look like an idiot?
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
22343 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

I don't understand how they have a 10% mortality rate and is so much higher than everywhere else.


very old population and they smoke a lot.
Posted by BigEdLSU
All around the south
Member since Sep 2010
20408 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:36 pm to
I wonder are non critical patients being given ICU rooms for quarantine purposes?
Posted by QJenk
Atl, Ga
Member since Jan 2013
17820 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

don't understand how they have a 10% mortality rate and is so much higher than everywhere else.


Look like Spain js trying to compete. Their rate is like 7.5% last i checked.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
175705 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:37 pm to
quote:


I dont mean to sound rude or disrespectful, but by the time this is all over. Italy may only have about 2 surviving individuals alive over 65.



I think the average age of the people that died in Italy is around 80-81 last I checked

I haven't seen any updated data

They just have a lot of really old people there
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
106119 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:39 pm to
The pope is live doing his thing right now for anyone inclined to follow along. You can find the stream on youtube.
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
70472 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:39 pm to
quote:


Im sure the older population has a lot to do with it but I think its been said a zillion times, when the capacity of a hospital to give care gets overwhelmed people that wouldn't have died, die.

that is why we're all trying to stay home



I really dont see why people cant grasp this
Posted by escatawpabuckeye
Member since Jan 2013
1057 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:42 pm to
Well you know, it’s hard to be rearing to go by Easter with that attitude
Posted by chryso
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
13986 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

I really dont see why people cant grasp this


You must be new here.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49579 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

You could make the argument that they have, as their number of new cases continues to fall.


The death curve will continue to rise even after the infected curve flattens or falls



This.

This is now the four day in a row that new cases have come in under the peak. There has been some fluctuation but you hope this is the flattening and the decline will start soon.
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:54 pm to
National hug China day still going on over there
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
69244 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:55 pm to
I wonder if Italy will cancel Hug a Chinese Day next year.
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33964 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

I don't understand how they have a 10% mortality rate and is so much higher than everywhere else.


-Poor healthcare system


They don't have a poor healthcare system, relatively speaking.

In other words, many other countries have significantly worse systems and don't have 10% mortality rate, so something else must be to blame.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
63685 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Deaths is straightforward.


Deaths give the most accurate look at severity. But it isn’t the most timely metric when evaluating spread.

If their cases are dropping it’s reasonable to expect deaths to follow
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
141237 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:05 pm to
The curve is cases, not deaths. They won't move in a proportional manner for some time.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
43541 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:08 pm to
I thought this was in part due to tests just coming back on people that had been dead.
Posted by uway
Member since Sep 2004
33109 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

don't understand how they have a 10% mortality rate and is so much higher than everywhere else.


Logic says that one side effect of an overwhelmed healthcare system is inaccuracy in what it is reporting.

It's easy to know whether someone died, not so easy to know what killed them. Result being that it's almost certain that deaths due to COVID are being overstated there.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
31201 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

I'm sure they have one of those government run, universal health care systems that is vastly superior to the US's. Or so I am told constantly...


While Italy's healthcare system is usually ranked very high in the world one could always argue bias and/or criteria issues. One thing you can't argue with is their life expectancy is the 6th highest in the world and only behind Switzerland if you remove the Asian countries. The US is 46th in the world with a LE of 79.11 years compared to Italy's 84.01. A lot of that is certainly weight but their healthcare can't be "poor".
Posted by AndyCBR
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2012
8339 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

They don't have a poor healthcare system, relatively speaking.

In other words, many other countries have significantly worse systems and don't have 10% mortality rate, so something else must be to blame.


Not poor compared to Somalia. But poor compared to most industrialized countries, especially in rural areas.

Check your facts.
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