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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:19 pm to
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25729 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:19 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55499 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

I wonder if we’re about to see an eyewall replacement cycle. Notice the drop in convection on the southern side of the eye.

Velocity can show the beginning of the process better than Reflectivity a lot of the times.

Notice the two different max wind areas on Velocity. It isn't quite as noticeable on the latest scan, but really stood out a bit ago.



Earlier:
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 2:22 pm
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42664 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:20 pm to
I own a lot of property in Sarasota County....I think that area makes it out fine. Most of the older homes are well built
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
31469 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:20 pm to
It was splashing that bad with flooding all over that corner and in the streets when we were in Key West in late May and that tropical depression hit.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

I wonder if we’re about to see an eyewall replacement cycle. Notice the drop in convection on the southern side of the eye.


Possible. 12z HWRF shows kind of a steady state storm before going on another run of intensification tomorrow. An ERC could be one reason for a pause in intensification.
Posted by Swazla
Member since Jul 2016
1470 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Why is a nautical mile longer than a land mile?

Is it because you have to account for the waves?


A nautical mile takes the curvature of the earth into the calculation.

It is measured at the equator. 360 degrees and 60 minutes in a degree. 1 degree equals one nautical mile.

So the circumference at the equator is 24901 miles or 21600 nautical miles. A knot is nautical miles per hour.
Posted by MoarKilometers
Member since Apr 2015
18261 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

The tourists are embarrassing and entertaining.

Our unofficial state motto
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22384 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

I own a lot of property in Sarasota County....I think that area makes it out fine. Most of the older homes are well built



Subtle "I'm a slumlord" brag.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55499 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:24 pm to
Those on the SE side of the track keep in mind that an EWRC will temporarily weaken or cap Ian's strengthening, but it will certainly expand the windfield, putting more people at risk of dealing with high winds.
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 2:25 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120774 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:24 pm to
New models shifting closer to Port Charlotte
Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
6644 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:27 pm to
Creeping further and further south. Fort Myers is gonna be in the crosshairs if this keeps up
Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
85064 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

New models shifting closer to Port Charlotte

Can you link?
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37320 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:34 pm to
Are we going to get the hourly position updated from here on out?
Posted by bikerack
NH
Member since Sep 2011
2148 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Are we going to get the hourly position updated from here on out?


yep
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22384 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

Can you link?


Link what?
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
39581 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:38 pm to
That eye still has a lot of dingleberries around the edge. Clean that sumbitch a little better.
This post was edited on 9/27/22 at 2:42 pm
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
116958 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:39 pm to
Any chance this thing moves a little faster than the NHC cone says? I really hope it doesn't approach land that slowly, Tampa will be F'd.
Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
85064 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:40 pm to
quote:


Link what?

New models shifting closer to Port Charlotte
Posted by SM1010
Member since Oct 2020
764 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:40 pm to
Just looking at the radar it definitely looks like it's shifting more and more east. Kinda looking like Cape Coral or Naples to me.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22384 posts
Posted on 9/27/22 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

models


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