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re: Hurricane Season - October -96L No Threat- Watching WCAB for System w/ High End Potential

Posted on 10/10/23 at 7:45 pm to
Posted by TulaneLSU
Member since Aug 2003
Member since Dec 2007
13653 posts
Posted on 10/10/23 at 7:45 pm to
Friend,

As Front Day, the official close of tropical season for New Orleans, has yet to happen, tropical weather for the city is still possible. We trust Mother more than the National Hurricane Center, whose capricious June to November season is almost never right. Mother’s system has a 100% accuracy.

Yours,
TulaneLSU
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
17215 posts
Posted on 10/13/23 at 10:02 am to
Do our resident weather gurus have any ideas about this? Hopefully a nothing burger...








Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61743 posts
Posted on 10/13/23 at 10:27 am to
That’s a long arse way out to really have any kind of predictions on what it may do
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75735 posts
Posted on 10/13/23 at 11:01 am to
Biggest threat to the Caribbean yet. Too early to know much beyond that.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/13/23 at 11:30 am to
October long tracker?

Lets go
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42963 posts
Posted on 10/13/23 at 12:28 pm to
GFS spins up something in the Gulf around October 29th .
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103214 posts
Posted on 10/13/23 at 1:38 pm to
Too many fronts coming through. That one won’t make it on a long track before going OTS


Only way we get a gulf storm is a spin up in the Caribbean at this point
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/13/23 at 2:22 pm to
If it forms before the islands and goes ots, thats a long track. The synoptic pattern looks pretty good for the east coast, with troughing going into the last week of the month. Might start to flatten out as this approaches though.
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
17215 posts
Posted on 10/16/23 at 9:54 am to
Spaghetti models mostly show this going out to see.

Can anyone tell me how they come up with the names of these waves?

Invest 94L, 90E etc... I know storm names are assigned at the beginning of the season but how are these preliminary designations made?
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8744 posts
Posted on 10/16/23 at 9:55 am to
It was 50 degrees in south Louisiana. Gulf is closed for the season. It's over. We survived....

quote:

rds dc





...shite
Posted by FutureMikeVIII
Houston
Member since Sep 2011
1807 posts
Posted on 10/16/23 at 10:00 am to
quote:

Can anyone tell me how they come up with the names of these waves?


LINK
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75735 posts
Posted on 10/16/23 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Can anyone tell me how they come up with the names of these waves?

Invest 94L, 90E etc...

Those are used to define areas of interest. The NHC uses the numbers 90 - 99 and rotate back to 90 when they get to 99. The L, E, etc. refers to the area/basin the invest/system is in. L is for "Atlantic", E is for "Northeast Pacific", and so on, with every basin having it's own letter. The National Hurricane Center isn't the only forecasting body to use this method, pretty much all of them use it.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131959 posts
Posted on 10/16/23 at 10:28 am to
Nothingburger for the Gulf
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21589 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

2. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea. Gradual development
thereafter is possible while the system moves generally westward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Keep an eye on this. It probably gets pushed into Central America but has high end potential if it turns northward.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102369 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

rds dc



We're a couple days from November. Your hurricane services are no longer required. Report back when you're predicting snow.
Posted by Dickaroos
Nunya
Member since Feb 2013
798 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 7:12 pm to
frick that
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33789 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

Keep an eye on this
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
9076 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 7:24 pm to
GFS has a nasty looking hurricane for south FL in the 230 hr range mid next week. Is this what you're referring to?
Posted by StrikeIndicator
Sec. 419
Member since May 2019
1062 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 7:28 pm to
Wonder what’s going to happen to all those 1” cracks in my yard
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9436 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 7:40 pm to

oof
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