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re: Hurricane Season - Gulf Blob Now TD2

Posted on 7/18/26 at 2:22 pm to
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40617 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 2:22 pm to
Off topic but check the pacific

El Niño has the GFS spinning up storm after storm off of Mexico
Posted by Disco Ball
Denham Springs
Member since May 2025
1769 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

This still moving towards LA?


Waay too early to know
The few models coming out are all over the place
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21618 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 2:51 pm to
A bit of an uptick on the 12z ensembles, esp. the Euro EPS. The Euro EPS has long been one of the better pre-genesis tools, but the Euro AI ensemble did really well last season.



Posted by Turnblad85
Member since Sep 2022
5818 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 2:55 pm to
Dear God don't let this hit New Orleans .


















I don't want those people spreading like last time.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79349 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 2:59 pm to
quote:


I don't want those people spreading like last time


Your DSLD neighborhood will fall apart all the same
Posted by CapitalTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2019
577 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 2:59 pm to
Perfect thread to open up to sitting in traffic on way to 30A
This post was edited on 7/18/26 at 3:07 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21618 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

Perfect thread to open up to sitting in traffic on way to 30A


Rookie move. You have to hit the road early, then grab some beers with lunch at McGuire's before heading to check in.
Posted by nuwaydawg
Member since Nov 2007
2388 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 5:12 pm to
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
54191 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 5:52 pm to
Fishing a tournament out of Cocodrie this weekend so I haven’t been on my phone much.Can someone tell me when this could potentially be a problem to Bay St Louis flooding wise?
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15548 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

Bay St Louis flooding wise?


I dont think so. If this thing stays south and continues west, rivers/creeks wont swell. All winds will be out of a north/northeast/northwest direction depending on its location at any given time along the coast
Posted by Herschal
USA
Member since Sep 2011
2275 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

incest 91


Flip those numbers. And it’s still nasty.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14526 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 7:14 pm to
Here we go...

HWRF (986 mb hurricane early Wednesday into Plaquemines Parish)

HMON (978 mb hurricane early Wednesday near mouth of river moving westward)...but could be a bigger problem for Texas coast by late Thursday


Posted by trussthetruzz
Idaho
Member since Sep 2020
9524 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 7:20 pm to
Is this gonna move due West? Nothing to pull it north into LA?
Posted by DeplorableTerrorizer
Member since Nov 2025
340 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 7:20 pm to
quote:

How long before incest 91 becomes a named storm



Uhhhhhh
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
23422 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 7:24 pm to
quote:

How long before incest 91 becomes a named storm


Direct hit into Alabama
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14563 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 7:25 pm to
Please come to Baldwin county. I’m tired of watering.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14526 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

Nothing to pull it north into LA?


It is going to be running at an acute angle to the coastline. It all depends how close to the coast the center tracks.

The current GFS global model takes a weak low into FL panhandle near Destin.
Posted by Bayou
Boudin, LA
Member since Feb 2005
43294 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

When you hear Bertha, you think of a big thicc hefty woman that can pick you up and kinda push you around.

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14526 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 8:01 pm to
Models are split, but NHC is currently going with movement inland into FL panhandle.
This post was edited on 7/18/26 at 8:02 pm
Posted by AFtigerFan
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2008
3762 posts
Posted on 7/18/26 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

Perfect thread to open up to sitting in traffic on way to 30A
Same here. We’re staying the night in Daphne then driving the rest of the way to 30A tomorrow. Gonna be a rainy vacation.
This post was edited on 7/18/26 at 8:11 pm
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