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re: Hurricane Season - 91L - Flash Flood Warnings for S. LA, Worst Rain Moving out Later Today

Posted on 5/11/19 at 6:05 pm to
Posted by Klingler7
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
12538 posts
Posted on 5/11/19 at 6:05 pm to
The gyre
Posted by JackieTreehorn
Member since Sep 2013
34653 posts
Posted on 5/11/19 at 6:11 pm to
Posted by 504Voodoo
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2012
13760 posts
Posted on 5/11/19 at 6:12 pm to
quote:

Dafuq did I just read


Im so lost
Posted by Maytheporkbewithyou
Member since Aug 2016
13838 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

rds dc


You have any updates on this?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21007 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 1:30 am to
quote:

Models tend to be too fast with these setups, so the potential window is probably closer to the end of the month.


91L at 40%



ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure accompanied by cloudiness and showers
is centered near the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. The low
is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward over the southern
Bay of Campeche during the weekend and near the east coast of Mexico
early next week. Gradual development of this system is possible as
long as it remains over water, and a tropical depression could form
early next week. Regardless of development, the disturbance will
likely produce heavy rainfall over portions of southern and
southeastern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Posted by FightingTigers138
In your thoughts
Member since Dec 2016
5916 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 1:35 am to
Dont you remember from last year, that we arent keeping an ongoing thread for all tropical systems throughout the year? Its too confusing. We need to start a new thread for each system.

Now if you are waiting to see if the system develops to start a new thread, then ok; but that still leaves this thread in question.

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43107 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 1:42 am to
Ah that time of the year. I know i do it a lot but can't wait for GFS and Euro runs to be posted on here in the future.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91273 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 6:14 am to
quote:

Dont you remember from last year, that we arent keeping an ongoing thread for all tropical systems throughout the year? Its too confusing. We need to start a new thread for each system.

Now if you are waiting to see if the system develops to start a new thread, then ok; but that still leaves this thread in question.


Considering this is the first thread/threat of the year and rds brought it to our attention 20 days in advanced, I think this thread should absolutely stay this time around. He'll start a new one for the next threat.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91273 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 6:23 am to


0z Euro ensembles.
Posted by Pectus
Internet
Member since Apr 2010
67302 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 6:24 am to
It has begun.
Posted by BayouENGR
Seagrove Beach
Member since Nov 2015
2833 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 7:09 am to
Of course! We are traveling to the Houston area next week. Dang it
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
94710 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 7:44 am to
quote:

0z Euro ensembles.


That’s encouraging
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
37687 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 7:49 am to
quote:

Hurricane moving up the Mississippi River drainage basin, that is already at a high level, could be devastating



Thanks Capt. Obvious. You work for NOLA.com?
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
175505 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 7:52 am to
HOU may never survive
This post was edited on 6/1/19 at 7:53 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21007 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 12:04 pm to
NHC up to 50% but it will be hard for this system to get out into the Gulf with the current larger scale pattern.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
28960 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 12:15 pm to
This is really going to screw up Memorial Day weekend.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43107 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 12:29 pm to
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104177 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 12:31 pm to
Morganza may stay open into football season at this rate.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
149387 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 12:35 pm to
god damnit, i dont want to go through this again
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13727 posts
Posted on 6/1/19 at 2:15 pm to
Latest Euro forecast for Friday morning June 7. Those winds are not at surface. Looks like a weak TS at best at this point. Something to keep half an eye on for now.

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